Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$575

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

5,419

Trades

11,245

lifetime

Volume

$87.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.70K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 50% -$1,762

Other

11% 78% +$126

Politics

9% 80% +$3

Sports

1% 29% -$80

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+2,850	$2,283	59¢	$1.7K	-$588	10-31 10:48
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$3	92¢	$5	+$1	10-30 12:29
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+5	-$7	88¢	$4	+$12	10-31 10:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	129	$6.0K	5,121	2,271	+2,850	open	—	10-31 10:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	52	$3.5K	2,850	3,700	-850	No	+$155	07-01 17:12
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	59	$2.9K	2,550	3,150	-600	Yes	+$728	06-30 14:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	22	$1.2K	1,700	200	+1,500	No	-$903	10-25 22:23
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	12	$772	430	430	+0	open	—	10-04 22:46
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	12	$585	300	300	+0	open	—	09-12 16:33
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?	15	$565	300	300	+0	open	—	09-16 15:59
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	10	$472	300	300	+0	open	—	09-16 17:46
xrp up or down january 17 9pm et	48	$461	410	260	+150	Up	+$177	01-18 02:59
bitcoin up or down january 26 6pm et	10	$455	375	275	+100	Up	+$185	01-26 23:49
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?	5	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	09-12 16:31
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	13	$371	225	220	+5	open	—	10-31 10:47
xrp up or down january 27 11am et	23	$316	500	64	+436	Up	+$235	01-27 16:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 15:30 UTC	19	$305	405	110	+295	Up	+$198	01-18 15:44
bitcoin up or down january 29 7pm et	23	$246	210	145	+65	Down	+$88	01-30 00:46
xrp up or down january 19 12pm et	16	$241	200	139	+61	Down	+$94	01-19 19:05
xrp up or down january 27 10am et	30	$216	400	251	+149	Up	-$191	01-27 15:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	16	$203	200	157	+43	Up	+$46	01-27 23:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 15:15 UTC	7	$202	310	310	+0	Up	-$108	01-18 15:19
bitcoin up or down february 4 9am et	24	$201	190	140	+50	Down	+$70	02-04 14:59
ethereum up or down january 29 7pm et	23	$200	160	125	+35	Down	+$64	01-30 00:46
solana up or down january 29 7pm et	24	$173	120	154	-34	Down	+$12	01-30 00:59
xrp up or down january 17 8pm et	12	$172	330	0	+330	Down	-$172	01-18 01:10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$171	200	100	+100	Yes	+$11	07-19 11:22
xrp up or down january 17 7pm et	10	$162	250	30	+220	Down	-$108	01-18 00:25
bitcoin up or down january 21 12pm et	18	$160	200	65	+135	Up	+$94	01-21 17:57
bitcoin up or down january 26 11am et	29	$160	175	79	+96	Down	-$20	01-26 16:55
bitcoin up or down january 10 1pm et	28	$160	138	100	+38	Up	+$67	01-10 18:57
xrp up or down january 22 2pm et	17	$160	140	90	+50	Up	+$67	01-22 19:56
solana up or down january 26 6pm et	14	$150	185	185	+0	Down	-$37	01-26 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:48:40	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xb6a933…
10-31 10:47:48	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	95	90¢	$85	0x0dfaa3…
10-30 12:41:39	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xb13727…
10-30 12:30:36	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	125	89¢	$111	0x5f87e0…
10-30 12:29:58	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x83e2cb…
10-30 12:29:45	Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x9e2f25…
10-30 12:29:00	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xa63b24…
10-27 09:47:53	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xad9e35…
10-26 23:00:42	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x6491a9…
10-26 22:59:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x7d5384…
10-26 22:21:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x75902c…
10-26 22:20:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x2670a5…
10-26 22:18:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x8f0890…
10-26 17:01:54	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x659ccc…
10-26 17:00:32	Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1c4b9c…
10-26 16:43:18	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x14db8c…
10-26 16:42:08	Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1e5693…
10-26 16:40:06	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	250	89¢	$223	0xfe6ab9…
10-26 09:54:05	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5a7bb0…
10-26 09:53:44	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xaea7cc…
10-25 22:23:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xcdb0a2…
10-25 22:19:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x1d72c0…
10-25 22:18:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x603a69…
10-25 22:18:05	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	250	64¢	$161	0x51a879…
10-25 21:05:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	225	68¢	$152	0x00cf7b…
10-25 21:05:09	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	250	66¢	$164	0xf845a3…
10-25 09:56:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x545f29…
10-25 09:55:59	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x1e473d…
10-24 11:57:42	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x3c905b…
10-24 11:54:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x7ce393…
10-23 13:12:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	77¢	$58	0xb36425…
10-23 13:11:33	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$41	0x52b21c…
10-23 13:09:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x4be1cc…
10-23 13:08:53	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	200	82¢	$163	0xe4f44a…
10-23 13:05:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x49c3d8…
10-23 13:05:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	77¢	$115	0x83f96d…
10-23 13:04:35	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x9f2f10…
10-23 11:14:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x1190d9…
10-23 11:11:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x2cdcdd…
10-23 11:09:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	133	85¢	$113	0x0a9a7b…
10-22 21:12:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xf0c439…
10-21 21:11:57	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe71f1e…
10-21 21:11:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2e721f…
10-21 21:11:33	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc4ae7a…
10-21 21:11:21	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd7a62f…
10-21 20:43:56	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x03c6ae…
10-21 20:30:41	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3143f4…
10-21 14:05:59	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xd0d5cd…
10-21 14:05:39	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd06017…
10-21 14:05:23	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x354478…
10-21 14:03:41	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xd6ef21…
10-20 21:27:20	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xdca071…
10-20 21:26:35	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x36b63f…
10-20 21:19:14	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x682af1…
10-20 21:18:57	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xefd2f5…
10-20 21:18:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb0e869…
10-20 09:27:17	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xd44d49…
10-20 09:25:11	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x1b4fd2…
10-20 09:23:59	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xccc662…
10-20 09:23:15	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x11c6cc…
10-20 09:21:50	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x4c6e56…
10-20 09:17:17	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x040608…
10-18 22:21:50	Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcd0d39…
10-18 21:48:36	Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb6a040…
10-18 15:04:09	Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x30139d…
10-18 15:03:00	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe97bd1…
10-18 15:00:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xaca2f1…
10-17 19:03:57	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x80118a…
10-17 17:17:50	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc3741a…
10-17 17:17:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xca53d2…
10-17 16:06:50	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4472ac…
10-17 16:05:21	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa9d5c5…
10-17 15:18:47	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3b4799…
10-12 12:19:24	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	133	84¢	$112	0xa55879…
10-12 12:18:51	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0xac827a…
10-12 12:14:51	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xcb008b…
10-12 09:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x925171…
10-11 22:03:11	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0x6c6925…
10-11 22:01:53	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	75	83¢	$62	0xb50d49…
10-11 09:55:00	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	170	92¢	$156	0xae06a2…
10-11 09:54:33	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x0a864a…
10-11 09:52:58	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x253293…
10-11 09:51:34	XRP Up or Down on October 12?	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x9f8eec…
10-11 09:51:25	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x19aa56…
10-11 09:51:13	Solana Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x39b256…
10-11 09:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x1a070d…
10-11 09:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd5b08c…
10-11 09:50:09	Solana Up or Down on October 11?	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xd1629a…
10-11 09:49:54	XRP Up or Down on October 11?	Up	SELL	55	13¢	$7	0x4d3703…
10-11 09:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down on October 11?	Up	SELL	55	27¢	$15	0x95d54d…
10-11 04:26:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xeb24b5…
10-11 02:35:33	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xdfaaf9…
10-10 23:05:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x12f341…
10-10 23:03:21	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x38dc78…
10-10 23:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x93b9d3…
10-10 23:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6c8d12…
10-10 23:02:13	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1e25cd…
10-10 23:01:45	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe9fe3b…
10-10 23:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f728c…
10-10 23:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcbc54a…