Definitive-Housewife — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$481

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-11 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

79% — —

Other

21% 50% $-11

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+3	$0	94¢	$2	+$2	06-14 20:09
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	+3	$2	92¢	$2	+$0	06-14 22:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	-3	$-3	24¢	$-1	+$2	06-08 12:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+29	$0	2¢	$1	+$0	06-14 21:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	41	$39	71	19	+52	open	—	04-03 22:39
will iran strike israel on march 10	32	$36	251	251	+0	open	—	03-12 01:17
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-03 22:58
Iran leadership change by April 30?	27	$19	53	53	+0	open	—	04-06 01:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	28	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	03-26 17:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	6	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-16 13:24
will iran strike israel on march 6	14	$17	11	10	+0	open	—	03-09 03:45
us strikes iraq by march 7	6	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	03-06 03:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	30	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 15:58
will uae strike iran by march 31	21	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	03-09 19:33
will iran strike israel on march 7	12	$14	44	44	+0	open	—	03-07 10:26
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	22	$13	13	10	+4	open	—	03-09 18:16
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	11	$12	67	0	+67	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$-12	05-06 19:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$12	34	13	+21	open	—	06-14 21:53
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	16	$10	9	5	+4	open	—	04-10 10:10
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	10	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	03-08 17:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	10	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-10 17:47
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	12	$9	10	4	+6	Yes	+$1	04-19 15:01
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	8	$8	7	4	+3	open	—	04-08 09:41
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	6	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-07 18:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	19	$7	5	3	+2	open	—	03-10 14:35
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	9	$7	28	6	+22	open	—	04-15 20:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$7	43	0	+43	open	—	04-25 15:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	15	$6	40	11	+29	open	—	06-14 21:31
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	4	$5	8	3	+5	open	—	04-13 11:05
will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	4	$5	8	6	+3	open	—	03-12 17:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-07 21:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-06 20:41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	4	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	03-25 22:14
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-04 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:05:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9842a3…
06-14 22:02:09	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x02c7f9…
06-14 21:58:51	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbf169a…
06-14 21:58:12	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdcaadd…
06-14 21:53:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x232e69…
06-14 21:31:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x8661b8…
06-14 21:31:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x36c980…
06-14 21:30:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xa39fe6…
06-14 21:27:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x840a2c…
06-14 21:27:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x70bfeb…
06-14 21:27:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x671305…
06-14 21:21:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xf27705…
06-14 20:09:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8857e1…
06-14 20:09:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x341197…
06-11 17:42:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x32f23d…
06-10 21:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xcd0310…
06-08 12:01:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x05b564…
06-08 11:48:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xbaaf07…
06-08 11:46:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xb28fd9…
06-08 10:37:30	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xc528f8…
06-08 09:15:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xa15a56…
06-08 06:41:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xa405ef…
06-08 06:39:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xda4e13…
06-08 06:37:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xb15567…
06-08 06:35:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xe3fb30…
06-08 06:32:57	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x029b7f…
06-08 04:02:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2ae200…
06-08 02:56:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x50edb3…
06-08 02:56:45	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xf36b33…
06-08 01:28:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xedca72…
06-08 01:27:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xecf34e…
06-08 01:27:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xdd6ef7…
06-08 01:26:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x231b41…
06-08 01:26:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0xed34a9…
06-08 01:21:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdd8bdf…
06-07 21:08:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x904fb0…
05-31 05:27:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x585b2c…
05-31 04:25:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x567580…
05-31 04:15:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x68e6e4…
05-31 04:11:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x95c9af…
05-31 03:20:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x81a960…
05-30 21:45:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc3c1b5…
05-30 21:43:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6a352d…
05-30 05:14:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x44ebce…
05-30 05:11:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xe3d0e6…
05-30 05:08:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xd2a076…
05-29 22:08:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x28ce48…
05-29 22:08:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x13bcad…
05-29 20:34:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xceb8b3…
05-29 18:48:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x369ac2…
05-29 18:48:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x8c9d21…
05-29 17:59:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x2644de…
05-29 17:59:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x842bde…
05-29 17:20:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd366cd…
05-06 19:30:07	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x469cb1…
05-06 19:30:02	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfeed10…
05-06 19:30:02	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc7124a…
05-06 19:30:02	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x66da67…
05-06 19:30:02	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x53aa68…
05-06 19:30:02	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3a79bf…
05-06 19:30:02	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0dffe2…
05-06 19:29:53	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf5e8b7…
05-06 19:29:53	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdd2a27…
05-06 19:29:53	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x866bac…
05-06 19:29:45	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8f99fd…
04-25 15:49:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xec831d…
04-25 13:54:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x56b704…
04-25 13:47:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x435711…
04-21 20:31:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xac6fa1…
04-21 20:28:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb33ef1…
04-21 20:18:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xfd5991…
04-21 20:18:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0add4e…
04-21 19:57:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x4de4db…
04-21 19:51:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x73fc2f…
04-21 15:58:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x9d0109…
04-21 15:34:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x292f00…
04-21 15:34:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xff9e97…
04-21 15:33:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf53a12…
04-21 15:33:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xdabfb5…
04-21 15:28:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x3c3db7…
04-21 15:05:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x86cd83…
04-21 14:59:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x0fe90d…
04-21 14:46:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xa3564f…
04-21 14:45:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x39dcf6…
04-21 14:31:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4f9e0e…
04-21 14:29:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x833600…
04-21 14:28:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x616832…
04-21 13:32:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xca3b59…
04-21 13:14:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xd452d9…
04-21 01:36:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xba33e9…
04-21 00:12:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xc2c67a…
04-20 23:12:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x22a5ab…
04-20 22:34:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x8ce8b2…
04-20 21:58:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xac2f15…
04-20 21:42:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe1fb57…
04-20 21:42:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x5be5ee…
04-20 21:41:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xf42a2f…
04-20 21:33:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe3cc99…
04-20 21:21:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xa345c0…
04-20 18:13:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x244484…