Dimpled-Opposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.77K

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

268

Trades

1,782

lifetime

Volume

$175.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-30 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Politics

75% 71% +$23,122

Other

23% 77% +$4,436

Sports

2% 57% -$233

Tech

1% 100% +$22

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+6,188	-$12	0¢	$22	+$34	10-11 04:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+0	-$1,739	8¢	$0	+$1,739	10-28 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	39	$12.8K	36,641	36,641	+0	open	—	10-28 21:39
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	26	$11.8K	9,338	9,338	+0	Yes	+$5,812	07-13 14:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$9.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$790	07-29 18:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	9	$8.3K	6,889	6,889	+0	Yes	+$2,841	06-14 21:31
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	16	$8.1K	9,121	9,121	+0	Yes	+$1,588	06-13 16:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	13	$4.5K	4,911	4,893	+19	No	+$2,336	05-29 14:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	11	$4.5K	8,536	8,536	+0	open	—	10-30 11:18
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	43	$4.1K	4,314	4,314	+0	Yes	+$1,382	06-14 21:19
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	6	$3.8K	3,049	3,049	+0	Yes	+$525	05-15 21:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	17	$2.8K	2,637	2,637	+0	No	+$210	07-10 18:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	15	$2.7K	7,140	6,171	+969	No	+$1,408	06-20 00:28
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	19	$2.7K	1,735	1,735	+0	Yes	+$90	06-14 14:55
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$2.5K	1,238	1,238	+0	No	+$6	05-13 02:50
jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	10	$2.5K	1,277	1,277	+0	Yes	+$69	06-24 02:11
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	15	$2.4K	1,769	1,769	+0	No	+$289	07-20 17:14
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	22	$2.3K	1,322	1,322	+0	No	+$175	05-15 10:33
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	2	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$747	09-16 18:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	31	$2.1K	9,495	9,495	+0	open	—	10-27 22:01
starmer out by june 22 2026	13	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$7	06-21 18:14
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 60 79	7	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	No	+$42	03-23 14:12
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	9	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 21:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	10	$1.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$200	03-20 17:17
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.8K	1,048	1,048	+0	Yes	+$90	09-18 22:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$240	06-14 21:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	8	$1.5K	2,147	2,147	+0	Yes	+$418	06-20 13:29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	5	$1.5K	3,682	3,682	-0	No	+$31	06-01 21:48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	4	$1.5K	1,860	1,860	+0	open	—	09-27 15:45
will an fbi top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by march 31	46	$1.5K	1,297	1,297	+0	Yes	+$593	03-12 16:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$1.4K	2,630	2,630	+0	No	+$808	05-25 22:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	3	$1.3K	985	985	+0	No	+$374	05-25 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:18:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	328	22¢	$72	0x16830b…
10-30 11:08:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	6,391	23¢	$1,470	0xec4222…
10-30 11:00:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	1,317	25¢	$329	0x1a15ff…
10-30 07:54:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0xcfcf34…
10-30 07:33:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xeb51b5…
10-30 07:21:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	362	27¢	$98	0xdf6ef4…
10-30 07:16:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	87	27¢	$24	0x260747…
10-29 22:48:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	206	60¢	$124	0x804d64…
10-29 22:47:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	298	60¢	$179	0xeb375c…
10-29 21:38:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	504	12¢	$62	0x999f01…
10-29 21:38:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4,622	30¢	$1,387	0x720af0…
10-29 21:35:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	247	29¢	$71	0xcb1f21…
10-29 21:35:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	2,323	29¢	$670	0x467b2c…
10-29 21:10:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	1,344	26¢	$349	0x1e5222…
10-28 21:39:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6,830	4¢	$266	0x5581e5…
10-28 21:37:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x2573da…
10-28 21:37:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	265	4¢	$11	0x6fae0e…
10-28 21:35:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7,096	4¢	$277	0xef3f2a…
10-27 22:01:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	393	2¢	$9	0x6c3a25…
10-27 21:21:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0xeece4a…
10-27 21:02:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	4,000	6¢	$240	0xcc06c6…
10-27 21:02:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,027	3¢	$32	0x6171d6…
10-27 20:58:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	207	3¢	$7	0x8f8281…
10-27 20:55:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,693	3¢	$52	0x3077d9…
10-27 20:54:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	4,000	7¢	$280	0xebdd84…
10-26 21:17:23	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	425	15¢	$64	0xd9970d…
10-26 21:11:29	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	425	8¢	$33	0x565137…
10-25 22:19:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	73	13¢	$9	0x482bd9…
10-25 22:19:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x2b37ab…
10-25 22:19:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	251	13¢	$33	0xbab8a8…
10-25 22:17:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	327	14¢	$46	0x1ea843…
10-25 22:16:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	940	12¢	$113	0xe76e1d…
10-25 22:13:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0x303b77…
10-25 22:12:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	667	15¢	$100	0x11c6c7…
10-25 22:12:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x32dd76…
10-25 22:12:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	164	15¢	$25	0xe069a8…
10-25 22:12:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x739e55…
10-25 22:11:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	64	15¢	$10	0x5fbd42…
10-25 22:11:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	64	15¢	$10	0x2a5f82…
10-25 22:10:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x91b967…
10-25 22:09:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	233	15¢	$35	0x560923…
10-25 22:07:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	2,898	16¢	$464	0x723017…
10-25 22:01:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	843	22¢	$186	0x25161f…
10-25 21:56:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,342	30¢	$1,003	0xd413ed…
10-25 21:43:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	3,000	11¢	$330	0xe84665…
10-25 21:43:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,019	18¢	$543	0x505b55…
10-25 21:43:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	323	17¢	$55	0x09a66e…
10-25 21:42:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2,977	10¢	$298	0x036955…
10-25 21:40:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,000	17¢	$340	0xd3ba0b…
10-25 21:37:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,000	17¢	$340	0xb85869…
10-25 12:35:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	5,000	17¢	$850	0xee355c…
10-25 12:34:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,000	18¢	$900	0x1226b0…
10-24 22:01:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,358	11¢	$149	0xd79a17…
10-24 21:51:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x63e644…
10-24 21:51:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	104	11¢	$11	0xb4c261…
10-24 21:46:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x7be1e2…
10-24 21:41:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x08acff…
10-24 21:41:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	487	11¢	$54	0xd88cb4…
10-24 21:41:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x23ff26…
10-24 21:41:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xb67e7f…
10-24 07:13:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	2,258	3¢	$57	0x31ef96…
10-24 07:09:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2,258	3¢	$66	0x80aaf6…
10-23 14:50:45	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	Yes	SELL	173	94¢	$162	0x788238…
10-23 14:49:41	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	Yes	BUY	173	62¢	$107	0xd6604c…
10-23 13:19:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$41	0x57bbb7…
10-23 13:18:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$60	0x278403…
10-22 22:04:29	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	100¢	$373	0xd1113a…
10-22 06:53:26	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x68bf30…
10-22 06:53:20	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xaeda43…
10-22 06:53:15	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x174d49…
10-22 06:53:06	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x126c34…
10-21 22:46:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	424	27¢	$115	0x08a5c2…
10-21 22:44:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	186	28¢	$52	0xd46409…
10-21 22:43:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x3e7042…
10-21 22:43:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0xb25c17…
10-21 22:42:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x13dea7…
10-21 22:42:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0xb8f7c0…
10-21 22:42:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	4,331	29¢	$1,271	0x6dee9e…
10-21 20:38:36	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x2335da…
10-21 20:38:33	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xb451f1…
10-21 20:24:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,492	31¢	$462	0x7c04ac…
10-21 20:24:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xde29e3…
10-21 20:24:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xab419b…
10-21 20:24:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x7c41bb…
10-21 20:24:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x4fb969…
10-21 20:24:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x86df89…
10-21 20:23:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0xe0166e…
10-21 19:54:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,000	45¢	$1,350	0x6131ec…
10-21 18:47:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	496	5¢	$24	0xa42a3f…
10-21 18:47:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	104	5¢	$5	0xdad603…
10-21 18:40:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,175	5¢	$58	0xbf58e9…
10-21 18:39:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	225	5¢	$11	0x6ee33c…
10-21 18:26:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10,000	19¢	$1,900	0x8c34be…
10-21 18:25:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$66	0xb6b229…
10-21 17:17:53	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x18493b…
10-21 17:17:33	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x2fcc13…
10-21 15:27:29	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x1461b7…
10-21 13:00:39	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe53a62…
10-21 13:00:27	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc2a645…
10-20 18:18:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	3,039	5¢	$162	0xdaaf42…