Obedient-Crayfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

147

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$280

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-22 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

69% 83% +$7

Crypto

23% 66% -$5

Politics

7% 86% +$5

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:00 UTC	2	$7	9	0	+9	Down	-$1	03-28 05:04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$7	38	25	+13	Yes	+$3	06-02 15:20
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 07:39
will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting on march 26	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	03-26 16:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 03:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 18:05
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$1	06-13 02:39
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 07:20 UTC	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	03-16 07:24
will trump say mental institution at the nrcc dinner on march 25 298	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	03-26 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 11?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 18:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-15 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 11:44
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 6?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-06 12:58
will melania say husband or trump during fostering the future together event on march 24	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	03-25 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	06-06 17:12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 5?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 14:55
will trump say obliterated or obliteration or obliterating or obliterate during memphis roundtable 531	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	03-23 18:28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-05 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 16:46
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 31?	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 23:05
epl tot sun 2026 01 04 total 2pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	Under	+$1	01-04 17:09
will trump say biden or obama 7 times during memphis roundtable 863	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	03-23 18:29
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 18:44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 31?	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:25 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-28 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 10:19:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xcb0f62…
08-22 10:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb7d07d…
08-22 07:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x953307…
08-21 09:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb72de9…
08-21 08:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3f57ce…
07-18 14:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xcdf9d4…
07-18 13:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x918143…
07-17 15:49:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5a404f…
07-14 13:27:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x46ca2d…
07-12 16:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x724493…
07-12 16:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x393cd5…
07-12 13:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6cdd71…
07-12 13:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaec7da…
07-12 11:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4a7673…
07-12 07:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x58e5da…
07-12 07:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd68950…
07-12 07:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x47ea56…
07-12 03:14:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf76831…
07-11 22:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd29843…
07-11 21:07:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xad34d0…
07-11 18:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xb5d8dc…
07-11 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb61b5e…
07-11 18:05:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9b04ef…
07-11 17:20:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2d773c…
07-11 16:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x1c7883…
07-10 05:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0e01f7…
07-10 03:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7436d9…
07-09 23:00:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7b7cae…
07-09 21:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x041026…
07-09 17:03:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x832b18…
07-09 15:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b51d9…
07-09 12:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x319592…
07-09 11:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbd5000…
07-09 08:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49c390…
07-09 08:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x92abfd…
07-09 05:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd81755…
07-07 15:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x428580…
07-07 15:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x88b884…
07-07 11:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x771285…
07-06 21:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1ac4bf…
07-06 18:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x207175…
07-06 13:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2e4acf…
07-05 17:32:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfdec17…
07-05 05:09:14	will trump say six seven during tribute to america rally 20260630160620571	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x40a2a6…
07-04 15:59:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0d6d7e…
07-04 10:05:05	will trump say six seven during tribute to america rally 20260630160620571	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb812e1…
06-17 22:04:08	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb5d847…
06-17 07:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 17?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x938374…
06-17 06:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 17?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7114c4…
06-15 17:28:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x01e41e…
06-15 17:25:49	Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe3c540…
06-15 14:22:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xec9c97…
06-15 01:44:24	Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe42fc4…
06-14 11:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5d3b4a…
06-14 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x718f85…
06-13 02:39:28	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbb0797…
06-13 00:18:39	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x7d52b9…
06-12 14:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0714eb…
06-12 07:23:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x54fab6…
06-11 21:57:34	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x981b8a…
06-11 12:42:46	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xea4e95…
06-11 12:41:49	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe62c74…
06-08 07:32:15	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4ba2a7…
06-07 09:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa25f79…
06-06 17:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x71c9fb…
06-06 14:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc8739a…
06-06 12:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 6?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x834428…
06-06 11:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x91997a…
06-06 11:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x90a6c5…
06-06 10:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0a6f59…
06-05 17:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x820193…
06-05 16:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5daa03…
06-05 15:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x31a3c6…
06-05 15:13:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x10d934…
06-05 14:55:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x94ac8d…
06-05 12:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa125af…
06-05 08:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ad63e…
06-05 06:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a94e2…
06-05 05:17:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x90e3de…
06-04 18:44:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x9ae809…
06-04 12:46:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd56b39…
06-03 14:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x226a72…
06-03 13:52:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x28b676…
06-03 08:50:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1eb135…
06-03 08:15:09	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa75dd9…
06-03 07:17:20	will ciena q2 networking platforms revenue be above 1pt25b	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe88e7b…
06-02 23:08:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9424fe…
06-02 22:51:42	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x105655…
06-02 15:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x857dcb…
06-02 15:16:42	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x29040b…
06-02 14:33:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x7939d4…
06-02 13:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x11cb18…
06-02 06:54:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2f2463…
06-01 23:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53e893…
06-01 23:57:00	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $6.5B?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xceebb8…
06-01 14:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x43b37d…
06-01 13:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xff2d48…
06-01 13:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ad614…
06-01 13:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb010f6…
06-01 11:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8fcde7…