Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$283

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

208

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$5.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-16

last 09-08 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 40% -$224

Other

33% 19% -$36

Politics

1% 12% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$606	598	598	+0	No	-$23	09-08 15:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$433	618	618	-0	Yes	$0	08-09 13:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$224	140	140	+0	Yes	+$12	07-29 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:55 UTC	1	$198	0	200	-200	Down	-$2	08-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	2	$196	0	198	-198	Down	-$2	08-09 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:10 UTC	1	$194	0	196	-196	Up	-$2	08-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:15 UTC	1	$148	0	150	-150	Down	-$2	08-09 14:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$112	77	77	+0	No	+$0	07-25 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:50 UTC	14	$103	93	47	+46	Up	-$9	07-26 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:15 UTC	7	$92	101	84	+17	Up	+$12	07-29 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:25 UTC	5	$87	64	53	+11	Down	+$3	07-29 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:20 UTC	5	$87	110	48	+63	Down	+$7	07-29 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	4	$86	232	100	+132	No	-$4	08-13 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:55 UTC	7	$79	73	73	+0	Down	-$13	07-26 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:00 UTC	3	$75	81	45	+36	Down	+$15	07-29 10:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$72	350	350	+0	open	—	08-13 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:10 UTC	3	$65	70	35	+35	Up	+$5	07-29 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:40 UTC	9	$64	40	40	+0	Up	+$16	07-26 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:35 UTC	4	$64	60	60	+0	Up	+$12	08-09 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	3	$64	63	32	+32	Down	-$1	08-09 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:05 UTC	3	$63	70	33	+37	Up	+$3	07-29 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:00 UTC	3	$63	64	33	+31	Up	+$3	07-29 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:10 UTC	4	$60	44	30	+14	Down	+$0	07-29 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:35 UTC	3	$49	400	29	+371	Down	+$9	07-20 17:40
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 20 2026 20260630182730898	3	$42	166	166	+0	No	-$11	07-20 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:25 UTC	9	$42	25	25	+0	Down	+$8	07-26 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:20 UTC	7	$42	51	25	+26	Up	+$8	07-20 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:30 UTC	7	$40	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	07-26 10:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:45 UTC	4	$40	74	0	+74	Up	-$40	08-09 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:05 UTC	2	$40	32	32	+0	Down	+$20	07-26 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 15:53:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	447	45¢	$201	0x3420b1…
09-07 19:11:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x11675c…
09-06 19:25:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa0639a…
09-03 09:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb7036d…
09-03 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe4f198…
09-03 01:09:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf649fb…
08-30 21:24:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x9b7f80…
08-30 16:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc67349…
08-30 16:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x823480…
08-30 16:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x40c9bd…
08-30 16:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0x799c7e…
08-30 16:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1f0b25…
08-30 08:49:43	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0x5e92a0…
08-29 13:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfc946d…
08-29 13:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb02af5…
08-29 13:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x1fbf3e…
08-29 13:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc1cb23…
08-29 13:30:36	Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	55	14¢	$8	0xa94f2a…
08-29 01:59:55	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x004004…
08-29 01:54:00	Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0x8f23a0…
08-29 01:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xbfaf76…
08-29 01:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xbaa78f…
08-29 01:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7e3634…
08-29 01:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x776f08…
08-29 00:49:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	435	50¢	$218	0x9cfeeb…
08-13 14:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xc1a363…
08-13 14:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	28¢	$35	0x977088…
08-13 13:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x00b0c2…
08-13 13:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xada59d…
08-13 13:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x365f4c…
08-13 13:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa49810…
08-13 13:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x872373…
08-13 13:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xfe5e10…
08-13 13:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xc4b9ef…
08-13 13:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc1f821…
08-13 13:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf2f3f7…
08-13 13:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1939ac…
08-13 13:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa8048e…
08-13 13:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x263a08…
08-13 13:45:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7a4bef…
08-13 13:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd300bf…
08-13 13:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x7cd079…
08-13 13:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1857b0…
08-13 13:42:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd527f2…
08-13 13:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcce516…
08-13 13:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa46fdb…
08-13 13:40:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	350	10¢	$33	0xe35709…
08-12 13:05:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	11¢	$39	0x02412c…
08-12 13:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x9a8bd5…
08-12 13:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x30ac3b…
08-10 07:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x1b60f4…
08-10 07:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xba8cce…
08-10 07:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xeb7015…
08-10 07:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd29dd9…
08-10 07:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf428e2…
08-10 07:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x617879…
08-10 07:06:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	29¢	$9	0x11f337…
08-10 07:06:01	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$2	0xe52716…
08-10 07:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x92b1b1…
08-09 18:26:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	126	62¢	$78	0xf4dce5…
08-09 15:53:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	63¢	$79	0x8c8a78…
08-09 15:51:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xf76481…
08-09 15:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa441e4…
08-09 15:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf7c242…
08-09 15:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4d7960…
08-09 15:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4ba268…
08-09 15:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf82c92…
08-09 15:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0x898aee…
08-09 15:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x3f5003…
08-09 15:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x5ccad3…
08-09 15:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5589d5…
08-09 15:41:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x111b4a…
08-09 15:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x810eb0…
08-09 15:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xd4000b…
08-09 15:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfe1151…
08-09 15:38:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0x36562a…
08-09 15:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xeea98e…
08-09 15:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xe81892…
08-09 15:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x66beef…
08-09 15:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xea4d59…
08-09 15:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xfb0b6f…
08-09 15:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5dddde…
08-09 15:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3c0061…
08-09 15:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xde1bf6…
08-09 15:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x50a86f…
08-09 15:17:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x621528…
08-09 15:17:21	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 60 minutes long 20260807064756495	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xe04762…
08-09 15:17:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	Yes	SELL	70	11¢	$8	0x881174…
08-09 15:17:07	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x9fe448…
08-09 15:16:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xd0cfba…
08-09 15:16:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x5f6fd1…
08-09 15:16:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	220	3¢	$6	0x8c6876…
08-09 15:16:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	SELL	700	1¢	$4	0xbc7d6d…
08-09 15:16:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	SELL	610	2¢	$9	0xdc7f52…
08-09 15:14:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$6	0x8107ec…
08-09 15:14:24	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x2f084f…
08-09 15:13:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0x62c396…
08-09 15:13:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	151	5¢	$7	0x7f2c01…
08-09 15:13:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x579165…
08-09 15:12:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	610	2¢	$11	0xbe9dfc…