Rigid-Fear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$311

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 68% $-18

Other

9% 54% +$0

Sports

5% 88% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$38	21	19	+2	Down	$-0	05-05 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$18	34	0	+34	Down	$-16	05-05 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$17	19	0	+19	Down	$-1	05-05 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$16	20	0	+20	Up	+$3	05-05 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	05-05 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$13	17	0	+17	Down	+$4	05-05 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	05-05 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	05-05 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$6	6	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$6	6	3	+2	Up	+$2	05-05 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-05 09:44
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	2	$5	9	0	+9	Division One	+$4	05-04 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$5	4	3	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-05 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-05 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-05 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-05 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-05 08:44
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$4	3	3	+0	Timberwolves	+$2	05-05 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$3	4	1	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Up	$-1	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Up	$-0	05-05 08:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva	2	$3	2	2	+0	Alina Korneeva	+$1	05-05 11:58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu	2	$3	2	2	+0	Bianca Andreescu	+$1	05-05 13:22
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$2	1	1	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$0	05-05 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 01:48:20	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d5231…
05-06 10:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbf0c66…
05-06 10:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x80c65f…
05-06 10:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ce2c5…
05-06 09:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d98af…
05-06 09:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d1e5f…
05-06 09:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x651161…
05-06 06:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51270c…
05-06 06:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4dd975…
05-06 06:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b7cc7…
05-06 06:42:28	Dota 2: 5 Silly Mice vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	InterActive Philippines	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x070ef5…
05-06 03:25:32	Dota 2: 5 Silly Mice vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	InterActive Philippines	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x182b4f…
05-06 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x49a55a…
05-06 03:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a9cde…
05-06 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2bdb64…
05-06 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x742cb9…
05-05 14:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x15c0fd…
05-05 14:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d061a…
05-05 14:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xf8742e…
05-05 14:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x742012…
05-05 14:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x24d52a…
05-05 14:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xe54c33…
05-05 14:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5e5e24…
05-05 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5cfb41…
05-05 14:10:40	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	REKONIX	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xc7732d…
05-05 14:10:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	Patrick Kypson	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3d2aa5…
05-05 13:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf3e347…
05-05 13:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb972a0…
05-05 13:22:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x45c758…
05-05 13:20:14	Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	TYLOO	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfead85…
05-05 13:19:24	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	REKONIX	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1259ba…
05-05 12:51:08	Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Aurora Young Blood	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1695d7…
05-05 12:50:00	Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Aurora Young Blood	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2a27dc…
05-05 12:47:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	Patrick Kypson	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x141cc0…
05-05 12:35:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf9e089…
05-05 12:34:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Anna Bondar	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfe7ecd…
05-05 11:59:04	Istanbul: Katherine Sebov vs Berfu Cengiz	Berfu Cengiz	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdf5dae…
05-05 11:58:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d230a…
05-05 11:20:46	Istanbul: Katherine Sebov vs Berfu Cengiz	Berfu Cengiz	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd8f0fe…
05-05 11:20:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaadb1d…
05-05 11:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd8e003…
05-05 11:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x74257b…
05-05 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f3b2d…
05-05 10:28:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova	Anastasia Potapova	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4ae891…
05-05 10:22:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x58863f…
05-05 10:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xceb1a7…
05-05 09:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2dcc56…
05-05 09:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1c007e…
05-05 09:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x450692…
05-05 09:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2a476b…
05-05 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf1694c…
05-05 09:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xdeca03…
05-05 09:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x6acaa3…
05-05 09:32:46	LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa6c6fe…
05-05 09:31:30	LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf60f87…
05-05 09:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0b4307…
05-05 09:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea6ce2…
05-05 09:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9e982d…
05-05 09:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x401d0c…
05-05 09:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6fd3aa…
05-05 09:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9b12d4…
05-05 09:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x6da396…
05-05 09:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7cbc8a…
05-05 09:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2c7e65…
05-05 09:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x34dfaf…
05-05 08:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbf35fa…
05-05 08:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x21b8b6…
05-05 08:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2beb29…
05-05 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc058c8…
05-05 08:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x29ac43…
05-05 08:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc3d6c8…
05-05 08:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1cb4ed…
05-05 08:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x215ab2…
05-05 08:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x404178…
05-05 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x40991f…
05-05 08:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x018282…
05-05 08:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4a770c…
05-05 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x0588e5…
05-05 08:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5e8b0a…
05-05 08:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6a719b…
05-05 08:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf883b0…
05-05 07:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf6172f…
05-05 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xdaacda…
05-05 07:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8dc659…
05-05 07:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf7ff7b…
05-05 07:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa92519…
05-05 07:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7b3740…
05-05 07:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4bcf2f…
05-05 07:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1a3bb2…
05-05 07:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9e9e1…
05-05 07:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcf2f4b…
05-05 07:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xafb908…
05-05 07:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5b89bf…
05-05 07:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x7bb77d…
05-05 07:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9c0639…
05-05 07:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x18ce70…
05-05 07:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff6d81…
05-05 07:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1bba8d…
05-05 07:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe7dfdc…
05-05 07:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xd52b75…