Obvious-Puzzle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$4.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-20 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 0% $-36

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771281000	6	$490	937	462	+475	open	—	02-16 22:34
btc updown 5m 1771281300	11	$338	401	297	+104	open	—	02-16 22:40
btc updown 5m 1771281900	6	$233	296	256	+40	open	—	02-16 22:48
eth updown 15m 1770720300	2	$230	212	212	+0	open	—	02-10 11:00
btc updown 15m 1770722100	1	$200	534	0	+534	open	—	02-10 11:28
btc updown 5m 1771282800	8	$186	185	182	+2	open	—	02-16 23:05
btc updown 5m 1771283100	5	$133	126	121	+5	open	—	02-16 23:09
btc updown 5m 1771206900	4	$127	610	108	+501	open	—	02-16 02:01
btc updown 5m 1771467900	5	$126	191	90	+101	open	—	02-19 02:30
btc updown 5m 1771282200	4	$125	687	185	+502	open	—	02-16 22:55
sol updown 5m 1771466700	3	$121	179	119	+60	open	—	02-19 02:09
btc updown 5m 1771282500	5	$100	152	127	+25	open	—	02-16 22:58
btc updown 5m 1771284900	1	$100	167	0	+167	open	—	02-16 23:36
btc updown 5m 1771468200	1	$100	363	0	+363	open	—	02-19 02:33
btc updown 5m 1771376400	4	$75	104	104	+1	open	—	02-18 01:04
btc updown 5m 1771284600	6	$73	185	84	+101	open	—	02-16 23:35
btc updown 5m 1771467600	2	$71	5,106	0	+5,106	open	—	02-19 02:24
btc updown 5m 1771467300	7	$70	73	72	+1	open	—	02-19 02:20
btc updown 5m 1771283700	7	$68	60	59	+1	open	—	02-16 23:20
btc updown 5m 1771284000	8	$67	63	62	+1	open	—	02-16 23:25
btc updown 5m 1771468500	1	$64	347	0	+347	open	—	02-19 02:36
btc updown 5m 1771284300	5	$57	110	34	+76	open	—	02-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	9	$57	575	50	+525	open	—	05-20 21:29
sol updown 15m 1771207200	6	$52	348	103	+245	open	—	02-16 02:13
btc updown 5m 1771283400	1	$50	109	0	+109	open	—	02-16 23:10
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	2	$47	535	535	+0	open	—	02-04 00:11
btc updown 5m 1771205700	2	$46	37	37	+0	open	—	02-16 01:39
btc updown 15m 1770718500	2	$46	2,224	0	+2,224	open	—	02-10 10:30
trump out as president by march 31	3	$46	762	762	+0	open	—	02-15 20:39
btc updown 5m 1771205100	3	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	02-16 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1ce81a…
05-20 21:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x447320…
05-20 21:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbfc1d3…
05-20 21:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	42¢	$6	0x946f47…
05-20 21:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa9638d…
05-20 21:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	37	44¢	$16	0x5021fa…
05-20 21:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x19db81…
05-20 21:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x97bebf…
05-20 21:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7b9841…
05-20 21:26:17	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x06866b…
05-20 21:24:20	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xd9a368…
05-10 15:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x618666…
05-07 10:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xafdb7c…
05-07 10:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0xa42717…
05-07 10:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4083fb…
05-07 10:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2ec11c…
05-07 10:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xeb4ec1…
05-07 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xefd877…
05-07 10:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3adb6a…
05-07 10:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x1626b2…
05-07 07:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0b61fa…
05-07 07:52:30	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x67361f…
05-07 07:52:20	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xe55b5a…
05-07 07:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	493	0¢	$1	0x861410…
05-07 07:50:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltert	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde7e55…
05-07 07:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0x97724f…
05-07 07:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	392	0¢	$0	0xf6b1a6…
05-07 07:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xddd1c7…
05-07 07:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xabbf9a…
05-07 07:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	392	1¢	$2	0xf3be01…
05-07 07:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb97dfb…
05-07 07:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13bd5a…
02-19 02:36:22	btc updown 5m 1771468500	Up	BUY	347	18¢	$64	0x161349…
02-19 02:33:08	btc updown 5m 1771468200	Up	BUY	363	28¢	$100	0xc29766…
02-19 02:30:02	btc updown 5m 1771467900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x35394d…
02-19 02:29:54	btc updown 5m 1771467900	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x3fb59b…
02-19 02:29:06	btc updown 5m 1771467900	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2820b2…
02-19 02:28:50	btc updown 5m 1771467900	Up	SELL	81	90¢	$73	0xcecea8…
02-19 02:27:24	btc updown 5m 1771467900	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xe4370e…
02-19 02:24:18	btc updown 5m 1771467600	Down	BUY	5,055	1¢	$51	0x565fa0…
02-19 02:20:42	btc updown 5m 1771467600	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4b343d…
02-19 02:20:16	btc updown 5m 1771467300	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdffdc4…
02-19 02:19:46	btc updown 5m 1771467300	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xbca9d4…
02-19 02:18:46	btc updown 5m 1771467300	Down	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0x49b7c2…
02-19 02:18:22	btc updown 5m 1771467300	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfadfdb…
02-19 02:18:08	btc updown 5m 1771467300	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x475cfc…
02-19 02:18:02	btc updown 5m 1771467300	Down	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x144616…
02-19 02:16:48	btc updown 5m 1771467300	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x90202a…
02-19 02:15:52	btc updown 5m 1771467000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa03078…
02-19 02:15:18	btc updown 5m 1771467000	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x78d97b…
02-19 02:14:52	btc updown 5m 1771467000	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc43f72…
02-19 02:14:40	btc updown 5m 1771467000	Up	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x954bf0…
02-19 02:12:20	btc updown 5m 1771467000	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdf5264…
02-19 02:12:08	sol updown 5m 1771467000	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9d4483…
02-19 02:09:48	sol updown 5m 1771466700	Down	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0xa3739c…
02-19 02:09:32	sol updown 5m 1771466700	Up	SELL	119	46¢	$55	0xcaf447…
02-19 02:09:22	btc updown 5m 1771466700	Up	SELL	24	81¢	$20	0xbc4604…
02-19 02:06:54	sol updown 5m 1771466700	Up	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0xe4e5b4…
02-19 02:06:20	btc updown 5m 1771466700	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x0a7f81…
02-19 02:04:38	eth updown 5m 1771466400	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4cff06…
02-19 02:01:42	btc updown 5m 1771466400	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x96aad6…
02-19 01:56:34	btc updown 5m 1771466100	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x96acbd…
02-19 01:56:18	btc updown 5m 1771466100	Down	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x6f4691…
02-19 01:55:52	btc updown 5m 1771466100	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8da6aa…
02-19 01:54:50	btc updown 5m 1771465800	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x8639da…
02-19 01:54:06	btc updown 5m 1771465800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x04b7f8…
02-19 01:54:04	btc updown 5m 1771465800	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x40c178…
02-19 01:52:34	btc updown 5m 1771465800	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x45405a…
02-19 01:52:26	btc updown 5m 1771465800	Up	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0xb0bdf0…
02-19 01:51:54	btc updown 5m 1771465800	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x62f110…
02-18 01:46:53	btc updown 5m 1771379100	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x954966…
02-18 01:06:25	btc updown 5m 1771376700	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xcd8728…
02-18 01:04:37	btc updown 5m 1771376400	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x71097e…
02-18 01:02:49	btc updown 5m 1771376400	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa42705…
02-18 01:02:27	btc updown 5m 1771376400	Down	SELL	91	47¢	$43	0x8edbb9…
02-18 01:01:59	btc updown 5m 1771376400	Down	BUY	91	16¢	$15	0xa1fdeb…
02-18 00:26:07	btc updown 5m 1771374300	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb9ecab…
02-18 00:24:23	btc updown 5m 1771374000	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5f5f65…
02-17 23:49:13	btc updown 5m 1771371900	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xa9df5a…
02-17 23:48:41	btc updown 5m 1771371900	Down	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x4939cd…
02-17 23:47:57	btc updown 5m 1771371900	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xed1550…
02-16 23:45:29	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ee2d0…
02-16 23:44:43	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x3d8049…
02-16 23:44:37	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xad355b…
02-16 23:44:27	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xba25cf…
02-16 23:44:15	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Down	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0xcc103a…
02-16 23:43:09	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3dd0cc…
02-16 23:42:45	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x44576e…
02-16 23:41:25	btc updown 5m 1771285200	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfa0d58…
02-16 23:36:29	btc updown 5m 1771284900	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x255afa…
02-16 23:35:09	btc updown 5m 1771284600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbdfbfb…
02-16 23:35:01	btc updown 5m 1771284600	Down	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x116619…
02-16 23:32:55	btc updown 5m 1771284600	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1168f1…
02-16 23:32:43	btc updown 5m 1771284600	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x6f4ca9…
02-16 23:32:33	btc updown 5m 1771284600	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xe0ba64…
02-16 23:31:17	btc updown 5m 1771284600	Down	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xdb9573…
02-16 23:28:49	btc updown 5m 1771284300	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x939085…
02-16 23:26:29	btc updown 5m 1771284300	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x1423f1…
02-16 23:26:15	btc updown 5m 1771284300	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x52e8c3…
02-16 23:26:05	btc updown 5m 1771284300	Down	SELL	32	68¢	$22	0x71ca24…