Selfish-Therapist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-15 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 59% $-1

Other

32% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-39	$-2	4¢	$-1	+$0	06-15 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	6	$71	104	104	+0	open	—	05-15 20:22
cricpsl hyd pes 2026 04 08	4	$56	31	31	+0	open	—	04-08 17:34
cricpsl pes lah 2026 04 11	8	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	04-11 12:53
cricpsl lah que 2026 04 17	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$38	56	56	+0	open	—	05-16 05:06
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings	4	$36	41	14	+27	open	—	04-23 16:07
cricpsl pes mul 2026 04 13	5	$35	46	23	+24	open	—	04-13 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$34	45	45	+0	open	—	05-16 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$33	86	0	+86	Down	$-33	05-10 18:16
btc updown 5m 1776098100	4	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-13 16:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$31	21	20	+0	open	—	04-16 01:09
cricpsl kar isl 2026 04 16	3	$29	20	19	+0	open	—	04-16 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	5	$29	67	67	+0	open	—	05-15 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	5	$28	36	36	+0	open	—	05-15 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	05-15 20:48
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$25	87	0	+87	open	—	05-15 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$23	29	29	+0	open	—	05-16 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 16:59
btc updown 5m 1775528100	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-07 02:20
btc updown 15m 1775961900	5	$18	40	9	+31	open	—	04-12 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$17	72	32	+40	open	—	05-15 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$17	36	36	+0	open	—	05-15 10:25
cricpsl pes que 2026 04 15	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 17:21
cricpsl kar pes 2026 04 09	5	$15	64	62	+2	open	—	04-09 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 03:26
cricpsl hyd isl 2026 04 12	4	$15	26	24	+2	open	—	04-12 17:32
btc updown 5m 1776967200	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-23 18:03
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiators	3	$14	15	14	+0	open	—	04-21 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$9	05-14 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:44:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x9e9fe3…
05-16 18:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xb544cc…
05-16 18:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x19bb94…
05-16 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe142d3…
05-16 14:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x236bbe…
05-16 14:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x06b7cc…
05-16 14:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb458b2…
05-16 14:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	45	42¢	$19	0x81a68a…
05-16 14:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xcf6980…
05-16 14:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb9426d…
05-16 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1e8e04…
05-16 14:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2da160…
05-16 14:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4fceb6…
05-16 14:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4ece03…
05-16 14:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2fb0a2…
05-16 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0fe596…
05-16 05:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x11b767…
05-16 05:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x30d514…
05-16 05:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x67c0e2…
05-16 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0x3aea14…
05-16 05:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3974e1…
05-16 05:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0478da…
05-16 05:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc4b810…
05-15 20:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xe10de3…
05-15 20:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x04b12e…
05-15 20:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xa9d73f…
05-15 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe96222…
05-15 20:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x729827…
05-15 20:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xca42cf…
05-15 20:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf39ac3…
05-15 20:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xe79389…
05-15 20:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xed7764…
05-15 20:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	69	32¢	$22	0xd16acd…
05-15 20:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xcd1687…
05-15 20:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe78fcf…
05-15 20:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x20bf3f…
05-15 20:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	36	48¢	$17	0x20490f…
05-15 20:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x393c80…
05-15 19:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x50b4fe…
05-15 19:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x8f95fb…
05-15 19:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6b5aaa…
05-15 19:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfcae2e…
05-15 19:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f65bc…
05-15 19:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9ec3ce…
05-15 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x00ccc4…
05-15 19:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0c2511…
05-15 17:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x807570…
05-15 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa01ab7…
05-15 17:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8267ed…
05-15 17:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xd81495…
05-15 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd14e7c…
05-15 10:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x28ff28…
05-15 10:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xb80755…
05-15 10:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x60ac90…
05-15 10:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x0b3544…
05-15 10:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xcbec07…
05-15 10:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x732632…
05-15 10:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdd5a49…
05-15 10:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x1636ae…
05-15 10:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd689e9…
05-15 10:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6c191e…
05-15 04:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x365e33…
05-15 04:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	30¢	$9	0x1a48a7…
05-15 04:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xe9448f…
05-15 04:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa2f41f…
05-15 04:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x707d95…
05-15 04:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5bf06e…
05-15 03:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa477c2…
05-15 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x251813…
05-15 03:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x7c5d2b…
05-15 03:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xa5c099…
05-15 03:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xf3670b…
05-15 03:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	59	29¢	$17	0x807c87…
05-15 03:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x8f58ff…
05-15 03:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc472b8…
05-15 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x42d1a1…
05-15 03:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb3afa9…
05-15 02:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x2e66e2…
05-15 02:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c4775…
05-15 02:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xca0082…
05-15 02:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x5afced…
05-15 02:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x972c65…
05-14 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xce15b5…
05-14 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc77ec3…
05-14 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x614092…
05-14 16:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0b3653…
05-14 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9ca801…
05-14 16:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x53f18f…
05-14 16:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa875a6…
05-14 13:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x88e83f…
05-14 13:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x49ab7a…
05-14 13:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f4c62…
05-14 13:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xff58f3…
05-14 13:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x975231…
05-14 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7cc66c…
05-14 12:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x025401…
05-14 12:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb4a5c0…
05-14 12:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x17c7ab…
05-14 12:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xd659c2…
05-14 12:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf65234…