(anonymous) 0x2f457b…d7f713
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
18.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
456
lifetime
Volume
$12.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$6.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 11-01 14:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
66% 20% -$19
Tech
17% — —
Politics
16% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +706 $580 82¢ $576 -$4 10-20 20:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +645 $453 70¢ $451 -$1 10-29 13:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +665 $443 62¢ $409 -$34 11-01 14:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +706 $432 55¢ $385 -$48 11-01 13:36
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +555 $374 66¢ $369 -$5 10-27 06:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +706 $262 46¢ $321 +$59 11-01 13:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +400 $274 66¢ $264 -$10 11-01 13:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +665 $248 38¢ $256 +$8 11-01 16:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +255 $206 84¢ $214 +$8 10-30 03:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +645 $204 30¢ $193 -$10 10-29 14:24
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +555 $185 34¢ $186 +$1 10-27 06:46
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +275 $192 66¢ $183 -$10 11-01 06:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +344 $204 52¢ $177 -$27 10-29 17:05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +314 $200 56¢ $176 -$24 10-23 22:39
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +344 $155 48¢ $167 +$11 10-30 00:55
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +200 $148 83¢ $166 +$18 10-17 21:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +314 $116 44¢ $139 +$22 10-24 05:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +400 $139 34¢ $136 -$3 11-01 14:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +706 $125 18¢ $130 +$5 10-20 21:11
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +191 $127 68¢ $129 +$2 11-01 00:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +235 $129 54¢ $126 -$4 10-16 18:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +197 $125 61¢ $121 -$4 10-31 01:58
No one announced as next James Bond? No +145 $93 83¢ $120 +$27 10-19 15:10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +197 $107 58¢ $114 +$8 10-27 09:38
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +340 $110 34¢ $114 +$4 11-01 14:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +235 $102 46¢ $109 +$7 10-16 18:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +185 $94 52¢ $95 +$1 10-21 20:30
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +185 $110 51¢ $95 -$15 10-27 08:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +185 $89 48¢ $90 +$1 10-21 17:38
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +135 $63 66¢ $88 +$25 10-19 11:05