Shocking-Passage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

236

Trades

7,852

lifetime

Volume

$49.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-31 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 53% +$154

Other

21% 49% $-428

Sports

3% 14% +$68

Politics

0% 0% $-3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 623 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	open	—	03-18 21:35
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	open	—	03-18 21:35
bitcoin up or down march 9 5pm et	26	$523	2,805	444	+2,360	open	—	03-09 22:19
nba por sas 2026 04 21	13	$481	291	272	+19	open	—	04-22 02:10
bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	56	$407	1,481	0	+1,481	open	—	03-11 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	10	$403	635	0	+635	open	—	05-14 16:29
btc updown 5m 1773122100	40	$334	423	0	+423	open	—	03-10 05:59
lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24	4	$300	405	0	+405	open	—	04-23 13:46
btc updown 5m 1775530500	169	$250	497	0	+497	open	—	04-07 02:55
docu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 17 2026 0pt95	2	$249	250	0	+250	open	—	03-17 20:05
btc updown 15m 1773100800	103	$219	1,630	0	+1,630	open	—	03-10 00:15
ethereum above 2300 on april 13	2	$215	147	142	+5	open	—	04-13 17:06
btc updown 5m 1773410100	58	$205	375	0	+375	open	—	03-13 13:59
cs2 sashia z7 2026 04 18	3	$203	104	103	+0	open	—	04-18 17:29
cs2 immune z7 2026 04 18	3	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	04-18 17:29
btc updown 5m 1773409500	58	$202	403	0	+403	open	—	03-13 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$200	382	0	+382	Up	$-200	05-13 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	42	$199	381	0	+381	Up	$-199	05-13 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	21	$196	345	0	+345	open	—	05-17 15:30
ethereum above 2300 on april 9	2	$196	144	141	+3	open	—	04-08 08:32
cs2 sashia immune 2026 04 18	2	$195	104	104	+0	open	—	04-18 17:29
btc updown 5m 1773387600	50	$184	252	0	+252	open	—	03-13 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	6	$180	132	126	+6	open	—	04-28 06:50
btc updown 5m 1773408600	43	$173	303	0	+303	open	—	03-13 13:31
btc updown 5m 1773386700	59	$170	3,032	0	+3,032	open	—	03-13 07:30
btc updown 5m 1773137100	48	$157	1,121	0	+1,121	open	—	03-10 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	12	$153	212	0	+212	Down	+$59	05-13 06:21
btc updown 5m 1773102000	84	$149	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	03-10 00:24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	10	$149	218	0	+218	open	—	05-03 19:50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	15	$148	251	0	+251	open	—	05-03 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x351658…
05-30 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	992	1¢	$10	0x285e23…
05-30 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x13dd00…
05-28 15:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x00f098…
05-28 11:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5ce0e8…
05-27 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x36af5a…
05-26 04:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0cb19b…
05-25 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xe0b516…
05-25 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0x6a120a…
05-25 08:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3586c4…
05-24 12:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xec6101…
05-24 12:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x3a7249…
05-24 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xae1a84…
05-21 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x69aa2f…
05-21 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd1034f…
05-20 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xe77cc3…
05-20 02:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xabf6c0…
05-19 10:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xd55a20…
05-18 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x86edc5…
05-18 21:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5eb1c6…
05-18 21:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa71372…
05-18 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbfb821…
05-18 20:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xdc932c…
05-18 19:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x266044…
05-18 19:49:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x928612…
05-18 19:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf0fd0d…
05-18 19:44:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x592f72…
05-18 19:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x0e1dad…
05-18 18:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x62934a…
05-18 18:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x21b4c7…
05-18 18:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeb7f05…
05-18 18:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x512d3b…
05-18 18:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x994a45…
05-18 18:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x4deb2b…
05-18 18:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x698ee7…
05-18 18:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	94	13¢	$12	0xba1720…
05-18 18:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x3202e2…
05-18 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xfed6d2…
05-18 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xe3abc4…
05-18 18:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x5ababc…
05-18 18:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x979b24…
05-18 18:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdc3c2e…
05-18 18:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x4be2c1…
05-18 18:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xdc32ab…
05-18 18:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdbe161…
05-18 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x6d0c3f…
05-18 18:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0fa948…
05-18 18:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xdfc4fd…
05-18 18:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0x8da845…
05-18 18:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0xf7ca9f…
05-18 18:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0xfa78ca…
05-18 18:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x6e708f…
05-18 18:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x074ad1…
05-18 18:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xf06a8b…
05-18 18:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x49496e…
05-18 18:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	52	23¢	$12	0x27198d…
05-18 18:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x76af53…
05-18 18:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	30¢	$14	0x409980…
05-18 18:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0xa7dbac…
05-18 18:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0x0f5d71…
05-18 18:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	68	35¢	$24	0xc252cd…
05-18 18:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x257be0…
05-18 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xcd89a1…
05-18 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x7804ab…
05-18 18:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x452b18…
05-18 15:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9d365e…
05-18 14:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x284e90…
05-18 14:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf03a95…
05-18 14:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x4032ee…
05-18 14:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x91e0ed…
05-18 14:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x335f64…
05-18 13:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x326e73…
05-18 12:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe85036…
05-18 12:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf1e03e…
05-18 12:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xd36b3f…
05-18 12:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xea6451…
05-18 11:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb6cd10…
05-18 10:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1cc284…
05-18 06:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x148821…
05-18 02:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x157b1d…
05-18 02:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x06416d…
05-18 02:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc17dc8…
05-18 01:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	58¢	$25	0x024252…
05-18 01:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0xdbb32e…
05-18 01:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x236e84…
05-18 00:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x8e0ee2…
05-18 00:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x27542f…
05-18 00:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x7133b6…
05-18 00:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0x69a854…
05-18 00:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x6e4d7d…
05-18 00:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xb392c6…
05-18 00:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xd5842a…
05-17 23:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0xc00e8c…
05-17 23:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x79535c…
05-17 23:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0xa90fc3…
05-17 23:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	47	52¢	$25	0xb1df3b…
05-17 22:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8d2d1e…
05-17 22:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x20a4bb…
05-17 22:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	992	1¢	$10	0x34e868…
05-17 22:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0xe214ff…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	607	$380.5K	16,324	05-28 11:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	561	$170.2K	15,535	05-31 07:35
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	533	$143.0K	8,994	05-31 07:40
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	499	$1.01K	2,306	05-31 07:40
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	479	$326.6K	78,845	05-20 02:19
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	477	$33.7K	5,299	05-18 01:52
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	473	$579	1,403	05-31 07:40
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	467	$28.1K	4,198	05-28 15:54