Basic-Machine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$565

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

925

lifetime

Volume

$80.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-14 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 25% $-0

Sports

17% 50% $-284

Other

10% 29% $-280

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770450300	2	$3.7K	1,886	1,885	+1	open	—	02-07 08:00
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	3	$2.6K	2,738	1,649	+1,089	open	—	02-07 05:31
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 4pm et	2	$2.2K	1,650	1,630	+20	open	—	03-25 21:01
nba chi min 2026 01 22	4	$2.1K	2,845	2,131	+714	open	—	01-23 03:25
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	7	$1.5K	1,466	1,466	+0	open	—	02-20 11:35
btc updown 15m 1769118300	3	$1.5K	956	942	+14	open	—	01-22 22:00
btc updown 15m 1770711300	7	$1.4K	863	862	+2	open	—	02-10 08:31
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	4	$1.3K	710	710	+0	open	—	02-10 17:22
btc updown 15m 1770751800	8	$1.3K	1,325	1,324	+1	open	—	02-10 19:47
btc updown 15m 1770435000	1	$1.2K	1,218	0	+1,218	open	—	02-07 03:42
nba hou okc 2026 02 07	1	$1.1K	2,124	0	+2,124	open	—	02-07 20:51
btc updown 15m 1770534000	3	$1.1K	1,113	1,111	+2	open	—	02-08 07:14
btc updown 15m 1770465600	2	$1.1K	567	566	+2	open	—	02-07 12:17
nba mia bos 2026 02 06	2	$1.0K	909	909	+0	open	—	02-07 03:11
ucl qar1 new 2026 02 18 new	2	$988	578	578	+0	open	—	02-18 18:34
cbb byu arz 2026 02 18 total 162pt5	2	$808	508	508	+0	open	—	02-19 04:20
btc updown 5m 1774509300	3	$796	555	547	+8	open	—	03-26 07:21
btc updown 15m 1769149800	1	$738	2,268	0	+2,268	open	—	01-23 06:31
btc updown 15m 1769146200	3	$728	598	593	+5	open	—	01-23 05:45
btc updown 15m 1771580700	4	$716	689	684	+5	open	—	02-20 09:58
btc updown 5m 1774507800	3	$713	475	468	+7	open	—	03-26 06:56
lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	2	$684	359	358	+1	open	—	04-23 20:04
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	2	$663	477	477	+0	open	—	05-27 03:18
btc updown 15m 1770483600	1	$600	750	0	+750	open	—	02-07 17:10
aus auc syd 2026 02 06 total 1pt5	2	$600	400	400	+0	open	—	02-07 06:12
btc updown 15m 1771591500	9	$566	356	351	+5	open	—	02-20 12:59
btc updown 15m 1770427800	1	$559	576	0	+576	open	—	02-07 01:39
btc updown 15m 1770413400	1	$506	560	0	+560	open	—	02-06 21:37
nba was uta 2026 03 25 total 237pt5	2	$501	341	341	+0	open	—	03-26 04:06
btc updown 15m 1770527700	1	$500	510	0	+510	open	—	02-08 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 03:28:21	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	399	46¢	$183	0xf10dff…
05-31 01:37:09	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	857	33¢	$283	0xfa58b5…
05-29 00:39:50	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	847	22¢	$186	0x54fb55…
05-28 00:42:04	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	1,488	34¢	$500	0x5395db…
05-27 03:18:19	Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	Thunder	SELL	477	100¢	$477	0xe34981…
05-27 00:45:33	Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	Thunder	BUY	477	39¢	$186	0x932896…
05-20 06:48:13	Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Kriish Tyagi	Kriish Tyagi	BUY	241	56¢	$135	0x0399a5…
05-20 06:36:31	Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka	Sasikumar Mukund	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x775302…
05-20 06:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0xe2c6fc…
05-20 06:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0xd906ad…
05-20 06:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xb5eb61…
05-20 06:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x00dea5…
05-20 05:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	247	6¢	$15	0x45eb6c…
05-20 05:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	181	14¢	$25	0xceb98b…
05-20 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	82	29¢	$24	0x975386…
05-20 05:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	82	14¢	$11	0xd45b19…
05-20 05:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	264	41¢	$109	0x686ebb…
05-20 05:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0x28ed77…
05-20 05:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x826e9b…
05-20 05:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x03a1d8…
05-20 05:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0xc89ff1…
05-20 05:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x718055…
05-20 05:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	604	0¢	$1	0x18838b…
05-20 05:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x9a8ef8…
05-20 05:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	354	28¢	$100	0x00b0f8…
05-20 05:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xec2257…
05-20 05:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc4a003…
05-20 05:23:56	Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka	Sasikumar Mukund	BUY	132	84¢	$110	0xa0424a…
05-15 14:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8d96d6…
05-06 00:06:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	429	14¢	$60	0x0450f7…
05-05 20:50:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1,784	15¢	$268	0x712ea4…
05-05 19:40:50	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	896	21¢	$188	0x04406b…
05-05 19:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	196	99¢	$194	0xc252a9…
05-05 19:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	110	45¢	$49	0x187e43…
05-05 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x7df274…
05-05 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x45fc19…
05-05 18:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xa5c05b…
05-05 18:42:42	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0xb435fe…
05-05 18:42:06	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	731	2¢	$15	0x681090…
05-05 18:41:56	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x94ce02…
05-05 18:41:32	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xce229a…
05-05 17:49:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xca9d59…
05-05 16:35:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x4263ed…
05-05 16:34:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti	McCartney Kessler	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xe44a13…
05-05 15:53:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti	McCartney Kessler	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x70111b…
04-25 06:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x1dabca…
04-25 06:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	63	45¢	$28	0x76804c…
04-25 06:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x8bd2ab…
04-25 06:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0xc23074…
04-25 06:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xef14d3…
04-25 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x13477b…
04-25 06:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x30058e…
04-25 06:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	94	67¢	$63	0x7d0ab5…
04-25 06:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2854da…
04-25 06:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x09b005…
04-25 06:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xccf972…
04-25 06:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xe59f0e…
04-25 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8b49da…
04-25 06:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x425e7c…
04-25 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1c9549…
04-25 06:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x973d92…
04-25 05:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc57ef7…
04-25 05:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7329f1…
04-25 05:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb03338…
04-25 05:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x3b9e7f…
04-25 05:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x77f96d…
04-25 05:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x55ebb9…
04-25 05:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x62fdf6…
04-25 05:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x43ee16…
04-25 05:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0xc90da6…
04-25 05:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9573cd…
04-25 05:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd3fa39…
04-25 05:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xa2586b…
04-25 05:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x840a3f…
04-25 05:23:34	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,247	4¢	$87	0x2c1759…
04-25 05:22:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x6f686d…
04-25 05:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	102	35¢	$36	0xe0f1dc…
04-25 05:15:34	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	153	4¢	$6	0x8262de…
04-25 05:14:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	350	4¢	$14	0xeacf2f…
04-25 05:14:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	398	4¢	$16	0xdbc4c8…
04-24 02:20:52	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	1,362	22¢	$300	0x6e579d…
04-23 20:13:10	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	695	51¢	$355	0x7d0061…
04-23 20:04:22	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	Yes	SELL	358	99¢	$355	0x075ba4…
04-23 19:58:12	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	Yes	BUY	359	92¢	$329	0x3d5eb1…
04-23 19:56:58	btc updown 15m 1776973500	Down	SELL	262	12¢	$30	0xe62b18…
04-23 19:56:16	btc updown 15m 1776973500	Down	BUY	277	25¢	$70	0x49a773…
04-23 19:40:36	btc updown 5m 1776972900	Down	SELL	194	99¢	$192	0x775190…
04-23 19:40:04	btc updown 5m 1776973200	Down	BUY	186	51¢	$94	0x1ffcad…
04-23 19:35:02	btc updown 5m 1776972900	Down	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x091a29…
04-23 19:29:22	btc updown 5m 1776972600	Up	BUY	147	51¢	$75	0x5cc2b6…
04-23 19:27:26	btc updown 5m 1776972300	Down	SELL	101	19¢	$19	0x74e241…
04-23 19:25:46	btc updown 5m 1776972300	Down	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xaad190…
04-23 19:20:30	btc updown 5m 1776972000	Down	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0xaa2a74…
04-23 19:14:16	btc updown 5m 1776971700	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xde1e3b…
04-23 19:11:02	btc updown 5m 1776971400	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x549444…
04-23 19:10:14	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Up	SELL	219	99¢	$217	0xf58868…
04-23 19:08:00	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Up	BUY	221	90¢	$199	0x7042bb…
04-23 19:04:28	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3,173	3¢	$80	0xaaf3f1…
04-11 02:03:25	nba okc den 2026 04 10	Thunder	BUY	827	24¢	$198	0xb77bc0…
04-11 02:01:21	nba phi ind 2026 04 10	76ers	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0x0cac0c…