Average-Vanity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-02 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

65% 56% +$89

Politics

21% 14% -$149

Crypto

14% 43% -$181

Sports

0% 100% +$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	3	$703	551	551	+0	Yes	+$398	03-01 17:46
bl2 svd ksv 2026 03 07 svd	2	$701	400	400	+0	Yes	+$98	03-07 14:17
bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 lei	2	$650	500	500	+0	Yes	+$350	03-01 21:38
bun mai stu 2026 03 07 stu	1	$599	1,222	0	+1,222	No	-$599	03-07 14:21
will qatar strike iran by march 31	4	$349	663	663	+0	No	-$260	03-16 22:06
bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	2	$344	217	217	+0	Yes	+$89	02-28 19:58
bl2 fcn dus 2026 03 07 btts	1	$302	503	0	+503	No	-$302	03-07 11:23
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$294	782	0	+782	Yes	+$488	02-27 14:15
bun koe dor 2026 03 07 dor	2	$284	185	185	+0	Yes	+$85	03-07 19:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$280	347	347	+0	open	—	11-02 12:01
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	2	$266	167	167	+0	Yes	+$67	03-07 22:38
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$169	583	583	+0	No	-$133	03-16 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:35 UTC	2	$144	88	87	+1	Down	+$29	03-08 00:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$124	1,035	1,035	+0	Yes	-$62	04-06 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC	2	$119	70	70	+1	Up	+$20	03-08 00:20
sea laz sas 2026 03 09 draw	1	$113	364	0	+364	No	-$113	03-09 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:55 UTC	2	$105	56	55	+0	Up	+$5	03-08 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:40 UTC	1	$100	143	0	+143	Up	-$100	03-08 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:30 UTC	2	$98	60	59	+1	Down	+$19	03-08 00:36
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	1	$92	484	0	+484	Yes	-$92	03-07 10:20
sea laz sas 2026 03 09 total 2pt5	2	$90	80	80	+0	Over	-$1	03-09 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	2	$77	114	112	+2	Down	-$23	03-07 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:25 UTC	2	$60	40	40	+1	Down	+$19	03-08 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:10 UTC	1	$60	109	0	+109	Down	-$60	03-08 08:14
dota2 xtreme bb4 2026 03 09	3	$53	33	33	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$14	03-09 11:27
will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	1	$50	498	0	+498	Yes	-$50	03-01 23:16
lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	03-14 21:43
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 draw	3	$47	26	26	+0	Yes	+$5	03-14 21:58
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$40	595	0	+595	No	-$40	05-16 20:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	1	$38	51	0	+51	Down	-$38	03-08 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:01:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$98	0xecf65f…
10-28 05:53:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x896fb5…
10-28 04:28:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	47	46¢	$22	0x32bb7a…
10-27 13:46:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0x0d0329…
05-16 20:32:24	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	7¢	$40	0xd569d4…
04-06 14:52:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	518	2¢	$10	0x8e0918…
04-06 09:40:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	518	4¢	$21	0xb0aff2…
04-01 23:34:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,035	9¢	$93	0x2466df…
03-16 22:06:01	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	458	5¢	$25	0x1c0c48…
03-16 22:05:51	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	583	3¢	$18	0xbc147c…
03-14 21:58:05	epl wes mac 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3caae3…
03-14 21:57:45	epl wes mac 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe685f9…
03-14 21:48:05	epl wes mac 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x7503a7…
03-14 21:47:31	epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x286d60…
03-14 21:46:41	epl wes mac 2026 03 14 wes	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xfa2a9e…
03-14 21:43:33	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5e5e83…
03-14 20:28:05	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x24de53…
03-14 20:27:05	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	206	10¢	$20	0x83393a…
03-09 17:00:51	sea laz sas 2026 03 09 draw	Yes	BUY	364	31¢	$113	0xebaf17…
03-09 16:57:09	sea laz sas 2026 03 09 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0xc59c9b…
03-09 12:49:11	sea laz sas 2026 03 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	80	57¢	$45	0xaf8482…
03-09 11:27:25	dota2 xtreme bb4 2026 03 09	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x8c2352…
03-09 10:54:11	dota2 xtreme bb4 2026 03 09	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6534d3…
03-09 10:53:57	dota2 xtreme bb4 2026 03 09	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf3a5cd…
03-09 10:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xeb73fb…
03-09 10:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1d6335…
03-08 23:46:05	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xc8d857…
03-08 18:50:01	lal sev ray 2026 03 08 halftime result draw	Yes	BUY	228	1¢	$2	0x2d4bad…
03-08 18:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0xb5a5a9…
03-08 18:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x3370db…
03-08 13:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	39	14¢	$5	0xffc1e2…
03-08 13:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbadc01…
03-08 08:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0f2bf9…
03-08 08:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0xe058e6…
03-08 08:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x9610b6…
03-08 07:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x9c5bc2…
03-08 00:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xd57126…
03-08 00:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x4dc8cc…
03-08 00:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0xcc5bf7…
03-08 00:36:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x9abb10…
03-08 00:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xf8e1c1…
03-08 00:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x4d0165…
03-08 00:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x75da91…
03-08 00:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x99d2eb…
03-08 00:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xd5f10f…
03-07 23:37:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xc8c929…
03-07 23:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	112	24¢	$27	0x9acc84…
03-07 23:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xc51ead…
03-07 22:38:57	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0x2407a0…
03-07 19:56:11	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x9c1568…
03-07 19:53:21	bun koe dor 2026 03 07 dor	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$184	0x3d2671…
03-07 17:30:27	bun koe dor 2026 03 07 dor	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xe1ca86…
03-07 14:21:51	bun mai stu 2026 03 07 stu	Yes	BUY	1,222	49¢	$599	0xbb1629…
03-07 14:17:19	bl2 svd ksv 2026 03 07 svd	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x15f206…
03-07 12:25:29	bl2 svd ksv 2026 03 07 svd	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$302	0x35f7dd…
03-07 11:23:55	bl2 fcn dus 2026 03 07 btts	Yes	BUY	503	60¢	$302	0xdc0f74…
03-07 10:20:15	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	No	BUY	484	19¢	$92	0x46d6c3…
03-03 20:16:21	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	583	26¢	$151	0xe22e18…
03-03 16:18:47	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	393	52¢	$204	0xfc4594…
03-02 12:35:59	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xea415c…
03-01 23:16:53	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	No	BUY	498	10¢	$50	0xc39fa5…
03-01 21:38:53	bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 lei	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x7c7984…
03-01 18:55:29	bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 lei	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x2c4273…
03-01 17:46:01	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	Yes	SELL	551	100¢	$551	0x98c506…
03-01 15:00:51	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	Yes	BUY	191	27¢	$51	0x51c87c…
03-01 14:53:35	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	Yes	BUY	361	28¢	$101	0x52e9d7…
02-28 19:58:37	bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	Yes	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x6d0111…
02-28 16:28:31	bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	Yes	BUY	217	59¢	$128	0xd08cc8…
02-27 14:15:47	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	782	38¢	$294	0xaeb9fb…