Amusing-Witchhunt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

255

Trades

1,173

lifetime

Volume

$7.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-08 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 52% +$7

Other

24% 0% $-3

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 0% $-3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774044600	2	$395	210	210	+1	open	—	03-20 22:15
btc updown 5m 1774046400	2	$375	193	193	+0	open	—	03-20 22:45
btc updown 5m 1774046700	2	$374	190	190	+0	open	—	03-20 22:50
btc updown 5m 1774044300	2	$371	189	189	+0	open	—	03-20 22:10
btc updown 5m 1774043100	2	$239	137	136	+1	open	—	03-20 21:50
btc updown 5m 1774044900	1	$208	254	0	+254	open	—	03-20 22:19
btc updown 5m 1774042500	2	$201	106	105	+0	open	—	03-20 21:40
btc updown 5m 1774048500	2	$201	113	112	+1	open	—	03-20 23:20
btc updown 5m 1774047000	1	$193	285	0	+285	open	—	03-20 22:54
btc updown 5m 1774043400	1	$135	159	0	+159	open	—	03-20 21:52
eth updown 5m 1774101900	2	$112	59	59	+0	open	—	03-21 14:10
btc updown 5m 1774048800	1	$111	133	0	+133	open	—	03-20 23:24
xrp updown 5m 1774101600	2	$101	55	55	+0	open	—	03-21 14:05
xrp updown 5m 1774101300	2	$89	47	47	+0	open	—	03-21 14:00
btc updown 5m 1774042200	2	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	03-20 21:36
xrp updown 5m 1774100700	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	03-21 13:50
xrp updown 5m 1774100100	2	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	03-21 13:40
btc updown 5m 1774040700	2	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	03-20 21:10
btc updown 5m 1774040400	2	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	03-20 21:05
xrp updown 5m 1774099800	2	$70	38	38	+0	open	—	03-21 13:35
btc updown 5m 1774040100	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	03-20 21:00
xrp updown 5m 1774099500	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	03-21 13:30
xrp updown 5m 1774099200	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-21 13:25
doge updown 5m 1774102500	1	$58	59	0	+59	open	—	03-21 14:18
btc updown 5m 1774039800	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-20 20:55
xrp updown 5m 1774098900	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	03-21 13:20
btc updown 5m 1774039500	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	03-20 20:50
xrp updown 5m 1774098600	2	$49	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 13:15
btc updown 5m 1774039200	2	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	03-20 20:45
xrp updown 5m 1774098300	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-21 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:53:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xf5d608…
05-20 06:08:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x65cb09…
05-20 05:08:09	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x55bbd9…
05-20 02:58:00	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x42fa65…
05-20 01:57:52	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0c977c…
05-20 00:48:15	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x62d1e8…
05-20 00:43:17	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0e7262…
05-20 00:38:00	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5ca88b…
05-20 00:18:19	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4f1388…
05-19 22:57:51	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc209d3…
05-19 19:53:31	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xafd2ef…
05-18 04:08:25	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x04b589…
05-18 04:08:23	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3df14d…
05-18 03:47:54	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x45b354…
05-18 03:27:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb084a0…
05-18 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x155b52…
05-18 03:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x13d879…
05-18 02:07:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3d57a0…
05-18 01:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc214ed…
05-18 00:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xcccc61…
05-18 00:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x55b5c9…
05-17 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0c3f8c…
05-17 12:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe0578e…
05-17 08:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc67566…
05-17 06:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc740d4…
05-17 05:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2038a8…
05-17 05:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0be2ef…
05-17 01:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x93523c…
05-17 00:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbd25e1…
05-16 21:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6aebb1…
05-16 21:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcdf76e…
05-16 21:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8cc2e0…
05-16 19:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x52f8ea…
05-16 19:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1ddc15…
05-16 18:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x44a5c6…
05-16 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc80a36…
05-16 12:16:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc59bf3…
05-16 12:00:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb9b06e…
05-16 11:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb9ec91…
05-16 07:03:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0f1586…
05-16 04:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4f681a…
05-16 02:48:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf2f799…
05-16 00:41:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xac4d61…
05-16 00:39:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8df3b6…
05-15 23:39:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf673ea…
05-15 12:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x934a15…
05-15 09:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce7486…
05-15 09:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc6ee01…
05-15 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x085cc5…
05-15 04:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x45287b…
05-15 03:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x78caae…
05-15 03:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x67dff0…
05-15 03:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbe0d8f…
05-15 03:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf658b0…
05-15 01:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xccc839…
05-15 00:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x54e798…
05-14 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x00725f…
05-14 19:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x792353…
05-14 19:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd4b86c…
05-14 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5bbbf3…
05-14 17:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x14c508…
05-14 17:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd5801b…
05-14 17:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2c15c4…
05-13 21:00:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x845c01…
05-13 20:58:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x253548…
05-13 03:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7ae284…
05-13 03:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdffae1…
05-13 02:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1e6f7…
05-12 20:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xac7bd6…
05-12 13:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xadaa07…
05-12 13:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x918597…
05-12 04:58:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0dff34…
05-11 23:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7c26b0…
05-11 23:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe80400…
05-11 21:28:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa2a240…
05-11 20:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbcfa2c…
05-11 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x117e53…
05-11 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x66a0ea…
05-11 18:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2b228c…
05-11 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb7d301…
05-11 12:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4c04c0…
05-11 12:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4a3535…
05-11 12:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbf840e…
05-11 11:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x74e2b9…
05-11 11:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xea9cdf…
05-11 11:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf55f4c…
05-11 11:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd4468b…
05-11 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7b1df9…
05-11 10:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x451118…
05-11 07:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3db3e1…
05-11 07:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe8a644…
05-11 07:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4ef739…
05-11 07:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd73c67…
05-11 07:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd55e34…
05-11 06:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4aa254…
05-11 06:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2cfea8…
05-11 03:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf03b1c…
05-11 02:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x25fc93…
05-11 01:58:00	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7a2c58…
05-11 01:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8ee464…