Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$138

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-03 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Politics

80% 65% +$1,203

Other

20% 82% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes		+150	$129	92¢	$138	+$9	11-03 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026	13	$4.1K	4,057	4,016	+42	No	-$662	01-09 19:27
will israel strike gaza on january 7 2026	5	$1.7K	946	946	+0	Yes	+$140	01-07 20:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$1.6K	850	850	+0	Yes	+$116	10-31 17:15
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	2	$1.3K	911	911	+0	Yes	+$508	03-07 20:11
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 23 2026	2	$1.1K	681	681	+0	Yes	+$280	03-23 16:32
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	2	$921	526	526	+0	Yes	+$121	01-09 10:22
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	4	$825	495	495	+0	Yes	+$25	03-08 17:13
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 23 2026	2	$816	416	416	+0	Yes	+$16	03-23 14:51
will israel strike lebanon on january 6 2026	3	$813	442	442	+0	Yes	+$13	01-06 06:49
will israel strike gaza on january 5 2026	1	$800	825	0	+825	Yes	+$25	01-05 14:21
will israel strike gaza on january 3 2026	1	$800	920	0	+920	Yes	+$120	01-03 17:32
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	3	$792	402	402	+0	No	+$12	08-12 12:28
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$718	389	342	+47	No	+$11	09-06 16:53
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	2	$667	514	514	+0	No	-$133	03-26 16:56
will israel strike lebanon on january 5 2026	2	$660	499	499	+0	Yes	-$140	01-05 09:09
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	6	$645	443	443	+0	Yes	-$155	03-24 22:02
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	3	$635	443	443	+0	Yes	-$165	04-08 19:07
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$630	582	582	+0	No	-$170	01-09 08:08
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	7	$519	265	265	+0	No	+$8	08-16 04:08
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	6	$503	412	170	+242	Yes	-$165	08-22 08:36
will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	2	$412	212	212	+0	Yes	+$12	03-22 22:40
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	12	$409	210	210	-0	No	+$10	07-31 20:49
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	8	$403	206	206	+0	No	+$7	08-31 02:06
will israel strike gaza on february 26 2026	1	$400	421	0	+421	Yes	+$21	02-26 19:20
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	1	$400	433	0	+433	Yes	+$33	03-26 15:01
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	1	$400	440	0	+440	Yes	+$40	04-03 16:21
will israel strike lebanon on january 8 2026	1	$400	413	0	+413	Yes	+$13	01-08 13:35
will israel strike lebanon on january 3 2026	1	$400	418	0	+418	Yes	+$18	01-03 10:49
will israel strike lebanon on february 28 2026	1	$400	417	0	+417	Yes	+$17	02-28 04:36
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$390	206	204	+2	No	+$16	09-05 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 06:36:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x5f90fe…
11-02 17:16:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	135	6¢	$8	0x359e75…
10-31 17:15:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	425	100¢	$424	0x15e5bf…
10-31 14:39:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	425	100¢	$423	0x0406a5…
10-31 11:14:15	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x69e191…
10-31 11:13:15	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	147	0¢	$0	0x54b65e…
10-29 13:16:13	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc8c9d0…
10-29 13:16:13	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	234	2¢	$6	0x99cc4e…
10-29 13:16:13	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x78d5f1…
10-29 13:15:13	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2,740	0¢	$3	0x6cff0f…
10-29 12:54:29	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$27	0xb030eb…
10-29 07:34:20	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1,933	0¢	$4	0x758cea…
10-28 13:26:34	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x47ed83…
10-28 12:32:43	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe3b4de…
10-18 17:15:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	850	86¢	$731	0x806a8e…
09-11 11:00:07	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?	Yes	SELL	105	84¢	$88	0xdee1f9…
09-11 07:00:55	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?	Yes	BUY	105	74¢	$78	0xc360d7…
09-10 19:00:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?	Yes	SELL	105	76¢	$80	0x867d4a…
09-10 18:26:36	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xe25c20…
09-06 16:53:39	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x651a74…
09-06 08:17:00	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x232871…
09-06 06:34:34	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xa55616…
09-06 04:24:55	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xb84c37…
09-06 04:24:48	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0xae3819…
09-06 04:24:48	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	328	97¢	$318	0x982cf1…
09-05 17:18:48	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0x626a5c…
09-05 17:09:07	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	206	85¢	$175	0x9592b1…
09-05 15:02:42	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0xc6034b…
09-05 14:34:01	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x062848…
09-05 14:18:55	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	206	91¢	$188	0xb53ca8…
09-03 21:15:36	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x3821ec…
09-03 20:42:33	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7856bd…
08-31 02:06:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf0b43f…
08-31 02:03:10	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd2e39…
08-30 21:34:09	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfdcae1…
08-30 21:27:52	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x0109b2…
08-30 09:22:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x588093…
08-30 09:13:07	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb1f063…
08-30 09:12:51	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xdbf0bf…
08-30 09:12:16	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	93	95¢	$88	0x38d4db…
08-23 14:36:34	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd85328…
08-23 14:29:39	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf6e59a…
08-23 14:20:37	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda8829…
08-23 14:14:36	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x243823…
08-23 14:06:49	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x9fac0d…
08-23 13:45:22	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	103	50¢	$52	0xbb7bbf…
08-22 17:19:46	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xc0dbbc…
08-22 17:00:58	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	103	91¢	$94	0xe98154…
08-22 08:43:22	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x46acb5…
08-22 08:36:16	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xd18f91…
08-22 08:33:57	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x3b91c5…
08-22 08:33:52	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe3ab8a…
08-22 08:33:07	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xec3afd…
08-22 08:33:06	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	172	59¢	$101	0xf90b00…
08-22 08:33:06	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0xa6b7ed…
08-22 08:30:51	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x59e579…
08-20 20:31:06	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x594066…
08-20 20:16:16	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbfe4a7…
08-20 18:48:16	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xef197f…
08-20 18:17:09	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x6b5da2…
08-20 18:17:06	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x704c8f…
08-20 18:17:06	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x2a96d2…
08-16 04:08:39	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x0c3089…
08-16 03:26:25	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	206	27¢	$56	0xd89413…
08-16 01:49:07	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x557ad1…
08-16 01:36:25	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xca6def…
08-16 01:36:25	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x98fe3d…
08-16 01:36:25	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x915b72…
08-16 01:36:25	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x306011…
08-16 01:36:25	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2b3333…
08-16 01:26:25	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5972b5…
08-16 01:26:24	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xad4921…
08-15 20:41:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x2e70b4…
08-15 16:42:54	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1ac10d…
08-15 16:38:55	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1c5869…
08-15 16:36:40	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xf6b34d…
08-15 16:30:21	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x1d0283…
08-15 11:17:25	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6437a6…
08-15 11:17:06	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x1b1d1a…
08-15 11:14:22	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x54d6d0…
08-15 11:13:31	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9e6bdb…
08-15 11:13:31	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x917eed…
08-15 11:13:31	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x5f5380…
08-15 11:01:55	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xff1794…
08-14 22:57:06	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3e1b16…
08-14 22:53:52	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x59d28f…
08-14 22:21:40	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x9a634d…
08-14 22:10:55	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xe9e99a…
08-14 22:10:39	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x83db55…
08-14 22:02:28	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x9683c0…
08-14 22:02:27	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x4e82f7…
08-12 12:28:19	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	402	100¢	$402	0x5900ee…
08-10 12:49:57	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	391	97¢	$379	0xef5982…
08-10 12:49:51	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x76dcdc…
08-08 18:34:01	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x7b9cdc…
08-08 18:16:48	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x6a3683…
08-02 08:53:33	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x2a4534…
08-02 08:44:02	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x011525…
08-02 08:42:26	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x75c0cd…
08-02 08:42:17	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x15f122…