Harmful-Turtle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

134

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$48.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-07 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

79% 95% +$29,926

Politics

17% 100% +$5,165

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$741

Sports

1% 100% +$399

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 6, 2026?	2	$8.2K	8,068	8,068	+0	Yes	+$5,163	10-05 13:07
epl wol ars 2026 02 18 btts	2	$7.9K	7,819	7,804	+15	Yes	+$6,803	02-07 02:41
wta papamic bronzet 2026 02 23 match total 22pt5	2	$7.5K	7,315	7,315	+0	Under	+$6,437	02-24 13:58
bkcba qin zhe 2026 01 27	2	$7.0K	6,532	6,532	+0	Zhejiang Lions	+$5,683	01-25 08:52
hok wb qingji 2026 03 01 total games 3pt5	2	$6.7K	6,472	6,472	+0	Under	+$5,760	02-24 14:03
rusrp moa cru 2026 03 21 cru	2	$4.4K	9,552	9,552	+0	Yes	+$2,484	02-24 14:01
rut up or down on january 26 2026	2	$1.6K	1,310	1,310	+0	Down	+$825	01-25 08:48
deel ipo by march 31	1	$1.0K	0	1,666	-1,666	No	+$1,033	01-09 09:13
will miley cyrus perform at the 2026 grammy awards	2	$571	565	565	+0	No	+$492	01-09 09:19
will the buffalo bills be eliminated in the super bowl	2	$521	1,022	1,022	+0	No	+$399	01-09 09:22
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	2	$473	727	727	+0	Yes	+$124	01-09 09:17
will the buffalo bills be eliminated in the conference championship round	2	$459	866	866	+0	No	+$338	01-09 09:21
will leon thomas perform at the 2026 grammy awards	2	$396	333	333	+0	Yes	+$250	01-09 09:19
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?	2	$369	576	576	+0	No	+$127	01-09 09:14
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 682	2	$280	500	500	+0	No	+$70	01-09 09:17
mex pum tol 2026 03 03 total 2pt5	2	$246	241	241	+0	Over	+$188	02-24 13:09
mex que leo 2026 02 07 que	2	$104	112	112	+0	Yes	+$84	01-25 08:45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	1	$25	44	0	+44	No	-$25	11-07 13:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$1	10-31 09:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 6	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-06 15:01
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$11	18	0	+18	Spain	-$11	07-12 13:29
Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-21 11:37
will bitcoin reach 102k january 12 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-18 15:05
solana above 80 on march 6	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-06 15:00
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$8	11	0	+11	France	+$2	07-09 14:30
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 6	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-06 15:01
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$7	9	0	+9	No	+$2	02-25 06:14
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-06 14:59
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$6	8	0	+8	Yes	+$2	06-30 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 9?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-08 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:33:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0x0a6934…
10-31 09:54:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3ebed5…
10-05 13:08:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a6048…
10-05 13:08:52	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb725f4…
10-05 13:08:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f906e…
10-05 13:08:44	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2931f2…
10-05 13:08:41	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9768d…
10-05 13:08:38	Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x408475…
10-05 13:08:37	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50db92…
10-05 13:08:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7169d…
10-05 13:08:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ef601…
10-05 13:08:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e38f8…
10-05 13:08:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf10811…
10-05 13:08:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2cb57b…
10-05 13:08:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd38ba…
10-05 13:08:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74907c…
10-05 13:08:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5bc64f…
10-05 13:07:52	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,068	83¢	$6,696	0x84b02e…
10-05 13:07:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,068	19¢	$1,533	0x24e677…
07-12 13:29:58	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xfeffe7…
07-09 14:30:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x3c7df5…
06-30 14:54:26	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xc48fa8…
05-27 00:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0de942…
05-27 00:26:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e7ec9…
05-27 00:26:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2bf1b…
05-27 00:25:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf46280…
05-17 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 18?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7616d3…
05-17 12:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc661bb…
05-08 11:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 9?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xef7eed…
05-03 10:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6e9ec…
05-03 10:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe0f5f8…
05-03 10:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb83644…
05-03 10:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x044368…
04-30 03:46:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on May 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa80168…
04-25 13:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95dcb7…
04-20 00:37:10	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf0bb2b…
04-16 13:31:08	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7f8768…
03-29 07:49:00	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5a5013…
03-15 09:50:57	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xee6dcc…
03-06 15:01:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 6	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3e42f…
03-06 15:01:11	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 6	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x246377…
03-06 15:00:57	solana above 80 on march 6	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb76229…
03-06 15:00:55	solana above 90 on march 6	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x431eb0…
03-06 15:00:17	will bitcoin reach 75000 on march 6	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x20b43b…
03-06 15:00:13	will bitcoin reach 76000 on march 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b9f45…
03-06 15:00:05	will bitcoin reach 74000 on march 6	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x525540…
03-06 14:59:57	will bitcoin reach 73000 on march 6	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x31d5e0…
03-06 14:59:53	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x38677d…
03-06 14:59:51	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf53497…
03-06 14:59:47	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12f5cc…
02-25 06:14:36	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x9e2d61…
02-24 14:06:02	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c16dd…
02-24 14:06:00	will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb0b6c3…
02-24 14:05:56	will xrp reach 2pt6 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x159027…
02-24 14:05:54	will xrp reach 2pt8 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x946573…
02-24 14:05:52	will xrp reach 3 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07e8af…
02-24 14:05:48	will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xebabc9…
02-24 14:05:42	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x47b1e7…
02-24 14:05:38	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf50350…
02-24 14:05:36	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb9e435…
02-24 14:05:32	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe12dbe…
02-24 14:05:20	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x615344…
02-24 14:05:18	will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x630598…
02-24 14:05:16	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6427b3…
02-24 14:05:12	will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe346d8…
02-24 14:05:10	will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4ae3b3…
02-24 14:05:08	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x47862c…
02-24 14:05:04	will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x588bc8…
02-24 14:05:00	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5b04b0…
02-24 14:04:54	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e2ffa…
02-24 14:04:44	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdea1b4…
02-24 14:04:40	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cd695…
02-24 14:04:38	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18fed2…
02-24 14:04:32	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x90e656…
02-24 14:04:28	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd867da…
02-24 14:04:24	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8749fc…
02-24 14:04:22	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ed2fd…
02-24 14:04:12	solana above 70 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe61c2e…
02-24 14:04:10	solana above 80 on february 24	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x117000…
02-24 14:03:42	hok wb qingji 2026 03 01 total games 3pt5	Over	SELL	6,472	96¢	$6,213	0x510567…
02-24 14:02:52	hok wb qingji 2026 03 01 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	6,472	7¢	$453	0x68344b…
02-24 14:01:18	rusrp moa cru 2026 03 21 cru	Yes	SELL	9,552	36¢	$3,439	0x80745c…
02-24 13:59:36	rusrp moa cru 2026 03 21 cru	Yes	BUY	9,552	10¢	$955	0xbe4baf…
02-24 13:58:18	wta papamic bronzet 2026 02 23 match total 22pt5	Over	SELL	7,315	95¢	$6,949	0x0accc3…
02-24 13:56:58	wta papamic bronzet 2026 02 23 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	7,315	7¢	$512	0xe69ed2…
02-24 13:15:02	ethereum above 1900 on february 24	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda3256…
02-24 13:14:58	ethereum above 2000 on february 24	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x94caf6…
02-24 13:14:56	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd7ed64…
02-24 13:09:28	mex pum tol 2026 03 03 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	241	90¢	$217	0xa08ba4…
02-24 13:06:10	mex pum tol 2026 03 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	241	12¢	$29	0x8e873c…
02-07 02:51:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 7	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x96e626…
02-07 02:51:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 7	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28fd2e…
02-07 02:51:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 7	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5cfb5c…
02-07 02:50:53	bitcoin above 74k on february 7	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x22f99e…
02-07 02:50:21	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x896b04…
02-07 02:50:11	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f12a4…
02-07 02:50:03	bitcoin above 80k on february 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc765c9…
02-07 02:41:57	epl wol ars 2026 02 18 btts	Yes	SELL	7,804	94¢	$7,336	0x184d3f…
02-07 02:39:45	epl wol ars 2026 02 18 btts	Yes	BUY	7,819	7¢	$547	0x49e1b6…
02-07 02:35:45	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x08176f…