Excitable-Skill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 32% $-204

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$297	280	280	+0	Down	+$257	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$93	201	0	+201	Down	$-93	05-06 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$75	56	56	+0	Down	+$35	05-06 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$74	58	58	+0	Down	+$36	05-05 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$60	43	43	+0	Down	+$24	05-05 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$58	236	0	+236	Down	$-58	05-06 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$50	104	0	+104	Down	$-50	05-06 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$48	34	34	+0	Down	+$20	05-05 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$48	97	0	+97	Down	$-48	05-05 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$37	28	28	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$36	26	26	+0	Up	+$16	05-05 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$33	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$33	21	21	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$31	20	20	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$30	31	31	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$30	79	0	+79	Down	$-30	05-06 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$29	21	21	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$22	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$22	55	0	+55	Up	$-22	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$22	45	0	+45	Up	$-22	05-05 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$22	50	0	+50	Down	$-22	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$20	112	0	+112	Down	$-20	05-06 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$20	67	0	+67	Down	$-20	05-06 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$19	44	0	+44	Up	$-19	05-05 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	201	46¢	$93	0xca2aa9…
05-06 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xa28e3a…
05-06 22:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xc0fd2c…
05-06 22:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x83f161…
05-06 22:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6d2c4e…
05-06 22:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x511bd8…
05-06 22:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1d550c…
05-06 22:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1aeb6e…
05-06 22:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	236	25¢	$58	0xfc9c34…
05-06 22:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	112	18¢	$20	0x831c43…
05-06 22:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xd24188…
05-06 21:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3b6f4a…
05-06 21:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x9342dd…
05-06 21:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x8e6f28…
05-06 19:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	280	99¢	$277	0x9c5208…
05-06 19:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0xa7622a…
05-06 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xcd6757…
05-06 18:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x64a37d…
05-06 18:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0xfc60e3…
05-06 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xd80841…
05-06 17:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x297920…
05-06 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x5b98f3…
05-06 17:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xed55e1…
05-06 17:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xc2e756…
05-06 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x282109…
05-06 16:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3453ee…
05-06 16:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x2ce0e9…
05-06 16:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x69590b…
05-06 16:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x1984fc…
05-06 02:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x034c57…
05-06 02:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xc72f9e…
05-06 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4febc8…
05-06 01:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	72	16¢	$12	0x00afb4…
05-06 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x20ecfc…
05-06 00:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x51fd11…
05-06 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6d2abc…
05-06 00:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	69	16¢	$11	0x79740a…
05-05 23:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x04b353…
05-05 23:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x52cf7b…
05-05 23:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xa0b9f3…
05-05 23:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xe638ba…
05-05 23:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x0451b1…
05-05 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xc9c408…
05-05 20:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	97	49¢	$48	0x991553…
05-05 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xff08b8…
05-05 20:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x162e90…
05-05 20:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0xd0b1a2…
05-05 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xe59e16…
05-05 19:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x2f0361…
05-05 19:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0xa8ab4b…
05-05 19:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0xa24573…
05-05 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3b1b31…
05-05 19:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8ed67b…
05-05 18:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x4a8d4f…
05-05 18:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x31f694…
05-05 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xd5fc3e…
05-05 18:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x94ccca…
05-05 18:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x6b4f6e…
05-05 18:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x28d3ef…
05-05 17:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x1d5607…
05-05 17:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x09c723…
05-05 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x51ad01…
05-05 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb196d8…
05-05 17:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x16a05b…
05-05 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5bf653…
05-05 16:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xb961d5…
05-05 16:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe66a86…
05-05 16:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa16d10…
05-05 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x625c33…
05-05 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	130	14¢	$18	0x6d6560…
05-05 13:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x278260…
05-05 13:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x90241f…
05-05 13:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe1044c…
05-05 03:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0x336034…
05-05 03:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xcdf582…
05-05 03:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4c551c…
05-05 03:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x946383…
05-05 03:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x62549a…
05-05 02:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x85b49d…
05-05 02:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x7eaff4…
05-05 02:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xdcec79…
05-05 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xd8d2a3…
05-05 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x66acfe…
05-05 01:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x87eabe…
05-05 01:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x240e9a…
05-05 01:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xcc7b83…
05-05 01:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x9d14c6…
05-05 01:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0x4412bc…
05-05 01:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x89c07d…
05-05 01:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0xa3f355…
05-05 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x5ebee8…
05-05 01:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x3751cd…