Lone-Chapter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,700

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-08 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$9

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774446600	4	$584	425	420	+4	open	—	03-25 13:55
btc updown 5m 1774371000	4	$321	202	201	+1	open	—	03-24 16:53
btc updown 5m 1774432500	5	$311	168	167	+1	open	—	03-25 09:58
btc updown 5m 1774437600	4	$304	199	196	+3	open	—	03-25 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	8	$292	217	217	+0	Up	$-48	05-08 11:54
btc updown 5m 1774373100	4	$288	180	179	+1	open	—	03-24 17:30
btc updown 5m 1774446900	1	$284	339	0	+339	open	—	03-25 13:58
btc updown 5m 1773835800	12	$276	210	207	+3	open	—	03-18 12:15
btc updown 5m 1774442700	2	$268	172	170	+3	open	—	03-25 12:49
btc updown 5m 1774372200	4	$266	143	143	+0	open	—	03-24 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$252	409	409	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 12:02
btc updown 5m 1773843000	12	$227	176	174	+2	open	—	03-18 14:12
btc updown 5m 1773836100	10	$224	244	241	+3	open	—	03-18 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$223	131	131	+0	Up	+$13	05-08 10:55
eth updown 5m 1774432800	2	$220	123	123	+1	open	—	03-25 10:03
btc updown 5m 1774367100	12	$206	204	202	+2	open	—	03-24 15:49
btc updown 5m 1774431300	2	$206	107	107	+0	open	—	03-25 09:40
btc updown 5m 1774361100	7	$205	397	394	+3	open	—	03-24 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	9	$203	168	168	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 13:59
btc updown 5m 1774430700	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	03-25 09:29
btc updown 5m 1773233100	7	$202	164	113	+51	open	—	03-11 12:47
btc updown 5m 1773835200	6	$198	120	119	+1	open	—	03-18 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$197	121	121	+0	Down	$-23	05-08 14:50
btc updown 5m 1773246900	4	$181	111	110	+1	open	—	03-11 16:40
btc updown 5m 1773843300	12	$181	162	161	+2	open	—	03-18 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$176	108	108	+0	Up	+$36	05-08 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$164	85	85	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$153	89	89	+0	Up	+$9	05-08 11:24
btc updown 5m 1773247200	9	$147	191	150	+41	open	—	03-11 16:44
btc updown 5m 1773838800	3	$146	86	86	+1	open	—	03-18 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 15:34:53	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf51801…
05-08 15:34:45	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2136b5…
05-08 15:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x7bd9ac…
05-08 15:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xf7f139…
05-08 14:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	73	40¢	$29	0xf20150…
05-08 14:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x3f1736…
05-08 14:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa2dac0…
05-08 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x53e088…
05-08 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	106	68¢	$72	0xf88acf…
05-08 14:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x28fccb…
05-08 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x050a71…
05-08 14:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xc022ae…
05-08 14:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0x9e67bf…
05-08 14:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xa1e20d…
05-08 13:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0xb69b61…
05-08 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x36e714…
05-08 13:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x7f12aa…
05-08 13:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x2e5549…
05-08 13:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6ac9db…
05-08 13:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	51	46¢	$23	0x64bf33…
05-08 13:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x26847a…
05-08 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	59¢	$10	0xa555e0…
05-08 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4b50e2…
05-08 13:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x6b0e0e…
05-08 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x0ebee1…
05-08 13:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x43ccdb…
05-08 13:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x53922d…
05-08 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0xd56e0f…
05-08 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xfaea1a…
05-08 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x5a7b3f…
05-08 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x57077f…
05-08 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$18	0x444d23…
05-08 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x255511…
05-08 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0aa45d…
05-08 13:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	77¢	$18	0x86327e…
05-08 13:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x339e43…
05-08 13:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x4d6c04…
05-08 13:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x4b348e…
05-08 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x5030f6…
05-08 13:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xacb480…
05-08 13:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xdd197e…
05-08 13:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x209bab…
05-08 12:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x99d9b6…
05-08 12:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0x39f321…
05-08 12:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xf1d59b…
05-08 12:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x95e451…
05-08 12:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	250	31¢	$78	0x4c96df…
05-08 12:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xf5a48e…
05-08 11:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xcce67c…
05-08 11:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x6bbea9…
05-08 11:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x972db3…
05-08 11:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x643109…
05-08 11:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd48d95…
05-08 11:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0xbcbd72…
05-08 11:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0a3dc8…
05-08 11:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xd8820a…
05-08 11:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xbf1055…
05-08 11:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	142	48¢	$68	0xa8529d…
05-08 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xbb995f…
05-08 11:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xe42d46…
05-08 11:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xc9de86…
05-08 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x54c3ed…
05-08 11:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x740bac…
05-08 11:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8fe78c…
05-08 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x2c56a4…
05-08 11:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbdd270…
05-08 11:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdcb3be…
05-08 11:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xb526bd…
05-08 11:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x48d430…
05-08 11:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	34	78¢	$26	0xb76afd…
05-08 11:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x874bd3…
05-08 11:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x67bbfa…
05-08 11:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1b3f00…
05-08 11:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xfb3202…
05-08 11:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xa6062a…
05-08 11:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x045d3b…
05-08 11:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x09fc09…
05-08 11:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x29252f…
05-08 11:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc2ecf3…
05-08 11:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x61a2a9…
05-08 11:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0xc82b3a…
05-08 11:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc44f12…
05-08 10:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xd1a65b…
05-08 10:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0x823ba8…
05-08 10:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	56	77¢	$43	0x33139c…
05-08 10:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x2fa8f7…
05-08 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xe8b207…
05-08 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xdeaee8…
05-08 10:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xc7b3f2…
05-08 10:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xe5129c…
05-08 10:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1b5c7d…
05-08 10:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x606fa2…
05-08 10:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5b62ca…
05-08 10:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xc8543e…
05-08 10:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xbc0dc3…
05-08 10:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x983022…
05-08 10:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x1d4ed7…
05-08 10:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf6fe8b…
05-08 10:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x273f2f…
05-08 10:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	75¢	$26	0x1094b6…