Bare-Belief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

152

Trades

5,486

lifetime

Volume

$28.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 05-27 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 91% +$63

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	8	$106	98	33	+65	Up	+$11	05-05 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	3	$103	42	64	-23	open	—	04-29 15:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	6	$100	55	55	+1	Up	+$10	05-05 14:42
btc updown 15m 1771230600	5	$86	115	31	+84	open	—	02-16 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	8	$86	66	28	+38	Up	+$3	05-05 12:42
btc updown 5m 1771228500	4	$82	57	56	+1	open	—	02-16 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	4	$80	84	0	+84	open	—	05-04 15:38
btc updown 5m 1771230300	4	$79	59	58	+1	open	—	02-16 08:29
btc updown 15m 1771224300	6	$74	91	45	+46	open	—	02-16 07:00
eth updown 15m 1771227000	4	$62	77	23	+54	open	—	02-16 07:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	4	$60	68	0	+68	Up	+$8	05-05 03:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	7	$59	48	15	+33	Down	+$2	05-05 09:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	10	$54	33	26	+7	Up	+$1	05-13 18:56
eth updown 15m 1771226100	3	$53	54	30	+24	open	—	02-16 07:29
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2pm et	4	$53	32	32	+0	open	—	03-17 18:56
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 12pm et	4	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	03-17 16:58
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 3pm et	4	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	03-17 19:58
ethereum up or down march 26 2026 9am et	3	$50	31	22	+9	open	—	03-26 13:51
ethereum up or down april 1 2026 9am et	4	$48	37	22	+15	open	—	04-01 13:53
btc updown 15m 1771585200	12	$48	56	41	+15	open	—	02-20 11:03
sol updown 15m 1771225200	2	$48	36	35	+0	open	—	02-16 07:14
ethereum up or down april 4 2026 3pm et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	04-04 19:45
ethereum up or down april 5 2026 6pm et	4	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	04-05 22:49
ethereum up or down april 1 2026 12pm et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	04-01 16:43
ethereum up or down march 31 2026 9am et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	03-31 13:43
ethereum up or down march 30 2026 3pm et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	03-30 19:51
ethereum up or down april 2 2026 12pm et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	04-02 16:53
ethereum up or down march 31 2026 8am et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	03-31 12:52
ethereum up or down april 2 2026 10am et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	04-02 14:44
ethereum up or down april 1 2026 10pm et	3	$47	31	18	+13	open	—	04-02 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 16:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x137fd9…
05-27 16:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xee39f7…
05-27 16:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x296c99…
05-27 15:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xe0d487…
05-27 15:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd6d622…
05-27 15:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xf10395…
05-27 15:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf430ff…
05-27 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x26bd1b…
05-27 15:20:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x2066a4…
05-27 14:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf4d57c…
05-27 14:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x90f056…
05-27 14:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x04781c…
05-27 14:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3f5447…
05-27 14:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x304e0a…
05-27 13:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa07873…
05-27 13:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x347ecf…
05-27 13:32:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xac09b0…
05-27 13:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa200cb…
05-27 13:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf0b616…
05-27 13:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x7ac648…
05-27 13:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x079b5e…
05-27 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x2f0f03…
05-27 12:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xc223df…
05-27 12:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xaba837…
05-27 12:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4f6233…
05-27 12:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x9b4995…
05-27 08:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd15f82…
05-27 08:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdbcd17…
05-27 04:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x855422…
05-26 18:27:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xabb4d6…
05-26 18:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x7a624f…
05-26 18:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb0dc90…
05-26 17:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x015071…
05-26 17:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7b286f…
05-26 17:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x464164…
05-26 17:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb67abc…
05-26 17:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa6d388…
05-26 17:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd9e048…
05-26 16:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x0d3e9c…
05-26 16:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf672a8…
05-26 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x40b432…
05-26 15:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2575dd…
05-26 15:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6a1ee2…
05-26 15:29:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x5f42ad…
05-26 15:24:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x971b1d…
05-26 15:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2f3376…
05-26 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc30865…
05-26 15:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd8b4ed…
05-26 14:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3705e5…
05-26 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f6234…
05-26 14:28:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbba816…
05-26 14:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa63242…
05-26 14:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd45f0c…
05-26 14:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x70264b…
05-26 14:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x65c857…
05-26 13:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb76745…
05-26 13:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xa8a705…
05-26 13:27:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x5dcf6a…
05-26 13:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x891dff…
05-26 13:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x46bdfa…
05-26 13:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb8b883…
05-26 13:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x57c31b…
05-26 13:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xea615a…
05-26 11:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x282ecd…
05-26 11:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x6a6ceb…
05-26 00:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xdf3356…
05-26 00:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xab37da…
05-26 00:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8baecc…
05-26 00:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x37c5da…
05-26 00:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3b283f…
05-25 14:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbadb96…
05-25 14:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa03a54…
05-25 02:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5f2d97…
05-25 02:22:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfd34a4…
05-24 23:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x72b575…
05-24 23:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8cfc0e…
05-24 21:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x236d3c…
05-24 21:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x930589…
05-24 21:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2628f6…
05-24 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1b7a4e…
05-24 16:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x1ea12e…
05-24 16:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5cd970…
05-24 14:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x637cff…
05-24 14:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xceac5d…
05-24 14:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0e30a3…
05-24 14:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xaa90e8…
05-24 14:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xdde7aa…
05-24 14:21:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xed080a…
05-24 14:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xf2a092…
05-24 14:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xfe3ae5…
05-23 22:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x418d65…
05-23 22:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x700b11…
05-23 21:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x15f556…
05-23 21:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc1c5b7…
05-23 21:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfc7925…
05-23 21:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x814e51…
05-23 21:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc55f56…
05-23 21:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa4c0c3…
05-23 21:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6c79fd…
05-23 21:21:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x93f471…