Extraneous-Adjective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 05-21 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

50% 10% -$256

Crypto

33% 100% +$1

Tech

6% 33% -$1

Pop-Culture

5% 0% $0

Politics

4% 0% -$1

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$334	335	0	+335	No	+$1	04-30 10:53
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	1	$333	333	0	+333	No	+$0	02-24 07:35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$322	323	0	+323	No	+$1	05-19 02:27
cbb creigh prov 2026 01 16	1	$227	429	0	+429	Providence Friars	-$227	01-16 07:56
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-18 05:24
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-19 02:06
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 07:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 05:11
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 15:23
Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $660M?	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 20:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	-$1	05-18 05:11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 05:13
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?	3	$31	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-19 02:06
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 09:33
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-18 11:55
grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt16	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	02-24 07:30
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	2	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-19 02:06
NBA: SGA Award Parlay	2	$21	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-18 15:24
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?	2	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-18 10:05
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	5	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-18 06:16
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	2	$17	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-18 05:53
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?	2	$17	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-18 05:11
Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?	1	$16	20	0	+20	No	-$16	05-18 19:39
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	2	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	05-18 07:04
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-18 07:04
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	2	$15	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 07:04
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-18 15:24
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	2	$13	20	20	+0	No	-$2	05-18 05:12
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 05:53
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	2	$11	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 20:06:09	Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $660M?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xc04804…
05-19 02:27:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0xa4433b…
05-19 02:08:17	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xd86c1b…
05-19 02:08:03	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$4	0x7cea50…
05-19 02:07:48	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between -1% and 1%?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8731d6…
05-19 02:06:39	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xa8d1a0…
05-19 02:06:25	Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x0ab2a2…
05-19 02:06:11	Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa609a9…
05-19 01:47:45	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between -1% and 1%?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc03a9e…
05-18 19:39:26	Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x146ae7…
05-18 19:18:04	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0x731103…
05-18 18:19:58	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x06e6bf…
05-18 16:29:15	Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x582fcd…
05-18 16:29:13	Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x5b8f08…
05-18 16:00:13	Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa39249…
05-18 15:38:30	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x71f2e8…
05-18 15:26:50	Will Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x046874…
05-18 15:26:39	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x64f73d…
05-18 15:26:13	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x90d73f…
05-18 15:25:59	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4819a9…
05-18 15:25:43	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x4d9db5…
05-18 15:25:33	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x10bdd7…
05-18 15:25:13	Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x4c9c4c…
05-18 15:24:59	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xcf1e6d…
05-18 15:24:44	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x38c0be…
05-18 15:24:31	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x34608f…
05-18 15:24:10	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdc2233…
05-18 15:23:56	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x3dd6a8…
05-18 15:05:53	Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xc1cb0e…
05-18 14:57:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5363a2…
05-18 14:56:47	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4eb4ff…
05-18 14:28:49	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xa58621…
05-18 14:01:47	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xce2501…
05-18 13:56:11	Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x576527…
05-18 13:53:35	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x08d681…
05-18 13:48:36	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x32b8e1…
05-18 13:37:57	Will Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xde0a40…
05-18 13:20:29	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2b4341…
05-18 12:50:40	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x74fbf5…
05-18 12:29:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7dfe0a…
05-18 12:21:37	Will Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xb01f86…
05-18 12:16:33	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x20659c…
05-18 11:55:41	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x57ff42…
05-18 11:55:31	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x0af8d7…
05-18 11:55:10	Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x02b982…
05-18 11:47:54	Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x54108d…
05-18 11:32:00	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1df24b…
05-18 10:42:48	Will Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0f025b…
05-18 10:07:15	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x64829b…
05-18 10:05:53	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdaba96…
05-18 10:05:09	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfb4fa2…
05-18 09:34:51	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xecd72b…
05-18 09:33:56	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xc2c33a…
05-18 09:33:44	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6fa3ef…
05-18 09:12:39	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xb495f5…
05-18 09:11:57	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x595df6…
05-18 09:10:15	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x0a58ff…
05-18 08:44:51	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf88f78…
05-18 08:29:20	Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $660M?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc240c7…
05-18 07:59:09	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x797fc5…
05-18 07:38:19	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xcd064b…
05-18 07:06:07	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xaad926…
05-18 07:05:55	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x7ab6e8…
05-18 07:05:43	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe5af9c…
05-18 07:05:32	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x60d8fd…
05-18 07:05:20	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x5a2ffe…
05-18 07:05:08	Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x4da6a1…
05-18 07:04:57	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x3e82e7…
05-18 07:04:47	Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x77bff1…
05-18 07:04:35	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xa026d4…
05-18 07:04:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x869619…
05-18 07:03:54	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x8ffbe9…
05-18 06:55:58	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xddc173…
05-18 06:45:34	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x29376e…
05-18 06:21:26	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0e7843…
05-18 06:16:01	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x696a60…
05-18 06:15:52	Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x1ef5d1…
05-18 06:15:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf91bae…
05-18 06:12:10	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x795dc5…
05-18 06:03:39	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfc3545…
05-18 06:02:15	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73bce6…
05-18 06:02:06	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x435885…
05-18 06:01:56	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xce849a…
05-18 06:01:45	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x4f7727…
05-18 05:58:41	Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xcdafac…
05-18 05:54:12	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x077737…
05-18 05:53:58	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1bab3e…
05-18 05:53:47	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xecd017…
05-18 05:53:37	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x00bc50…
05-18 05:44:57	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x71643d…
05-18 05:44:36	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x89a121…
05-18 05:40:33	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x46450b…
05-18 05:24:32	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xb71545…
05-18 05:15:52	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7d1536…
05-18 05:13:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x215087…
05-18 05:12:08	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x35babf…
05-18 05:11:54	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x0963c1…
05-18 05:11:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x370286…
05-18 05:11:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x5ce123…
05-18 05:11:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x8f19c2…