Ultimate-Pair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$460

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-25 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$2

Crypto

25% 100% +$1

Other

17% 75% -$9

Tech

14% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No		+44	$43	99¢	$43	$0	10-25 17:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$47	49	0	+49	Yes	+$2	05-16 23:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$1	03-11 23:58
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	01-09 15:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	10-25 17:07
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$1	09-14 21:22
will ethereum dip to 1000 in august 2026	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	08-06 22:48
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-16 23:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$1	02-10 23:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-09 17:25
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-13 01:04
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-13 01:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$16	21	0	+21	Yes	+$5	07-21 21:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-21 21:23
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	-$10	06-13 01:03
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-21 21:23
Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-10 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:07:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xbe5aaa…
09-14 21:22:28	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x8fe8a4…
08-06 22:48:14	will ethereum dip to 1000 in august 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x5b20e8…
07-21 21:23:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2d8343…
07-21 21:23:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf6374…
07-21 21:22:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xe1b017…
06-13 01:04:57	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x68dcc1…
06-13 01:04:27	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x70997f…
06-13 01:03:30	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2be957…
05-16 23:03:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x503cad…
05-16 23:02:37	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdb3f79…
04-09 17:26:01	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2f5e5a…
04-09 17:25:23	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x03e620…
03-11 23:58:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xa20452…
02-10 23:28:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x6e1621…
02-10 23:28:21	Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d611e…
01-09 15:36:34	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x647c80…