Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.90K

Unrealized P&L

+$123

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$561

Open exposure

$623

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-19 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

92% 31% -$3,629

Other

7% 0% -$1,000

Sports

1% 0% -$250

Tech

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes		+6,195	$500	10¢	$623	+$123	10-19 04:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$6.5K	3,906	3,906	+0	No	-$93	03-09 20:57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$4.0K	16,000	0	+16,000	No	-$4,000	01-23 14:15
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$2.8K	2,438	2,438	+0	Yes	+$2,025	02-28 07:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$2.7K	2,556	2,556	+0	Yes	+$2,135	02-28 19:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$2.4K	1,638	1,638	+0	Yes	+$809	02-28 07:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$1.1K	1,351	1,351	+0	Yes	+$149	03-23 13:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1000	2,564	0	+2,564	No	-$1,000	08-01 21:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$1000	3,762	0	+3,762	Yes	-$1,000	08-02 06:24
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$900	1,014	0	+1,014	Yes	+$114	02-28 13:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$877	3,946	3,946	+0	No	+$77	03-09 20:57
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$680	5,545	0	+5,545	No	-$680	02-03 17:36
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$644	7,715	0	+7,715	No	-$644	01-25 13:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$560	9,558	0	+9,558	No	-$560	01-26 07:37
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	1	$500	2,789	0	+2,789	open	—	10-19 04:54
AI bubble burst in 2026?	1	$500	6,195	0	+6,195	open	—	10-19 04:53
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	2	$400	986	0	+986	No	-$400	03-04 17:30
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$396	248	248	+0	Yes	+$96	03-04 08:04
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$300	9,851	0	+9,851	No	-$300	02-21 08:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$300	428	0	+428	Yes	+$128	03-08 11:08
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$300	3,665	0	+3,665	No	-$300	02-18 12:44
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$250	611	0	+611	No	-$250	07-19 15:47
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$200	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$200	02-20 15:08
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$200	4,469	0	+4,469	No	-$200	02-03 17:36
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$200	11,920	0	+11,920	No	-$200	02-03 17:35
will iran strike israel on march 5	1	$195	304	0	+304	Yes	+$109	03-05 08:32
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	1	$100	1,492	0	+1,492	No	-$100	01-23 14:11
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$100	1,784	0	+1,784	No	-$100	02-24 22:32
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$100	2,118	0	+2,118	No	-$100	02-21 18:42
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	1	$100	2,317	0	+2,317	No	-$100	01-23 14:11
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$100	4,167	0	+4,167	No	-$100	02-24 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 04:54:08	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,789	18¢	$500	0x76180f…
10-19 04:53:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,195	8¢	$500	0xa9f779…
08-02 06:24:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	2,271	22¢	$500	0xdc8cc0…
08-01 21:03:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,564	39¢	$1,000	0x435a91…
07-25 23:32:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1,491	34¢	$500	0xe1eb8c…
07-19 15:47:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	611	41¢	$250	0x4e472e…
03-23 13:21:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,351	48¢	$649	0x910df0…
03-14 21:33:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	1,351	37¢	$500	0x941444…
03-09 20:57:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	SELL	3,946	12¢	$477	0x1cf427…
03-09 20:57:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	3,906	82¢	$3,207	0x4a2b02…
03-08 11:08:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	428	70¢	$300	0xaddd67…
03-06 15:26:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	2,111	90¢	$1,900	0x2ab832…
03-06 15:25:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	BUY	2,131	5¢	$100	0xa00ab3…
03-05 08:32:59	will iran strike israel on march 5	Yes	BUY	304	64¢	$195	0x7f6c25…
03-04 17:30:21	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	689	29¢	$200	0x650003…
03-04 08:04:43	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	248	99¢	$246	0x644868…
03-03 18:27:21	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	297	67¢	$200	0x538eb3…
03-03 18:25:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,795	78¢	$1,400	0x92fc41…
03-03 18:24:57	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	248	60¢	$150	0x8076ae…
03-03 18:23:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	BUY	1,815	17¢	$300	0x8d5441…
02-28 19:48:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,556	95¢	$2,435	0x0bd0d3…
02-28 13:04:09	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	563	89¢	$500	0x2dc3c8…
02-28 13:03:29	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	451	89¢	$400	0xd01e2b…
02-28 07:01:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	1,638	98¢	$1,609	0x8cb7e0…
02-28 07:00:59	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	2,438	99¢	$2,425	0x2ecc55…
02-28 06:15:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	567	88¢	$500	0x040431…
02-27 22:48:07	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	1,429	1¢	$20	0xff66e6…
02-24 22:32:16	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	1,784	6¢	$100	0x80d96b…
02-24 22:32:08	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	4,167	2¢	$100	0x91fad1…
02-21 18:42:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	2,118	5¢	$100	0xe9b30c…
02-21 08:00:52	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6,250	2¢	$100	0x1695d4…
02-20 20:13:32	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3,601	6¢	$200	0x13e072…
02-20 15:08:00	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0x62a105…
02-20 10:53:50	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2,438	16¢	$400	0x9b7887…
02-18 12:44:52	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0xb0e2c4…
02-18 12:44:42	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	3,665	8¢	$300	0x9418b1…
02-04 17:52:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0xc3f952…
02-03 17:36:10	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	4,545	11¢	$500	0x50f469…
02-03 17:36:00	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	4,469	4¢	$200	0xaaee1d…
02-03 17:35:52	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	11,920	2¢	$200	0x40a6b3…
02-01 18:30:52	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x25683a…
01-26 07:37:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,224	5¢	$60	0x9c5ef9…
01-25 13:50:36	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	4,000	4¢	$144	0xa94b98…
01-23 14:45:18	will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x67bd16…
01-23 14:30:04	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xf5fd34…
01-23 14:15:24	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,000	25¢	$4,000	0xd244f6…
01-23 14:13:20	will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	Yes	BUY	1,020	5¢	$50	0x1bfc3f…
01-23 14:12:58	will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	Yes	BUY	990	5¢	$50	0x13c6ab…
01-23 14:11:54	will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	Yes	BUY	2,317	4¢	$100	0x1cc59d…
01-23 14:11:46	will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	Yes	BUY	1,492	7¢	$100	0xc4aaac…
01-23 14:10:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	8,333	6¢	$500	0xec2d61…
01-23 14:02:06	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	362	25¢	$90	0x40581f…
01-23 14:01:06	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	3,715	13¢	$500	0x9e84f9…