Poised-Smog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,249

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-02 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 76% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$41	11	35	-24	open	—	05-01 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$10	25	12	+13	open	—	05-02 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$10	12	6	+6	open	—	05-01 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$7	12	6	+6	open	—	05-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$6	12	6	+6	open	—	05-01 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$6	11	6	+5	open	—	05-01 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 00:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x9c40df…
06-02 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4ee699…
06-02 00:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x794ddc…
06-02 00:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf65ca3…
06-02 00:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x83c60e…
06-02 00:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x176ee0…
06-02 00:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x8fcce2…
06-02 00:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x76134d…
06-02 00:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x29cd50…
06-02 00:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf64f6d…
06-01 22:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x2b767c…
06-01 22:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa4b07a…
06-01 21:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x67f373…
06-01 21:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x27a674…
06-01 20:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x447d37…
06-01 20:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x31d2ae…
06-01 20:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x33ae44…
06-01 20:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x66863c…
06-01 20:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x255833…
06-01 20:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xb90b1f…
06-01 20:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x54cb40…
06-01 20:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xb1cdad…
06-01 20:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xb9dd12…
06-01 20:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf1c13…
06-01 19:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xc9efe6…
06-01 19:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x805213…
06-01 19:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x235adc…
06-01 19:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5c2dfb…
06-01 00:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x14ef70…
06-01 00:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1e2da4…
06-01 00:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xecc337…
06-01 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7dbfc2…
06-01 00:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x994b62…
06-01 00:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa19552…
06-01 00:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x1dc5a5…
06-01 00:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x351bfb…
06-01 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x1ae26f…
06-01 00:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaec898…
05-31 21:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x9cf9ea…
05-31 21:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x80ccfe…
05-31 21:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x784e34…
05-31 20:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xc30569…
05-31 20:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd350cc…
05-31 20:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6e790b…
05-31 20:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x974140…
05-31 20:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfbecbb…
05-31 20:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x8372b1…
05-31 20:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2ca016…
05-31 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xef83c9…
05-31 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x0e6fb1…
05-31 20:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6c75dd…
05-31 20:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x429e5d…
05-31 20:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x231cf8…
05-31 20:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x89f0c9…
05-31 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc51e9e…
05-31 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4193f0…
05-31 20:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xeaa600…
05-31 20:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x842c26…
05-31 20:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3099c2…
05-31 20:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x729c07…
05-31 20:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf9aa61…
05-31 20:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x3fd254…
05-31 20:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x66bbbb…
05-31 20:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x1235d3…
05-31 20:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xe73800…
05-31 20:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe9cbc0…
05-31 20:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x968f77…
05-31 19:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0bb88c…
05-31 19:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x16de84…
05-31 19:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xa424ce…
05-31 19:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xacc649…
05-31 19:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfee6c3…
05-31 19:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x80985a…
05-31 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x10faad…
05-31 19:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x7d1139…
05-31 19:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe94c73…
05-31 19:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1833c1…
05-31 19:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x487241…
05-31 19:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x28190f…
05-31 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3f7692…
05-31 19:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x8c55e4…
05-31 19:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfac377…
05-31 19:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4b652b…
05-31 19:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x42a618…
05-31 19:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x9ac9c2…
05-31 19:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x44dca8…
05-31 19:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x0e8da4…
05-31 19:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x33cfc3…
05-31 19:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xf0f0f0…
05-31 19:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x16bae3…
05-31 19:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x43c131…
05-31 19:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfed37c…
05-31 19:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x9fa24d…
05-31 19:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x224e43…
05-31 19:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0b810d…
05-31 19:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa9b9d5…
05-31 19:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x2575c4…
05-31 19:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb10d54…
05-31 18:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xbfc396…
05-31 18:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9e7cf7…