Poised-Smog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

736

Trades

1,417

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-20 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 56% -$69

Politics

9% 0% -$200

Other

4% 29% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will yabloko win at least one seat in the next russian state duma election	1	$200	1,337	0	+1,337	No	-$200	09-20 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$41	11	35	-24	Up	+$5	05-01 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$7	05-02 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$10	25	12	+13	Down	-$4	05-02 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-02 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$10	12	6	+6	Up	+$4	05-01 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-01 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$9	12	12	+0	Down	-$2	05-02 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-02 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	05-02 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$7	12	6	+6	Down	-$2	05-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-31 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$6	12	6	+6	Down	-$3	05-01 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	-$2	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	-$6	05-01 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-01 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$6	11	0	+11	Up	+$5	05-01 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 5?	2	$6	17	17	+0	No	+$4	09-05 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 08:42:21	will yabloko win at least one seat in the next russian state duma election	Yes	BUY	1,337	15¢	$200	0xa40b08…
09-08 07:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xad9c32…
09-08 06:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x9f11e7…
09-08 00:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x4bee4d…
09-07 23:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xb36af3…
09-07 23:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x6de671…
09-07 19:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0fcad0…
09-07 19:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x384b5a…
09-07 19:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x372809…
09-07 19:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x20f907…
09-07 08:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xd40cf1…
09-07 08:36:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x9d77e6…
09-07 00:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x4cc66d…
09-07 00:20:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x7f8918…
09-07 00:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x14887b…
09-07 00:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6c4d87…
09-07 00:04:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb43587…
09-07 00:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9b0940…
09-07 00:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb57067…
09-07 00:02:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5884e6…
09-06 20:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x3c6c2f…
09-06 19:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xeb043d…
09-06 17:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfd3750…
09-06 17:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x1dcdf5…
09-06 17:02:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe15b6c…
09-06 16:52:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xefcaaf…
09-06 16:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2a7499…
09-06 15:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xb16ec1…
09-06 15:51:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xedbc4f…
09-06 14:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xcbc6ce…
09-06 12:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x436faa…
09-06 12:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x35f4ee…
09-06 10:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x801e97…
09-06 10:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x4ffafe…
09-06 10:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xdc0096…
09-06 10:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xcdc51a…
09-06 10:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x4887fb…
09-06 10:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x612026…
09-06 10:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x492c97…
09-06 10:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc1d768…
09-06 10:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x6625bc…
09-06 10:00:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x952186…
09-06 10:00:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x7de920…
09-06 10:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x3bbc2b…
09-06 10:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x5f0889…
09-06 10:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x63079b…
09-06 10:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x4e196c…
09-06 09:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x6181c2…
09-06 07:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdca9bd…
09-06 07:11:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1f9963…
09-06 07:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xf71108…
09-06 06:26:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x87dc56…
09-06 00:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1ec9ac…
09-06 00:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x36e169…
09-06 00:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0d618e…
09-05 23:28:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2f9748…
09-05 23:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0xc5bfa1…
09-05 22:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xb847b2…
09-05 22:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x02ef3f…
09-05 22:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xd9b115…
09-05 20:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd30c10…
09-05 20:36:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0dda6d…
09-05 17:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xb4b5c4…
09-05 17:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xa0829f…
09-05 17:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x16210c…
09-05 17:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x15b23c…
09-05 16:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x376247…
09-05 16:46:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xd585e9…
09-05 15:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd7112f…
09-05 15:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xc5bdce…
09-05 14:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xea9698…
09-05 14:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xed7b5d…
09-05 09:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa1290e…
09-05 09:06:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x52bfed…
09-05 09:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x70e313…
09-05 09:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfac308…
09-05 09:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on September 5?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xb19e4b…
09-05 08:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xaaa0b7…
09-05 07:19:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x866c01…
09-05 07:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xfa949f…
09-05 00:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6e1969…
09-04 19:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7c3c43…
09-04 19:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$4	0x670423…
09-04 18:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x9bcd7d…
09-04 17:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x97a8b3…
09-04 17:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xbd1556…
09-04 16:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5c3e71…
09-04 16:38:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1a56fd…
09-04 15:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfbe7b9…
09-04 15:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xd20e28…
09-04 11:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdd29fc…
09-04 11:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5ec485…
09-04 11:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8989fa…
09-04 11:40:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xda982e…
09-04 09:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x313515…
09-04 09:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x431135…
09-04 09:59:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9549ad…
09-04 09:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcf2955…
09-04 09:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9a0fa6…
09-04 09:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x95b6f5…