Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

1.4%

Resolved

2,411

Trades

3,538

lifetime

Volume

$237

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-16

last 10-05 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

58% 1% -$44

Crypto

40% 1% -$47

Politics

2% 4% +$6

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 1432 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	Yes		+10	$0	1¢	$0	$0	09-30 22:55
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	Yes		+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	09-29 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:00 UTC	4	$0	30	+30	Down	+$15	06-16 17:05
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	5	$0	22	+22	No	$0	09-27 16:41
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	4	$0	25	+25	No	$0	10-05 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:55 UTC	3	$0	20	+20	Up	+$5	06-17 01:00
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	6	$0	20	+20	No	$0	10-04 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:20 UTC	3	$0	20	+20	Up	+$15	06-16 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	3	$0	20	+20	Down	+$5	06-16 13:34
Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?	4	$0	20	+20	No	$0	09-28 22:15
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026	4	$0	20	+20	No	$0	10-01 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$0	20	+20	Up	+$5	06-17 23:40
Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	4	$0	20	+20	No	$0	10-04 15:35
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	5	$0	20	+20	No	$0	10-04 15:07
Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	5	$0	20	+20	No	$0	10-05 00:25
Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	6	$0	24	+24	No	$0	10-04 21:19
Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	5	$0	22	+22	No	$0	10-04 21:03
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026	3	$0	15	+15	No	$0	10-02 13:01
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	6	$0	20	+20	No	$0	09-27 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:35 UTC	2	$0	20	+20	Down	$0	06-18 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:55 UTC	2	$0	20	+20	Down	$0	06-18 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:25 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-17 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:25 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Up	$0	06-16 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:00 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Up	$0	06-17 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 16:05 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-17 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:45 UTC	3	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-16 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:05 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-18 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-16 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$0	20	+20	Up	$0	06-18 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 03:05 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-18 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:10 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-17 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:05 UTC	2	$0	15	+15	Down	$0	06-16 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 11:11:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x34e0ea…
10-05 11:09:20	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9efea5…
10-05 08:34:58	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4f3ad8…
10-05 08:11:19	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9a8059…
10-05 07:34:25	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc075df…
10-05 07:34:23	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa88e57…
10-05 04:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xabee7d…
10-05 02:38:01	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5be0e…
10-05 02:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa1d52c…
10-05 00:27:46	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9667a9…
10-05 00:25:41	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x70cca4…
10-05 00:23:11	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb60872…
10-04 23:46:04	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb9928c…
10-04 23:37:47	Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ef53a…
10-04 23:25:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x523462…
10-04 23:01:58	Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xac696b…
10-04 22:44:02	Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x681779…
10-04 22:40:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe2a772…
10-04 22:36:05	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x3e7f26…
10-04 22:33:55	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe31054…
10-04 22:33:53	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9705be…
10-04 22:33:53	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5f7247…
10-04 22:33:14	Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xce14d6…
10-04 22:26:23	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa4157c…
10-04 22:22:01	Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2079ab…
10-04 22:17:22	Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0e604f…
10-04 22:06:20	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe2fbf7…
10-04 22:05:14	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc915ea…
10-04 22:00:56	Will the CAQ win 5-9 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x58ae16…
10-04 22:00:08	Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x6e7126…
10-04 21:38:13	Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x308744…
10-04 21:37:43	Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x58b555…
10-04 21:37:34	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5361b1…
10-04 21:33:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd98c22…
10-04 21:23:52	Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb71abf…
10-04 21:19:46	Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x281c25…
10-04 21:07:35	Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9e9fac…
10-04 21:05:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc3d504…
10-04 21:04:14	Will Augusto Cury win between 1% and 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc7eb3…
10-04 21:03:26	Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2bcaaa…
10-04 21:03:26	Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x033415…
10-04 21:03:16	Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4b667c…
10-04 21:03:16	Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1c401e…
10-04 21:02:41	Will Augusto Cury win between 1% and 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc45c88…
10-04 20:53:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf8ad53…
10-04 20:29:46	Will OpenRouter process between 160T and 165T tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa64572…
10-04 20:27:35	Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x856f9a…
10-04 19:46:08	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x336aae…
10-04 19:32:29	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb83646…
10-04 19:10:34	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5521e…
10-04 18:49:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x20c5a4…
10-04 18:15:20	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf16f8d…
10-04 17:41:40	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6503e5…
10-04 17:15:07	Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x79e98c…
10-04 17:15:02	Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1dae2e…
10-04 17:12:05	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x357ec7…
10-04 16:33:43	Will OpenRouter process 170T or more tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb03bcf…
10-04 16:33:40	Will OpenRouter process 170T or more tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xefa205…
10-04 15:35:38	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x503ca9…
10-04 15:23:37	Will the #1 global Netflix show have less than 6 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x017247…
10-04 15:07:04	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x23834b…
10-04 15:07:04	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x149ff3…
10-04 14:40:53	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xad9bcc…
10-04 13:22:53	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5fab4b…
10-04 13:15:25	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd926bd…
10-04 12:39:56	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc57651…
10-04 12:32:46	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9edb3f…
10-04 12:23:50	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcd7430…
10-04 12:22:41	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x619bd2…
10-04 11:33:08	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa75b32…
10-04 07:32:10	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa2772b…
10-04 07:32:10	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8a1af6…
10-04 07:32:10	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7ad7b6…
10-04 06:39:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa83a74…
10-04 06:35:10	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x57510d…
10-04 06:35:08	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7ac8af…
10-04 05:44:56	Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc225d0…
10-04 05:32:10	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff16ce…
10-04 05:32:01	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa793f3…
10-04 05:27:22	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa9f3c8…
10-04 05:25:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x420acf…
10-04 05:14:58	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x59c394…
10-04 05:03:19	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe5d05b…
10-04 01:32:04	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x5ccf1a…
10-04 00:44:11	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3f072…
10-04 00:43:16	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xba2f8c…
10-04 00:40:13	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe4ee7b…
10-04 00:40:13	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0e3a2a…
10-04 00:04:41	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5e6da4…
10-04 00:00:05	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc48d40…
10-03 23:16:16	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x80c8c0…
10-03 22:51:20	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdfba6e…
10-03 22:51:20	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x2d4898…
10-03 22:36:25	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x42cbc8…
10-03 22:29:07	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2e9454…
10-03 21:40:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb91165…
10-03 21:22:40	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c55d1…
10-03 21:00:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x65d387…
10-03 20:55:08	Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1cd375…
10-03 20:20:52	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb5d732…