Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

-$193

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$57

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-04 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

78% 38% +$664

Other

21% 12% -$396

Sports

0% 100% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes		+603	$250	10¢	$57	-$193	06-27 14:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$991	595	595	+0	Yes	-$9	03-03 21:07
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$338	266	266	+0	Yes	+$188	03-08 21:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$336	690	690	+0	Yes	-$264	02-28 19:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$325	208	208	+0	No	+$75	06-22 11:11
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$300	577	0	+577	Yes	+$277	02-18 22:04
will trump say no no no during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$258	208	208	+0	Yes	+$158	02-25 04:12
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$252	263	263	+0	No	+$52	03-03 12:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$250	676	0	+676	Yes	+$426	02-18 19:22
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	1	$250	603	0	+603	open	—	06-27 14:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$231	5,588	100	+5,488	Yes	-$77	03-09 17:05
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$200	498	0	+498	Yes	+$298	02-18 22:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$175	417	0	+417	No	-$175	03-03 12:07
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	1	$150	295	0	+295	No	-$150	03-01 14:01
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$125	347	0	+347	No	-$125	03-09 11:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$100	840	0	+840	No	-$100	03-12 18:47
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$60	95	0	+95	Yes	+$35	06-14 00:25
will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$50	94	0	+94	No	-$50	02-25 01:19
kristi noem out by march 31	2	$50	2,992	0	+2,992	Yes	-$50	03-05 18:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$35	250	0	+250	No	-$35	03-02 04:59
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$35	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	03-09 11:12
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$31	473	0	+473	No	-$31	07-14 20:24
will trump say khamenei this week march 29	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	03-23 02:33
will trump say minnesota or minneapolis this week march 29	2	$29	19	19	+0	Yes	+$9	03-26 16:56
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$28	119	119	+0	No	-$12	03-03 20:48
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	1	$27	100	0	+100	No	-$27	06-27 13:59
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$25	111	111	+0	No	-$15	03-03 20:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$25	471	0	+471	No	-$25	03-12 18:48
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$25	110	0	+110	No	-$25	07-09 19:01
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$22	108	108	+0	No	-$18	03-03 20:49
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$20	125	0	+125	Yes	+$105	02-25 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 18:17:34	Patriots vs. Bills	Patriots	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc1cefd…
07-14 20:24:10	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	364	3¢	$10	0xcbabed…
07-14 20:23:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x174f33…
07-14 19:36:28	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	109	19¢	$21	0x2bef2c…
07-09 19:01:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	110	23¢	$25	0xadea17…
07-09 19:00:49	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	140	14¢	$20	0x74f518…
06-27 23:36:32	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x189ff5…
06-27 14:15:17	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	603	41¢	$250	0x25ddce…
06-27 13:59:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xb0cc1d…
06-22 11:11:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x2fa642…
06-14 13:25:51	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0xbb0ede…
06-14 13:24:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	208	60¢	$125	0x344557…
06-14 00:25:43	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x79b259…
04-06 15:42:39	will trump say moon during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf3453e…
03-26 16:56:15	will trump say minnesota or minneapolis this week march 29	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2dc7c7…
03-24 02:36:51	will trump say minnesota or minneapolis this week march 29	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3da357…
03-24 02:32:59	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xbb1afe…
03-23 02:36:03	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x9dee2a…
03-23 02:33:49	will trump say khamenei this week march 29	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x009c22…
03-12 18:48:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	471	5¢	$25	0x1c86c9…
03-12 18:47:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	840	12¢	$100	0xf279a3…
03-09 17:05:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	3,333	2¢	$50	0xe63b61…
03-09 15:44:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,316	2¢	$25	0xa1f09a…
03-09 11:12:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	536	3¢	$15	0x7ba0ba…
03-09 11:12:15	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x6958a1…
03-09 11:07:51	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	347	36¢	$125	0xf17556…
03-08 21:24:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	SELL	266	99¢	$263	0x4faa9f…
03-07 16:01:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	BUY	266	28¢	$75	0x52ba7a…
03-07 02:46:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x8ffa82…
03-06 15:11:05	will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xbf3868…
03-05 20:06:57	will man i need olivia dean be the 1 song on us spotify this week 136	Yes	BUY	351	1¢	$5	0x27f00f…
03-05 20:06:07	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on us spotify this week 553	Yes	BUY	220	2¢	$5	0x8a0adf…
03-05 20:05:41	will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$10	0xb8e4ce…
03-05 18:51:57	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x39481a…
03-05 18:46:17	kristi noem out by march 31	No	BUY	2,895	1¢	$25	0x202f9e…
03-05 18:29:51	kristi noem out by march 31	No	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x9b0758…
03-03 21:07:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	595	83¢	$491	0x578fda…
03-03 20:49:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xf6b1a8…
03-03 20:49:19	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	111	5¢	$5	0x6a5504…
03-03 20:49:11	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$2	0x887e84…
03-03 20:48:57	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	119	7¢	$8	0x4e2121…
03-03 15:55:25	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	119	17¢	$20	0xa909ea…
03-03 15:55:11	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	108	19¢	$20	0xad312d…
03-03 15:44:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x1b6cc2…
03-03 12:07:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	111	23¢	$25	0xaa3e07…
03-03 12:05:53	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	SELL	263	58¢	$152	0xf1816a…
03-02 14:59:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x45c44b…
03-02 05:02:05	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x4c4b20…
03-02 04:59:45	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x47e483…
03-02 04:49:31	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xb0f1d1…
03-01 14:08:45	Will the US strike Cuba next?	Yes	SELL	429	0¢	$0	0xfebcae…
03-01 14:08:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xb44fc1…
03-01 14:01:01	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	BUY	295	51¢	$150	0xfe69e9…
02-28 19:51:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	690	5¢	$36	0x6f8b90…
02-28 16:48:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	690	43¢	$300	0x2cb3c3…
02-25 19:56:38	us strike on somalia by february 28 399	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x555b18…
02-25 19:18:38	Will the US strike Cuba next?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x25b144…
02-25 19:18:14	Will the US strike Cuba next?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x866039…
02-25 12:45:16	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xdc9508…
02-25 04:12:58	will trump say no no no during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x912951…
02-25 01:19:02	will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xada259…
02-25 01:16:08	will trump say no no no during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x78de9e…
02-18 22:05:04	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	498	40¢	$200	0xccfcee…
02-18 22:04:48	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x07a0ea…
02-18 19:22:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	676	37¢	$250	0x30488d…