Understated-Cornmeal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-01 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$15

Other

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 50% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No		-3	-$3	98¢	$-3	$0	09-01 02:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$256	256	+256	No	+$0	04-06 06:31
bitcoin above 82k on january 11	1	$255	255	+255	Yes	+$0	01-09 21:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	1	$251	251	+251	No	+$0	04-28 19:55
ethereum above 2600 on march 17	1	$251	251	+251	No	+$0	03-17 10:12
bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	1	$250	250	+250	No	+$0	06-09 09:57
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$250	250	+250	Yes	+$0	03-02 09:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	1	$249	250	+250	No	+$0	06-03 01:56
ethereum above 2500 on march 1	1	$249	250	+250	No	+$0	03-01 03:23
ethereum above 1800 on march 19	1	$248	249	+249	Yes	+$0	03-18 09:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 15?	1	$248	248	+248	No	+$0	05-15 03:11
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	1	$248	248	+248	No	+$1	02-18 21:16
bitcoin above 78k on april 2	1	$247	248	+248	No	+$0	04-01 06:09
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	1	$247	247	+247	No	+$0	03-09 09:11
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$247	248	+248	No	+$1	04-17 10:04
bitcoin above 76k on february 24	1	$246	246	+246	No	+$0	02-23 02:55
bitcoin above 68k on april 23	1	$246	246	+246	Yes	+$0	04-22 13:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$246	246	+246	No	+$0	05-19 12:22
bitcoin above 60k on march 14	1	$245	245	+245	Yes	+$0	03-13 13:45
ethereum above 2500 on march 12	1	$245	245	+245	No	+$0	03-11 17:22
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	1	$244	245	+245	No	+$0	03-20 13:22
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 6	1	$244	244	+244	No	+$0	01-04 19:48
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	1	$244	244	+244	No	+$0	02-27 01:06
bitcoin above 76k on february 22	1	$243	243	+243	No	+$0	02-21 03:38
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$243	243	+243	No	+$0	04-07 07:32
bitcoin above 78k on march 29	1	$243	243	+243	No	+$0	03-27 19:56
bitcoin above 78k on march 25	1	$242	242	+242	No	+$0	03-24 16:51
bitcoin above 78k on february 17	1	$242	243	+243	No	+$1	02-16 00:22
bitcoin above 76k on february 13	1	$241	242	+242	No	+$0	02-12 08:52
bitcoin above 76k on february 26	1	$241	241	+241	No	+$0	02-25 00:18
bitcoin above 72k on june 16 2026	1	$240	241	+241	No	+$1	06-15 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 02:53:40	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x011b37…
09-01 02:52:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	12	69¢	$9	0x75f1b3…
08-13 03:50:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8742f3…
06-29 16:12:37	bitcoin above 52k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xbe2204…
06-15 17:37:42	bitcoin above 72k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x6a04f8…
06-14 05:06:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x77a44c…
06-14 05:05:16	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5d91cb…
06-14 05:03:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa21d33…
06-09 09:57:25	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x14ee61…
06-03 01:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xd7fc13…
05-25 08:19:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x222542…
05-19 12:22:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x671936…
05-15 03:11:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xed173f…
04-28 19:55:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x27fa35…
04-27 15:12:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x79f1f1…
04-22 13:01:58	bitcoin above 68k on april 23	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xd80d29…
04-20 03:25:00	Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x38f517…
04-17 10:04:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x8d3170…
04-12 10:06:31	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x7f01a1…
04-07 19:42:03	Will Tesla dip to $248 in April?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x799881…
04-07 07:32:59	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x2c80a9…
04-06 06:31:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0xb53882…
04-01 06:09:37	bitcoin above 78k on april 2	No	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x0d5f9b…
03-29 20:04:26	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 31	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0x191352…
03-27 19:56:51	bitcoin above 78k on march 29	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xf1b772…
03-26 15:39:33	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0x383999…
03-24 16:51:01	bitcoin above 78k on march 25	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x178532…
03-20 13:22:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x7c2cf9…
03-19 09:20:21	will nvda dip to 116 in march	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64c9a7…
03-19 09:18:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x6a61b7…
03-18 09:39:07	ethereum above 1800 on march 19	Yes	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x98e514…
03-17 10:12:37	ethereum above 2600 on march 17	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x2d381c…
03-14 20:34:01	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0xf0cd80…
03-13 13:45:05	bitcoin above 60k on march 14	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x81bf68…
03-11 17:22:33	ethereum above 2500 on march 12	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x5dad22…
03-09 09:11:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xe2128f…
03-02 09:58:31	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x158921…
03-01 03:23:31	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x5adf61…
02-27 01:06:38	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x32a397…
02-25 00:18:56	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xf2677e…
02-23 02:55:10	bitcoin above 76k on february 24	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x724a08…
02-21 03:38:08	bitcoin above 76k on february 22	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x8f4033…
02-18 21:16:40	bitcoin above 76k on february 20	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0x1223bc…
02-16 00:22:23	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	No	BUY	243	100¢	$242	0x8771f7…
02-14 02:31:25	ethereum above 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xcdf17f…
02-12 08:52:03	bitcoin above 76k on february 13	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x367014…
02-09 23:05:21	bitcoin above 80k on february 11	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x636443…
02-08 02:22:19	bitcoin above 82k on february 9	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x344ade…
02-06 04:21:09	ethereum above 2800 on february 7	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0x050139…
02-02 00:44:22	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 3	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x73e996…
01-30 11:06:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 31	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x4a2d93…
01-27 21:36:17	bitcoin above 100k on january 29	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xa59340…
01-25 10:28:30	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 27	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0xe7604d…
01-21 21:51:14	bitcoin above 104k on january 24	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x8f283f…
01-19 05:27:56	bitcoin above 106k on january 21	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x715e14…
01-15 11:30:50	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x993dee…
01-15 11:29:30	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf9cfe0…
01-15 11:28:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe67bd3…
01-15 05:02:06	bitcoin above 80k on january 17	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xb4c4c5…
01-13 01:52:13	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0xff6f1c…
01-09 21:26:26	bitcoin above 82k on january 11	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x9f305e…
01-07 13:26:53	bitcoin above 82k on january 9	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x998fb3…
01-04 19:48:05	will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 6	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x154ff6…
01-02 00:29:53	bitcoin above 82k on january 2	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xac7347…