Hospitable-Effectiveness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

15,058

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-06 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-1

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$7

Politics

9% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 762 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	10	$289	589	289	+300	open	—	03-27 12:42
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$155	648	648	+0	open	—	01-30 06:35
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	14	$104	600	300	+300	open	—	04-20 19:41
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	29	$80	4,388	3,004	+1,383	open	—	03-27 19:32
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	17	$52	3,469	2,134	+1,334	open	—	03-27 19:32
eth updown 15m 1770307200	11	$48	350	100	+250	open	—	02-05 16:13
sol updown 15m 1770306300	6	$47	300	0	+300	open	—	02-05 15:57
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	6	$29	306	306	+0	open	—	01-29 12:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	6	$26	1,000	680	+320	open	—	03-26 08:58
eth updown 15m 1770308100	6	$25	200	50	+150	open	—	02-05 16:22
btc updown 15m 1770307200	3	$21	200	50	+150	open	—	02-05 16:14
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	9	$19	2,000	1,700	+300	open	—	03-01 05:19
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	18	$13	1,805	219	+1,586	open	—	04-03 15:12
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$11	1,000	806	+194	open	—	03-24 11:54
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$11	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$7	04-06 18:17
btc updown 5m 1770888600	6	$11	113	13	+100	open	—	02-12 09:34
Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	37	$10	843	841	+3	open	—	04-03 04:14
will the us collect between 500b and 1t in revenue in 2025	22	$10	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	02-28 23:27
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	19	$10	2,992	996	+1,996	open	—	03-17 07:10
btc updown 15m 1770308100	2	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	02-05 16:21
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	56	$10	1,465	1,750	-286	open	—	03-26 08:58
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	13	$8	1,660	860	+800	open	—	04-02 01:50
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$7	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-26 08:58
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	11	$7	2,000	1,282	+718	open	—	03-25 13:21
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	4	$6	1,000	750	+250	open	—	02-28 21:59
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$6	1,750	500	+1,250	open	—	03-07 02:00
highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 68 69f	20	$6	598	335	+263	open	—	04-13 14:17
will love on the spectrum season 4 be the top us netflix show this week	9	$6	420	219	+201	open	—	04-07 16:15
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	26	$6	2,000	984	+1,016	open	—	04-06 08:53
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$5	1,900	700	+1,200	open	—	02-16 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 19:41:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x8bc880…
05-06 17:15:50	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x82d179…
05-06 15:38:13	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	No	BUY	299	0¢	$0	0x4c09f4…
04-28 11:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x99ec8b…
04-28 10:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x27c7a5…
04-28 10:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xbcc3d2…
04-28 10:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9750d6…
04-28 10:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdee213…
04-28 10:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x152e52…
04-28 10:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc65f07…
04-28 10:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb51156…
04-28 10:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x04d58b…
04-28 10:41:32	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcd16a5…
04-28 10:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb6769b…
04-28 10:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xffb420…
04-28 10:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x2ecd2a…
04-28 10:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfc3e1d…
04-28 10:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe66047…
04-28 10:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa16e4d…
04-28 10:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b930d…
04-28 10:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf64df1…
04-28 10:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf049f5…
04-28 10:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbf6d49…
04-28 10:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x221f8f…
04-28 10:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4fdcb8…
04-28 10:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb9362a…
04-28 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfc10a1…
04-28 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xea625e…
04-28 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x608f75…
04-28 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x46efae…
04-28 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x42d2b4…
04-28 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x34c2e2…
04-28 10:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd62a02…
04-28 10:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda9b33…
04-28 10:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb65545…
04-28 10:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xe5fffe…
04-28 10:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf01721…
04-28 10:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5a89bc…
04-28 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8504db…
04-28 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x69680b…
04-28 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5bc2d3…
04-28 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57c502…
04-28 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0b049f…
04-28 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6614c…
04-28 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcdd142…
04-28 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc496cf…
04-28 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8e556c…
04-28 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x73e3ac…
04-28 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x047054…
04-28 10:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda4222…
04-28 10:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xce05b7…
04-28 10:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbff34c…
04-28 10:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9cad2a…
04-28 10:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b9a40…
04-28 10:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x437af3…
04-28 10:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2c6a42…
04-28 10:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xffaa9b…
04-28 10:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf45793…
04-28 10:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x733534…
04-28 09:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xde328d…
04-28 09:58:46	Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x156c3e…
04-28 09:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x98d414…
04-28 09:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x95f319…
04-28 09:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x6decc7…
04-28 09:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x648290…
04-28 09:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x214fcc…
04-28 09:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb47d0d…
04-28 09:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x93a5a5…
04-28 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdee4ff…
04-28 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd1b740…
04-28 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x93a60a…
04-28 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x76ec00…
04-28 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x346c4f…
04-28 09:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd2312e…
04-28 09:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7e3811…
04-28 09:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf0cea1…
04-28 09:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe84fd4…
04-28 09:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa300bd…
04-28 09:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x1fe48c…
04-28 09:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0fe16e…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcc6e03…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc05930…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9e0cd2…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9a26a5…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x689309…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x678eb8…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x563c8a…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x495f43…
04-28 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x03a0b8…
04-28 09:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9f7ff4…
04-28 09:28:20	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x474e94…
04-28 09:21:16	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xdd638b…
04-28 09:21:16	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x907b76…
04-28 09:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbf10b2…
04-28 09:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd2516e…
04-28 09:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	173	0¢	$0	0x50a82d…
04-28 09:06:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x47cf95…
04-28 09:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0x3cc5ae…
04-28 09:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xfe4eee…
04-28 09:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa0d115…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	672	$111.0K	65,082	04-28 10:01
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	531	$50.2K	4,991	04-27 19:55
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	516	$120.0K	13,930	04-28 10:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	493	$315.5K	10,931	04-28 10:15
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	441	$69.3K	14,452	04-25 05:59
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	430	$187.0K	8,871	04-16 15:32
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	422	$182.3K	14,945	04-28 05:45
(anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d	408	$663	1,762	04-28 02:11