(anonymous) 0x3076da…adee3a
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$83
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
23.9%
Resolved (30d)
24
Trades (30d)
25
1,215 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$115
$10.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$238
12 positions
First seen
2026-09-14
last 10-23 23:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
72% 21% -$281
Politics
15% 9% -$7
Tech
10% 10% -$17
Crypto
2% 0% -$19
Sports
1% 0% -$11
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 271 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +90 $39 72¢ $65 +$26 09-16 15:34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +50 $40 97¢ $48 +$8 09-15 16:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $30 72¢ $36 +$6 09-16 18:00
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +90 $51 28¢ $25 -$25 09-17 09:01
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 09-15 05:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $20 29¢ $14 -$5 09-16 18:01
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +20 $17 64¢ $13 -$5 09-18 16:42
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +20 $6 36¢ $7 +$1 09-17 23:09
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +8 $3 74¢ $6 +$3 09-18 00:08
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +8 $5 26¢ $2 -$3 09-18 05:36
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +50 $9 3¢ $2 -$7 09-15 13:37
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes +20 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 09-21 21:14