Monstrous-Bafflement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$479

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

4,708

Trades

11,891

lifetime

Volume

$29.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% -$479

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	31	$216	357	7	+350	Up	-$27	02-04 07:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:45 UTC	30	$187	249	43	+206	Down	+$2	02-04 08:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:45 UTC	33	$182	314	0	+314	Up	-$26	02-04 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:45 UTC	37	$178	260	178	+82	Up	+$20	01-12 08:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 17:00 UTC	46	$176	262	22	+240	Down	-$13	02-12 17:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:15 UTC	51	$170	296	0	+296	Up	-$23	02-11 15:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 03:45 UTC	6	$148	75	108	-33	Up	+$29	01-15 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:30 UTC	45	$141	265	0	+265	Up	+$4	02-11 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 06:15 UTC	42	$138	282	0	+282	Down	+$1	02-04 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 06:30 UTC	16	$137	168	42	+126	Up	+$10	02-04 06:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:45 UTC	19	$133	201	0	+201	Down	-$14	02-04 02:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 09:00 UTC	36	$127	199	0	+199	Up	-$15	03-01 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:30 UTC	31	$125	192	24	+168	Down	+$5	02-11 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	20	$122	209	0	+209	Down	+$4	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 17:15 UTC	43	$117	222	0	+222	Up	-$5	02-12 17:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:00 UTC	29	$112	169	22	+148	Down	+$4	02-11 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 10:00 UTC	42	$102	187	0	+187	Up	-$13	02-25 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 03:30 UTC	28	$102	151	0	+151	Down	-$32	02-13 03:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:30 UTC	9	$101	85	49	+36	Up	+$11	01-15 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:15 UTC	23	$98	140	23	+118	Down	+$10	02-09 12:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 04:30 UTC	9	$98	72	67	+6	Up	+$9	01-15 04:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 04:15 UTC	7	$98	65	64	+1	Up	+$25	01-15 04:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:45 UTC	7	$97	77	55	+22	Up	+$10	02-04 10:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 06:45 UTC	38	$96	177	0	+177	Down	-$7	03-01 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	39	$95	159	0	+159	Up	-$9	02-25 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 13:00 UTC	36	$94	179	0	+179	Down	-$11	02-25 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 03:30 UTC	42	$94	180	0	+180	Down	-$1	02-25 03:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:15 UTC	22	$92	155	0	+155	Up	-$13	02-09 14:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:45 UTC	9	$91	72	56	+16	Up	+$4	02-10 02:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:15 UTC	16	$91	153	0	+153	Down	+$4	02-04 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 01:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xec536a…
10-25 01:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x758333…
10-25 01:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x122717…
10-25 00:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x05cf64…
10-25 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x133d7f…
10-25 00:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd0a6da…
10-25 00:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x52b739…
10-25 00:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x83bced…
10-25 00:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x432e2d…
10-25 00:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd1c320…
10-24 23:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x520529…
10-24 23:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd80006…
10-24 23:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3bfef7…
10-24 23:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x88ab9b…
10-24 23:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x86d87e…
10-24 23:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x080a7f…
10-24 23:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2b8bfd…
10-24 23:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xb38793…
10-24 23:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6f89b0…
10-24 23:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa9e415…
10-24 23:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x11ac99…
10-24 22:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc3a997…
10-24 22:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xeb3fd9…
10-24 22:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb3946a…
10-24 22:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5fb8ac…
10-24 22:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x62daf1…
10-24 22:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x20f2f7…
10-24 22:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0a66b6…
10-24 22:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x943c2e…
10-24 22:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa31d4d…
10-24 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcfc7e8…
10-24 21:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3c5068…
10-24 21:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x82611f…
10-24 21:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf7556d…
10-24 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x29cee9…
10-24 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x294b5a…
10-24 21:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6f05fa…
10-24 21:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3cbcd7…
10-24 21:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4eb552…
10-24 21:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc2dc15…
10-24 21:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdc946b…
10-24 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xc5f23a…
10-24 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc29ffd…
10-24 21:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xdca41e…
10-24 21:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xa9cf62…
10-24 21:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1cdb10…
10-24 21:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x9e6ae8…
10-24 21:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x74ae37…
10-24 20:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x353090…
10-24 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x13c198…
10-24 20:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x50861a…
10-24 20:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf54511…
10-24 20:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xed15af…
10-24 20:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x8d2423…
10-24 20:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5de47a…
10-24 20:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x922886…
10-24 20:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6f6d7a…
10-24 20:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x26e521…
10-24 20:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x16b8bb…
10-24 20:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x57cd58…
10-24 20:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0xb90fd8…
10-24 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x05db38…
10-24 20:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb7d94f…
10-24 20:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb27bdf…
10-24 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf00e47…
10-24 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xcffed7…
10-24 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x06433c…
10-24 20:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9e9262…
10-24 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x510bf1…
10-24 20:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcc4a96…
10-24 20:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x314119…
10-24 19:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x515d86…
10-24 19:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x06bac7…
10-24 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb2b84a…
10-24 19:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x49dd90…
10-24 19:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xee6b3e…
10-24 19:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe1e36a…
10-24 19:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x4fe22e…
10-24 19:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe85b95…
10-24 19:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xebefbb…
10-24 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf107b8…
10-24 19:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x67670d…
10-24 19:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6e3785…
10-24 19:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x525d53…
10-24 19:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x028bf2…
10-24 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x4a0de7…
10-24 18:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4a7252…
10-24 18:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc6862f…
10-24 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xcf8213…
10-24 18:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe0e3e8…
10-24 18:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0xff9295…
10-24 18:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf3f942…
10-24 18:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x0cc279…
10-24 18:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x603ce9…
10-24 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x979119…
10-24 18:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x756ece…
10-24 18:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x4d7cbb…
10-24 18:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4910db…
10-24 18:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5a286b…
10-24 18:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9abbab…