Tricky-Inhibitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$6.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-18 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$32

Sports

31% 43% $-61

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 520 539	8	$837	3,484	3,484	+0	open	—	01-20 22:04
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 520 539	55	$407	3,284	3,284	+0	open	—	01-21 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$396	205	205	+0	open	—	05-15 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	3	$218	263	206	+57	open	—	05-17 15:18
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	3	$181	610	610	+0	open	—	01-20 18:31
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$180	170	170	+0	open	—	01-26 15:35
will elon musks net worth be at least 670b on january 31	3	$161	113	113	+0	open	—	01-30 15:59
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	6	$153	138	138	+0	open	—	03-26 20:41
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	3	$119	332	332	+0	open	—	01-18 21:08
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	2	$104	211	211	+0	open	—	03-02 18:15
sol updown 15m 1768940100	2	$102	425	421	+3	open	—	01-20 20:26
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	2	$85	596	596	+0	open	—	01-21 19:56
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	3	$82	181	181	+0	open	—	01-16 06:59
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	3	$75	50	97	-47	open	—	01-28 14:07
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	4	$72	81	81	+0	open	—	01-16 10:23
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 115 139	3	$68	112	112	+0	open	—	01-16 14:47
fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 psg	2	$66	45	45	+0	open	—	03-21 21:05
nba sas hou 2026 01 28	2	$63	43	43	+0	open	—	01-29 07:07
nba mem orl 2026 01 15	3	$60	122	0	+122	open	—	01-15 20:41
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$60	62	62	+0	open	—	01-29 07:07
nba bos sas 2026 03 10	2	$59	96	0	+96	open	—	03-06 11:22
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$54	31	31	+0	open	—	01-15 06:39
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	2	$51	34	34	+0	No	+$17	05-05 21:14
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$50	36	36	+0	open	—	05-03 06:18
fif sco jpn 2026 03 28 jpn	2	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	03-28 18:57
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$45	38	38	+0	open	—	01-15 07:26
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$44	339	339	+0	open	—	03-11 20:30
fl1 pfc hac 2026 03 22 pfc	2	$43	31	31	+0	open	—	03-22 17:24
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	01-15 07:10
nba cha mem 2026 01 28	2	$41	75	0	+75	open	—	01-28 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x7a2e80…
05-17 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	SELL	206	9¢	$19	0x4cee03…
05-17 12:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	192	78¢	$149	0xa19656…
05-17 10:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x41979b…
05-15 14:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x41d1ef…
05-15 13:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	205	94¢	$193	0x028bb3…
05-06 00:44:00	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x5d0034…
05-05 23:52:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	17	79¢	$13	0x8bb974…
05-05 21:15:22	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xf52cb6…
05-05 21:14:28	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6ac507…
05-05 21:14:26	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8602cf…
05-05 18:11:48	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x7e5d9f…
05-05 18:10:08	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34311a…
05-05 16:34:20	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x1a1d3d…
05-05 11:14:36	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0ecfb3…
05-05 06:06:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7004ae…
05-04 23:51:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x84974b…
05-04 23:50:42	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xacd981…
05-04 23:50:18	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf56ba9…
05-04 23:49:20	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x738d2e…
05-04 23:49:00	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x9a93ff…
05-04 23:48:30	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa815b6…
05-04 21:51:06	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd1752b…
05-04 06:23:32	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf983f7…
05-03 22:30:46	Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Under	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x06984d…
05-03 22:28:38	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xeecbc6…
05-03 22:27:26	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x571c75…
05-03 22:26:36	Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xd83de3…
05-03 20:47:42	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x003c2b…
05-03 19:15:18	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xd31bd3…
05-03 14:48:46	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x0b69a6…
05-03 12:33:56	Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xcb78b6…
05-03 12:33:36	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7ab7af…
05-03 12:28:56	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x852bbb…
05-03 12:28:36	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xf220b2…
05-03 06:53:14	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x469678…
05-03 06:18:32	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xbfe4d9…
05-02 22:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x4b4f09…
05-02 22:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x863711…
05-02 22:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x752b61…
05-02 22:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe4405b…
05-02 22:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3cb577…
05-02 22:25:38	Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5b8c64…
05-02 22:24:34	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x86a6f0…
05-02 22:23:42	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0xf499b2…
05-02 22:23:00	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xa8195a…
05-02 22:22:02	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x0a84fe…
05-02 22:19:08	Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xf8d9dd…
05-02 22:19:04	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	Celtics	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x8dd53a…
05-02 22:19:00	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Mets	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x15a98d…
05-02 22:18:58	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x1e9f3a…
05-02 22:18:54	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xf1e103…
05-02 22:18:54	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x7d9aaa…
05-02 20:56:48	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0x22dd70…
05-02 17:42:36	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x3bf947…
05-02 17:03:52	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)	OGC Nice	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x518a13…
05-02 17:03:48	Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x261133…
05-02 16:57:38	Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xbf59ce…
05-02 16:57:20	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xfd6799…
05-02 15:55:16	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x28a7d5…
05-02 15:18:10	Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6a09ad…
05-02 15:17:20	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7d6973…
05-02 15:16:52	Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)	Brentford FC	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x213311…
05-02 13:34:28	Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x05bbe0…
05-02 13:33:02	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xeff94a…
05-02 13:32:34	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	11	33¢	$3	0x2f1142…
05-02 13:32:00	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0xa03b5a…
05-02 13:30:22	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbf2463…
05-02 13:22:06	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xb811db…
05-02 13:21:46	Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xd694c4…
05-02 13:21:16	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xa33275…
05-02 13:20:52	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x0c6253…
05-02 13:20:16	Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)	Brentford FC	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa08503…
05-02 13:19:10	Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x388b42…
05-02 13:18:56	Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x98ff16…
05-02 13:18:16	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xc259b7…
05-02 13:16:56	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	Celtics	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x658183…
05-02 13:16:08	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8679c6…
05-02 13:15:42	Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xcb364e…
05-02 13:14:56	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)	OGC Nice	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0d0a36…
05-02 13:12:46	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Mets	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x69c1cb…
05-02 13:12:12	Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2ac8d7…
05-02 13:11:46	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x15c1c8…
05-02 13:09:26	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0485b2…
05-02 13:07:40	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3dc2d6…
05-02 13:06:52	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x987d14…
05-02 13:06:10	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x25fdaf…
05-02 13:05:30	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe4bfc0…
05-02 13:04:18	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf8dffe…
05-02 13:03:50	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc6b8f4…
05-02 13:02:40	Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)	Brentford FC	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfae507…
05-02 13:00:38	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x224362…
05-01 21:37:12	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x6f4457…
05-01 21:36:54	Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xb41bbd…
05-01 21:35:38	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x630909…
05-01 21:34:24	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x30da92…
05-01 21:22:20	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xbb80ea…
05-01 21:16:24	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa1731a…
05-01 21:15:58	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8e39a4…
05-01 21:15:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x1dcd45…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	179	$2.95M	18,842	05-06 02:55
Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294	162	$3.52M	36,533	05-06 00:19
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	154	$955.9K	9,356	05-06 01:01
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	153	$4.64M	42,110	05-06 02:54
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	153	$2.86M	34,475	05-03 10:12
Hospitable-Dame 0x2d6a…8add	130	$217.4K	3,567	05-06 00:29
Alive-Fritter 0xd37a…2358	130	$100.9K	9,441	05-05 22:59
(anonymous) 0xa578…6702	130	$9.24K	239	05-05 21:05