Aggressive-Balcony-Check — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

301

Trades

741

lifetime

Volume

$9.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-07 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% $-61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$100	108	+108	open	—	05-04 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$99	102	+102	open	—	05-04 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$76	80	+80	open	—	05-04 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$70	74	+74	open	—	05-04 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$70	74	+74	open	—	05-04 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$68	71	+71	open	—	05-04 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$66	68	+68	open	—	05-04 14:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$66	71	+71	open	—	05-04 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$65	68	+68	Down	+$3	05-06 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$64	67	+67	open	—	05-04 01:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	10	$62	67	+67	open	—	05-04 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$61	65	+65	open	—	05-04 10:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$61	63	+63	Down	+$2	05-06 13:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$60	66	+66	open	—	05-04 15:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$59	65	+65	open	—	05-04 02:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$57	62	+62	open	—	05-04 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$56	61	+61	open	—	05-04 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$54	58	+58	open	—	05-04 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$53	55	+55	open	—	05-04 00:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$53	57	+57	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$52	56	+56	Up	$-52	05-06 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$50	52	+52	open	—	05-04 16:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$49	51	+51	Down	+$2	05-06 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$49	51	+51	open	—	05-03 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$49	52	+52	open	—	05-04 14:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$49	51	+51	open	—	05-04 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$48	49	+49	open	—	05-04 03:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$47	51	+51	Down	+$4	05-06 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$47	49	+49	open	—	05-04 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$46	48	+48	open	—	05-04 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 18:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x78db6c…
05-07 17:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xac5960…
05-07 09:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb571a9…
05-07 08:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x49ba38…
05-07 08:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x4ea467…
05-07 08:38:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xa96183…
05-07 08:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x3f23dd…
05-07 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb64e2f…
05-07 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x69fce1…
05-07 07:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x49b030…
05-07 07:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe8ebd8…
05-07 06:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x83765e…
05-07 06:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8ed379…
05-07 06:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x775df7…
05-07 05:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0d8fc0…
05-07 05:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0f1706…
05-07 05:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x525216…
05-07 05:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x671c4d…
05-07 04:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x76566a…
05-07 04:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x140ce4…
05-07 04:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x340433…
05-07 03:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x09f0d5…
05-07 03:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x86014f…
05-07 03:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa2ea45…
05-07 02:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2b71de…
05-07 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x785c58…
05-07 02:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xf2d8c9…
05-07 02:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2fb8b2…
05-07 02:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x24d9ed…
05-07 02:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3078cb…
05-07 02:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xcb247c…
05-07 02:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x82aba7…
05-07 02:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x0db2da…
05-07 01:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x5cc512…
05-07 01:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x913d64…
05-07 01:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9f4481…
05-07 01:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc3489b…
05-07 01:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x4a6352…
05-07 01:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5cc9e1…
05-07 01:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x898a40…
05-07 01:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x36170b…
05-07 01:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x303877…
05-07 01:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf64b9e…
05-07 01:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb6c2be…
05-07 01:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9f6b1a…
05-07 01:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x0bc1e0…
05-07 01:03:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x88b843…
05-07 00:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xb11d72…
05-07 00:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x9be1fc…
05-07 00:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x6fdec2…
05-07 00:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc37f43…
05-07 00:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5b00e6…
05-07 00:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8f1711…
05-07 00:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x15592c…
05-07 00:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd890cd…
05-06 23:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf03491…
05-06 23:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xb4873d…
05-06 22:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xced18a…
05-06 22:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa63281…
05-06 20:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x3f9e6b…
05-06 20:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaf1a29…
05-06 20:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf26f1e…
05-06 20:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4ac7d0…
05-06 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x67db85…
05-06 19:53:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xfdf61d…
05-06 19:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe866a…
05-06 19:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfe7cca…
05-06 19:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8a4ad1…
05-06 18:18:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x6b1dc9…
05-06 17:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x81e67d…
05-06 17:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x50e737…
05-06 17:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x14a9d4…
05-06 16:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xc4d0b5…
05-06 16:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcc3879…
05-06 16:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ba56f…
05-06 16:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x4a0325…
05-06 16:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb3b952…
05-06 15:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x1b15e3…
05-06 15:38:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x54dcf7…
05-06 15:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x2caa9b…
05-06 15:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xecdf52…
05-06 15:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc74fdc…
05-06 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x850e67…
05-06 15:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x245b34…
05-06 15:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x01ca77…
05-06 15:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3852aa…
05-06 15:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xf87ef4…
05-06 14:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xf3c126…
05-06 14:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x23221d…
05-06 14:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc606dd…
05-06 14:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f7cae…
05-06 14:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x528964…
05-06 14:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf4f510…
05-06 14:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9de8cf…
05-06 14:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x2327d9…
05-06 14:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x88f287…
05-06 14:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xf1fea0…
05-06 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0aff0a…
05-06 14:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x00fbf8…
05-06 14:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xacb1f2…