Cautious-Weeder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,420

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-07 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 29% $-21

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down january 23 5am et	6	$741	1,019	584	+435	open	—	01-23 10:14
btc updown 15m 1768165200	6	$514	294	293	+2	open	—	01-11 21:10
ethereum up or down january 23 4am et	8	$444	475	432	+43	open	—	01-23 09:46
ethereum up or down january 24 1am et	11	$427	439	439	+0	open	—	01-24 06:47
btc updown 15m 1768149900	5	$341	192	179	+13	open	—	01-11 16:57
btc updown 15m 1768152600	4	$300	168	168	+1	open	—	01-11 17:38
sol updown 15m 1768152600	3	$253	131	131	+0	open	—	01-11 17:45
btc updown 15m 1768141800	4	$252	135	134	+0	open	—	01-11 14:42
eth updown 15m 1768360500	3	$219	120	120	+0	open	—	01-14 03:30
btc updown 15m 1768147200	6	$200	113	113	+0	open	—	01-11 16:12
btc updown 15m 1768148100	5	$189	148	122	+26	open	—	01-11 16:23
eth updown 15m 1769159700	6	$174	192	196	-4	open	—	01-23 09:27
sol updown 15m 1768154400	6	$163	93	93	+0	open	—	01-11 18:09
ethereum up or down january 25 7am et	13	$156	178	178	+0	open	—	01-25 12:40
bitcoin up or down january 21 9pm et	7	$136	147	147	+0	open	—	01-22 02:48
eth updown 15m 1768163400	2	$136	75	75	+0	open	—	01-11 20:39
btc updown 15m 1770464700	17	$133	220	218	+2	open	—	02-07 11:57
ethereum up or down january 24 8am et	3	$129	191	81	+110	open	—	01-24 13:11
btc updown 15m 1770631200	2	$128	121	119	+2	open	—	02-09 10:14
xrp updown 15m 1769234400	2	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	01-24 06:16
btc updown 15m 1769237100	2	$122	226	222	+3	open	—	01-24 06:55
eth updown 15m 1769928300	6	$113	175	174	+1	open	—	02-01 06:53
ethereum up or down february 1 3am et	2	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	02-01 09:00
ethereum up or down january 24 12am et	6	$106	133	118	+16	open	—	01-24 05:43
btc updown 5m 1774053900	4	$106	75	74	+1	open	—	03-21 00:50
ethereum up or down january 24 7am et	8	$106	119	119	+0	open	—	01-24 12:54
btc updown 5m 1773037200	4	$104	72	71	+1	open	—	03-09 06:25
btc updown 15m 1770615000	2	$102	114	113	+2	open	—	02-09 05:39
ethereum up or down january 21 11pm et	3	$98	117	84	+32	open	—	01-22 04:18
ethereum up or down february 1 2am et	6	$96	126	126	+0	open	—	02-01 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 00:23:34	btc updown 5m 1780791900	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa622d3…
06-07 00:23:09	btc updown 5m 1780791600	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x644a2b…
06-07 00:22:42	btc updown 5m 1780791600	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x385720…
05-08 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6c134f…
05-08 08:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x979dd0…
05-08 07:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x8b3195…
05-06 02:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x9b2c28…
05-06 02:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x87dba2…
05-06 02:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe7a777…
05-06 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0xb0298a…
05-06 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x061b2b…
05-06 02:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xaba217…
05-06 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xb5a9ee…
05-06 02:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x0e2aff…
05-01 05:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xab57a9…
05-01 05:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x42800d…
05-01 05:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc09c1…
05-01 05:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x94f97f…
05-01 05:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x3a255e…
04-29 00:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x060fd7…
04-29 00:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xe2b137…
04-29 00:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x37acf0…
04-29 00:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x60ad87…
04-29 00:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x82b609…
04-28 19:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x895fa8…
04-28 19:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbd0dbe…
04-28 19:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x9ba6d8…
04-28 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x23cb37…
04-28 19:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x631769…
04-28 19:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xb8f701…
04-28 19:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x6dc4d7…
04-28 19:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xda07c9…
04-28 19:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x87cf0d…
04-28 19:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9ce4ff…
04-28 19:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x09a1c4…
04-28 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xba8a2d…
04-28 18:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa53aa5…
04-28 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6e5dfd…
04-27 21:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x58388e…
04-12 03:15:07	btc updown 5m 1775963700	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xd59453…
04-12 03:14:45	btc updown 5m 1775963700	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x897118…
04-12 03:14:29	btc updown 5m 1775963700	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xa4e643…
04-12 03:14:17	btc updown 5m 1775963400	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x4e3f36…
04-12 03:09:51	btc updown 5m 1775963400	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xbaa306…
04-12 03:07:37	btc updown 5m 1775963100	Down	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xe9e756…
04-12 03:06:19	btc updown 5m 1775963100	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x9e1f6b…
04-12 03:05:27	btc updown 5m 1775963100	Down	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0xde341b…
04-12 03:04:59	btc updown 5m 1775963100	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x495901…
04-12 03:00:43	btc updown 5m 1775962800	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x50cbc4…
04-12 03:00:03	btc updown 5m 1775962800	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xfef838…
04-12 02:58:57	btc updown 5m 1775962500	Down	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x9d9610…
04-12 02:57:03	btc updown 5m 1775962500	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x62d802…
04-10 23:37:17	btc updown 5m 1775864100	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x30e532…
04-10 23:31:57	btc updown 5m 1775863800	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x41a260…
04-04 16:46:53	btc updown 5m 1775321100	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x9b9615…
04-04 16:46:07	btc updown 5m 1775321100	Up	BUY	106	22¢	$23	0xd6a963…
04-04 16:44:05	btc updown 5m 1775320800	Up	SELL	27	88¢	$23	0x97f617…
04-04 16:43:45	btc updown 5m 1775320800	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xbfc965…
04-04 16:41:27	btc updown 5m 1775320800	Down	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0xa0d9ee…
04-04 16:39:59	btc updown 5m 1775320800	Down	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x82211c…
04-04 16:37:03	btc updown 5m 1775320500	Up	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xebe052…
04-04 16:34:17	btc updown 5m 1775320500	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0xe89a3b…
03-23 00:20:25	btc updown 5m 1774225200	Up	SELL	57	63¢	$36	0x35b9b0…
03-23 00:20:19	btc updown 5m 1774225200	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x4c0a93…
03-21 01:15:05	btc updown 5m 1774055400	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd1ff2d…
03-21 01:14:43	btc updown 5m 1774055400	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb82d92…
03-21 01:05:03	btc updown 5m 1774054800	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x56a516…
03-21 01:04:53	btc updown 5m 1774054800	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xbc9388…
03-21 00:50:13	btc updown 5m 1774053900	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe2d5b5…
03-21 00:49:59	btc updown 5m 1774053900	Down	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x373e90…
03-21 00:47:19	btc updown 5m 1774053900	Down	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x3136ae…
03-21 00:46:29	btc updown 5m 1774053900	Down	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0xc9c90a…
03-21 00:40:07	btc updown 5m 1774053300	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xbc2c81…
03-21 00:39:59	btc updown 5m 1774053300	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x15db84…
03-21 00:35:19	btc updown 5m 1774053000	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xc8bb3d…
03-21 00:34:53	btc updown 5m 1774053000	Down	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xa7e61f…
03-21 00:32:33	btc updown 5m 1774053000	Up	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0xb1ed63…
03-21 00:31:35	btc updown 5m 1774053000	Up	BUY	32	30¢	$9	0x75621d…
03-21 00:31:21	btc updown 5m 1774053000	Up	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0xca9f9e…
03-21 00:30:19	btc updown 5m 1774053000	Up	BUY	39	32¢	$12	0x25ddad…
03-21 00:29:59	btc updown 5m 1774053300	Up	SELL	25	50¢	$13	0x3e42aa…
03-21 00:29:51	btc updown 5m 1774053300	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xd34f0d…
03-21 00:29:29	btc updown 5m 1774052700	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x91b726…
03-21 00:24:51	btc updown 5m 1774052700	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xbaf190…
03-16 07:34:39	btc updown 5m 1773646500	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x219316…
03-16 07:32:49	btc updown 5m 1773646200	Down	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xa6749b…
03-16 07:29:53	btc updown 5m 1773646200	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x53a8db…
03-16 07:23:59	btc updown 5m 1773645900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdc4b19…
03-16 07:23:47	btc updown 5m 1773645600	Up	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xa013da…
03-16 07:22:49	btc updown 5m 1773645600	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x8e058d…
03-16 07:22:25	btc updown 5m 1773645600	Up	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xb12291…
03-16 07:21:15	btc updown 5m 1773645600	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x0b7f02…
03-16 07:20:21	btc updown 5m 1773645600	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x1d2fbf…
03-16 07:19:07	btc updown 5m 1773645600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb19fc8…
03-16 07:16:17	btc updown 5m 1773645300	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x80f4d0…
03-09 08:13:41	btc updown 5m 1773044100	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x1fb9de…
03-09 08:13:27	btc updown 5m 1773043800	Up	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0xd58d30…
03-09 08:09:31	btc updown 5m 1773043800	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x04e40f…
03-09 08:08:17	btc updown 5m 1773043500	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x82bb87…
03-09 08:04:39	btc updown 5m 1773043500	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1c0411…