Graceful-Return — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$9.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-16 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$700	993	0	+993	open	—	05-16 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$659	825	182	+644	open	—	05-16 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$450	264	264	+0	open	—	05-16 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$438	294	294	+0	open	—	05-16 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$400	581	0	+581	open	—	05-16 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$400	619	0	+619	open	—	05-16 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$400	612	0	+612	open	—	05-16 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$300	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	05-16 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$300	400	0	+400	open	—	05-16 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$300	380	0	+380	open	—	05-16 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$279	183	183	+0	Up	+$79	05-11 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$278	185	185	+0	Down	+$78	05-11 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$272	174	174	+0	Up	+$72	05-11 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$248	156	156	+0	open	—	05-16 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$246	149	149	+0	open	—	05-16 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$226	158	158	+0	open	—	05-16 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$200	384	0	+384	open	—	05-16 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$200	369	0	+369	open	—	05-16 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$200	219	0	+219	Down	+$19	05-13 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$126	196	196	+0	Down	$-74	05-11 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$125	175	0	+175	open	—	05-16 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$109	223	223	+0	Down	$-91	05-13 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$105	179	179	+0	Down	$-95	05-11 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	05-16 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$100	250	0	+250	open	—	05-16 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$100	188	0	+188	Down	$-100	05-13 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$100	208	0	+208	open	—	05-16 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	05-16 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-16 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$100	143	0	+143	Up	+$43	05-11 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf1c8c3…
05-16 21:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x45fca3…
05-16 21:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xfecf8a…
05-16 21:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x08ca26…
05-16 21:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x787341…
05-16 21:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xc70d9a…
05-16 21:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd9d933…
05-16 21:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb442f4…
05-16 21:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1fc0d1…
05-16 21:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xca79bf…
05-16 21:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0612a7…
05-16 21:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd64fcf…
05-16 21:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xafc28c…
05-16 21:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xff583c…
05-16 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x4cae93…
05-16 21:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x6a5bb4…
05-16 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xce0199…
05-16 21:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x2d46ea…
05-16 21:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x8e4228…
05-16 21:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf7731a…
05-16 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x935c4c…
05-16 21:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xf6c0c6…
05-16 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xd78c01…
05-16 21:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	182	33¢	$59	0xffdc4e…
05-16 21:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x4037c9…
05-16 21:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xa59652…
05-16 21:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x5679e2…
05-16 21:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x5a9f6f…
05-16 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xaf26f0…
05-16 21:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xc1bb15…
05-16 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa5499b…
05-16 20:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x1dd002…
05-16 20:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x9c06c6…
05-16 20:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x934b7c…
05-16 20:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	264	95¢	$250	0x80965b…
05-16 20:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x75d231…
05-16 20:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x46f397…
05-16 20:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	158	80¢	$126	0x50eb3e…
05-16 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x8651a9…
05-16 20:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	139	95¢	$132	0xfbac10…
05-16 20:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x374a58…
05-16 20:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	155	68¢	$106	0x62a063…
05-16 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0xffdb85…
05-16 20:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x3b51c0…
05-16 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x046b2a…
05-16 20:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xa3fee9…
05-16 20:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x0a0421…
05-16 20:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xfec2e0…
05-16 20:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x5cb4fa…
05-16 20:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x573f0f…
05-16 20:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xe7e1e5…
05-16 20:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xcbad0a…
05-16 20:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xf40daf…
05-16 20:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0x93622e…
05-16 20:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x99b6b6…
05-16 20:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x52dbed…
05-16 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x92b00b…
05-16 19:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xa06fd4…
05-16 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xc183ad…
05-16 19:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xdaf94e…
05-16 19:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x64010e…
05-16 19:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd49ac8…
05-16 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0x72ee63…
05-16 18:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xd77510…
05-16 18:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x98f16c…
05-16 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	967	1¢	$10	0xd2aee7…
05-16 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9,033	1¢	$90	0x19bb8c…
05-16 18:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x9bf7e8…
05-16 18:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xadcab7…
05-16 18:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xe1b823…
05-16 18:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x1dab14…
05-16 18:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	156	95¢	$148	0x2bf766…
05-16 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x32f99d…
05-16 13:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x39f89c…
05-16 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0x2061e0…
05-16 13:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	397	6¢	$25	0xc20c79…
05-16 12:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x7e9822…
05-16 12:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xd3dbfd…
05-13 21:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	223	4¢	$9	0xcfdab6…
05-13 21:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0xb97cb0…
05-13 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x5ab197…
05-13 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x15305a…
05-13 21:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0xbd62de…
05-13 21:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x64c3c8…
05-13 21:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x09382b…
05-13 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xd29f65…
05-13 20:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x8882f4…
05-13 20:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x00b5e4…
05-13 20:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x42df91…
05-13 20:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xb593d4…
05-13 20:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x07f643…
05-11 20:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	196	13¢	$26	0x3d15b1…
05-11 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa4f57f…
05-11 20:32:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x6b0183…
05-11 20:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x5e9026…
05-11 20:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	179	3¢	$5	0x4d475c…
05-11 20:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x320927…
05-11 20:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	183	98¢	$179	0x23363a…
05-11 20:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x915988…
05-11 20:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc6ee77…