Darling-Baboon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

896

Trades

2,005

lifetime

Volume

$137.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Politics

69% 97% +$458

Other

23% 98% +$449

Crypto

4% 100% +$60

Sports

2% 100% +$17

Tech

2% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump say maduro at least ten times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 826	3	$994	500	500	+0	Yes	+$4	01-03 18:08
will trump say el salvador this week march 8	6	$822	828	0	+828	Yes	+$5	03-07 15:50
will trump say cat during healthcare event	4	$809	406	406	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 00:50
will ryanair say elon or musk during earnings call	7	$787	800	0	+800	Yes	+$13	01-26 16:07
will trump say hell during board of peace events on february 19	4	$779	783	0	+783	Yes	+$5	02-19 16:40
will trump say stupid or low iq during meetings with chancellor merz	5	$744	750	0	+750	Yes	+$6	03-03 17:43
Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	4	$716	720	0	+720	Yes	+$5	04-29 03:17
will trump say world cup or olympics 4 times during inter miami events on thursday	2	$697	700	0	+700	Yes	+$3	03-05 22:20
will ryanair say starlink during earnings call	4	$694	701	0	+701	Yes	+$7	01-26 14:56
will trump say kamala or harris this week march 15	6	$655	659	0	+659	Yes	+$5	03-11 22:32
will trump say terrible or horrible during the announcement on thursday	8	$652	658	0	+658	Yes	+$6	01-30 00:31
will trump say egg this week march 29	7	$645	664	0	+664	Yes	+$19	03-27 17:24
will bernie sanders say robotic or robotics during the fighting oligarchy rally	3	$635	640	0	+640	Yes	+$5	02-13 20:00
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week march 29	3	$631	634	0	+634	Yes	+$3	03-27 22:51
will donald trump say hell during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 523	5	$626	417	213	+205	Yes	+$4	01-03 18:53
will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	6	$618	620	0	+620	No	+$2	07-17 02:13
will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	2	$599	601	0	+601	Yes	+$2	07-17 01:45
will trump say nuclear during healthcare event	2	$598	600	0	+600	Yes	+$2	04-23 20:11
will melania say husband or trump during statement on april 9	2	$598	600	0	+600	Yes	+$2	04-09 19:28
will trump say sleepy joe this week february 15	3	$595	600	0	+600	Yes	+$5	02-11 22:24
will trump say supreme court during meetings with chancellor merz	2	$595	600	0	+600	Yes	+$5	03-03 17:34
will trump say hell 8 times during iowa speech 852	6	$594	600	0	+600	Yes	+$6	01-27 23:40
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	7	$579	582	0	+582	Yes	+$3	05-19 18:16
will trump say secretary of war during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	7	$556	560	0	+560	Yes	+$4	03-02 18:49
will trump say breaking news in january	10	$549	322	322	+0	Yes	-$89	01-21 16:49
will trump say texas in corpus christi on friday 699 511	3	$548	552	0	+552	Yes	+$4	02-27 21:55
will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	3	$547	550	0	+550	Yes	+$3	04-02 01:09
will trump say china during executive order signing today	3	$547	550	0	+550	Yes	+$3	03-31 22:17
will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	3	$544	550	0	+550	Yes	+$6	03-26 14:51
Will King Charles say "Historic" or "History" or "Historical" during the joint meeting of Congress?	4	$523	526	0	+526	Yes	+$3	04-28 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:06:53	Will Robinhood say "Trump" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x64fce0…
10-14 12:45:45	will bank of america say ai during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xedbcff…
10-14 11:49:07	Will BlackRock say "Insurance" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdcd5de…
10-14 11:43:25	will blackrock say client 10 times during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x795585…
10-14 11:40:05	will blackrock say quarter 15 times during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2c7c7f…
10-14 11:39:59	will blackrock say quarter 15 times during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6fd9ab…
10-14 11:39:55	will blackrock say quarter 15 times during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27a2ec…
10-14 11:34:10	will blackrock say shareholder during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x536b41…
10-14 11:33:04	Will BlackRock say "Retirement" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x243645…
10-14 11:32:19	will blackrock say infrastructure during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x542e9e…
10-13 13:22:56	Will Domino's say "Flywheel" during earnings call?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8602d2…
10-13 13:22:53	Will Domino's say "Flywheel" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3b2b33…
10-13 13:22:50	Will Domino's say "World Cup" during earnings call?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x8af6ac…
10-13 12:54:58	Will Domino's say "Closure" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x1f91a6…
10-13 12:54:52	Will Domino's say "Closure" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc244cc…
10-13 12:48:01	Will Domino's say "DoorDash" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x39d954…
10-13 12:40:31	Will Domino's say "Retail" or "Retailer" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x55211d…
10-13 12:39:56	Will Domino's say "International" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x0d5a86…
09-10 12:21:54	Will Macy's say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x966508…
08-19 13:12:01	will lowes say equipment during earnings call 20260819	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x968239…
08-19 13:03:19	will lowes say tariff during earnings call 20260819	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x860d12…
08-19 12:09:49	will target say beauty during earnings call 20260819	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfda7d1…
08-19 12:05:16	will target say grocery during earnings call 20260819	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8169ab…
08-04 13:58:44	will spotify say churn during earnings call 20260730163821627	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x434aa2…
08-04 12:10:53	will spotify say user 5 times during earnings call 20260730163821618	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcd20a0…
08-04 12:08:26	will spotify say customer during earnings call 20260730163821619	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xfa905a…
07-29 22:20:11	will meta say world cup during earnings call 20260727154156425	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9ad50e…
07-29 21:14:17	will warsh say president during july press conference 20260720204109049	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4632e1…
07-29 20:46:06	will meta say reality lab during earnings call 20260727154156423	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65f58e…
07-29 20:37:27	will meta say world cup during earnings call 20260727154156425	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbb7891…
07-29 20:34:15	will meta say world cup during earnings call 20260727154156425	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x2ba6f3…
07-29 20:12:41	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xc0cca1…
07-29 20:10:53	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xcaffae…
07-29 20:04:27	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x621f77…
07-29 20:04:00	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff1d36…
07-29 19:55:47	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x84790c…
07-29 19:19:56	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x4bffa3…
07-29 19:17:27	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb04f51…
07-29 19:16:17	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x919c9f…
07-29 19:15:53	will warsh say president during july press conference 20260720204109049	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe59718…
07-29 19:15:48	will warsh say recession during july press conference 20260720204109052	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77fc9f…
07-29 19:15:38	will warsh say renovation during july press conference 20260720204109059 795	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd6e8d…
07-29 19:15:32	will warsh say crypto or cryptocurrency during july press conference 20260720204109056	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x839504…
07-29 19:15:24	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf8b608…
07-29 18:58:11	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa14ed7…
07-29 18:49:44	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8c23ed…
07-29 18:48:21	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x058472…
07-29 18:41:50	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x28a476…
07-29 18:39:03	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xc2d4dc…
07-29 18:32:59	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0475b8…
07-29 14:54:47	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdd9d0b…
07-29 14:39:18	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfae956…
07-29 14:11:38	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3f24d8…
07-29 14:01:20	will procter gamble say world cup during earnings call 20260717164206374	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0xf3157f…
07-29 14:00:29	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2af71…
07-29 13:59:50	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x329dde…
07-29 13:59:44	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x84e98c…
07-29 13:59:39	will procter gamble say toilet paper during earnings call 20260717164206382	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x64e444…
07-29 13:25:05	will procter gamble say china during earnings call 20260717164206384	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6990da…
07-29 12:47:38	will procter gamble say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206365	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd75d78…
07-29 12:45:21	will procter gamble say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206365	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb6fd73…
07-29 12:40:08	will procter gamble say geopolitical during earnings call 20260717164206381	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5e97b7…
07-29 12:40:06	will procter gamble say geopolitical during earnings call 20260717164206381	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x20f976…
07-29 12:32:48	will procter gamble say portfolio during earnings call 20260717164206376	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x112ab9…
07-28 14:56:31	will boeing say guidance during earnings call 20260724221853548	Yes	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0xe2134f…
07-28 14:53:13	will boeing say guidance during earnings call 20260724221853548	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc5dadb…
07-28 14:52:47	will boeing say guidance during earnings call 20260724221853548	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x845e07…
07-28 14:52:43	will boeing say guidance during earnings call 20260724221853548	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x04f2ce…
07-28 14:49:13	will boeing say quarter 15 times during earnings call 20260724221853544	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf91538…
07-28 14:43:34	will boeing say quarter 15 times during earnings call 20260724221853544	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x616598…
07-28 14:33:28	will boeing say space during earnings call 20260724221853553	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x2bbb24…
07-28 13:38:22	will paypal say consumer 10 times during earnings call 20260724221739507	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$60	0xee6d32…
07-24 19:54:22	will trump say gas or gasoline during announcement on american nuclear innovation 20260724142730943	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xb1fa1d…
07-24 19:39:09	will trump say gas or gasoline during announcement on american nuclear innovation 20260724142730943	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4ca7b1…
07-23 21:58:54	will intel say china during earnings call 20260717163650085	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xf40a1d…
07-23 21:58:45	will intel say iran during earnings call 20260717163650084	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdc435f…
07-23 21:58:42	will intel say nvidia during earnings call 20260717163650080	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xc5cfc6…
07-23 21:58:27	will intel say iran during earnings call 20260717163650084	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x7e3804…
07-23 21:37:49	will intel say data center 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650074	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7f9f2c…
07-23 21:37:45	will intel say data center 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650074	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x2f6864…
07-23 21:28:12	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x852a6a…
07-23 21:15:48	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x65c514…
07-23 21:15:31	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4de580…
07-23 13:01:00	will dow say iran during earnings call 20260717163814089	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x689a50…
07-23 13:00:48	will dow say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call 20260717163814096	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xf7cdd9…
07-23 12:59:55	will dow say trump during earnings call 20260717163814092	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xc8e57a…
07-22 21:48:49	will tesla say subscription during earnings call 20260713183304180	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x08c4cd…
07-22 21:44:46	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4f16fb…
07-22 21:36:42	will tesla say texas during earnings call 20260713183304174	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xcdcc31…
07-22 21:34:42	will tesla say solar during earnings call 20260713183304177	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xda7c6c…
07-22 21:33:33	will trump say hottest during remarks in georgia 20260720190340717	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa21632…
07-22 20:51:37	will trump say sleepy joe this week 20260719005322459	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7f7f42…
07-22 20:44:12	will trump say hottest during remarks in georgia 20260720190340717	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x2f718f…
07-22 20:03:09	will trump say trump account this week 20260719005322445	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35d128…
07-22 19:56:19	will trump say stock market during remarks in georgia 20260720190340715	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33e192…
07-22 19:50:13	will trump say million billion or trillion 10 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340704	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2e7511…
07-22 19:49:58	will trump say million billion or trillion 10 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340704	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5fd319…
07-21 13:51:18	Will General Motors say "Horsepower" during earnings call?	No	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0x87d056…
07-21 13:31:19	Will General Motors say "Charging station" during earnings call?	No	BUY	195	95¢	$185	0x8fb8a0…
07-21 13:31:04	Will General Motors say "Charging station" during earnings call?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x3135eb…