Darling-Baboon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,886

lifetime

Volume

$132.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$32

Other

21% 100% +$17

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump say maduro at least ten times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 826	3	$994	500	500	+0	open	—	01-03 18:08
will trump say el salvador this week march 8	6	$822	828	0	+828	open	—	03-07 15:50
will trump say cat during healthcare event	4	$809	406	406	+0	open	—	04-24 00:50
will ryanair say elon or musk during earnings call	7	$787	800	0	+800	open	—	01-26 16:07
will trump say hell during board of peace events on february 19	4	$779	783	0	+783	open	—	02-19 16:40
will trump say stupid or low iq during meetings with chancellor merz	5	$744	750	0	+750	open	—	03-03 17:43
Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	4	$716	720	0	+720	open	—	04-29 03:17
will trump say world cup or olympics 4 times during inter miami events on thursday	2	$697	700	0	+700	open	—	03-05 22:20
will ryanair say starlink during earnings call	4	$694	701	0	+701	open	—	01-26 14:56
will trump say kamala or harris this week march 15	6	$655	659	0	+659	open	—	03-11 22:32
will trump say terrible or horrible during the announcement on thursday	8	$652	658	0	+658	open	—	01-30 00:31
will trump say egg this week march 29	7	$645	664	0	+664	open	—	03-27 17:24
will bernie sanders say robotic or robotics during the fighting oligarchy rally	3	$635	640	0	+640	open	—	02-13 20:00
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week march 29	3	$631	634	0	+634	open	—	03-27 22:51
will donald trump say hell during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 523	5	$626	417	213	+205	open	—	01-03 18:53
will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	6	$618	620	0	+620	open	—	07-17 02:13
will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	2	$599	601	0	+601	open	—	07-17 01:45
will trump say nuclear during healthcare event	2	$598	600	0	+600	open	—	04-23 20:11
will melania say husband or trump during statement on april 9	2	$598	600	0	+600	open	—	04-09 19:28
will trump say sleepy joe this week february 15	3	$595	600	0	+600	open	—	02-11 22:24
will trump say supreme court during meetings with chancellor merz	2	$595	600	0	+600	open	—	03-03 17:34
will trump say hell 8 times during iowa speech 852	6	$594	600	0	+600	open	—	01-27 23:40
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	7	$579	582	0	+582	open	—	05-19 18:16
will trump say secretary of war during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	7	$556	560	0	+560	open	—	03-02 18:49
will trump say breaking news in january	10	$549	322	322	+0	open	—	01-21 16:49
will trump say texas in corpus christi on friday 699 511	3	$548	552	0	+552	open	—	02-27 21:55
will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	3	$547	550	0	+550	open	—	04-02 01:09
will trump say china during executive order signing today	3	$547	550	0	+550	open	—	03-31 22:17
will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	3	$544	550	0	+550	open	—	03-26 14:51
Will King Charles say "Historic" or "History" or "Historical" during the joint meeting of Congress?	4	$523	526	0	+526	open	—	04-28 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 12:36:30	will general motors say software during earnings call 20260713183530314	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5e1d42…
07-17 03:29:03	will trump say iran or iranian 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621420	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x5780cc…
07-17 02:21:54	will trump say communist during speech to the nation 20260713200621426	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x89af7b…
07-17 02:13:07	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xbfb370…
07-17 01:56:31	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x35b2d5…
07-17 01:53:00	will trump say fraud or fraudulent during speech to the nation 20260714024751793	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb23d48…
07-17 01:45:30	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x2929e0…
07-17 01:39:10	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8d3592…
07-17 01:39:10	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6cb72c…
07-17 01:39:06	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc5dfc2…
07-17 01:37:33	will trump say ukraine during speech to the nation 20260714024924416	No	BUY	126	99¢	$126	0x158701…
07-17 01:37:13	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x1f261d…
07-17 01:35:41	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f7ad9…
07-17 01:29:12	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5e8541…
07-17 01:27:47	will trump say ukraine during speech to the nation 20260714024924416	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe02679…
07-17 01:27:38	will trump say israel or israeli during speech to the nation 20260713200621433	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98fada…
07-17 01:27:30	will trump say iraq during speech to the nation 20260713200621436	No	BUY	29	96¢	$27	0x6617d1…
07-17 01:27:23	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x88442d…
07-17 01:22:01	will trump say transgender during speech to the nation 20260713200621428	Yes	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0xe26f47…
07-16 21:22:26	will netflix say squid game during earnings call 20260709145309026	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xf55c90…
07-16 21:22:20	will netflix say formula 1 f1 during earnings call 20260709145309025	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xda3c2f…
07-16 21:22:16	will netflix say synergy during earnings call 20260709145309030	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xb8ce0b…
07-16 21:22:10	will netflix say crypto during earnings call 20260709145309035	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x071bad…
07-16 21:22:08	will netflix say world cup during earnings call 20260709145309034	No	BUY	56	98¢	$56	0xbaba77…
07-16 21:08:02	will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1703f9…
07-16 20:46:47	will netflix say membership during earnings call 20260709145309028	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb9b7af…
07-16 18:00:07	will leavitt say russia or ukraine during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953935 615	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x93e927…
07-16 18:00:01	will leavitt say russia or ukraine during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953935 615	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfeee30…
07-16 17:59:20	will leavitt say joe or biden 5 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953931 438	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xdc4e05…
07-16 17:59:14	will leavitt say russia or ukraine during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953935 615	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xea55aa…
07-16 17:59:02	will leavitt say commander in chief during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953942 837	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x99f325…
07-16 17:59:01	will leavitt say xi or jinping during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953945 827	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0xa67b30…
07-16 17:44:35	will leavitt say president 50 times during the next white house press briefing s8kc	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd49acc…
07-16 17:44:17	will leavitt say president 50 times during the next white house press briefing s8kc	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x57a34d…
07-16 17:33:53	will leavitt say president 30 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953928	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9b419a…
07-16 17:25:56	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x09aa96…
07-16 17:24:29	will leavitt say border during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953947 584	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x3e4227…
07-16 17:24:20	will leavitt say border during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953947 584	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x7cd3c4…
07-16 17:24:05	will leavitt say border during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953947 584	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x3599bb…
07-16 15:55:59	will united airlines say internet during earnings call 20260709145423416	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa75b89…
07-16 15:46:19	will united airlines say internet during earnings call 20260709145423416	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x24ea0d…
07-16 15:43:43	will united airlines say world cup during earnings call 20260709145423418	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4f57a6…
07-16 15:37:16	will united airlines say democratize during earnings call 20260709145423412	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3cfbde…
07-16 15:37:11	will united airlines say democratize during earnings call 20260709145423412	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3777a6…
07-16 15:37:07	will united airlines say democratize during earnings call 20260709145423412	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc4bb80…
07-16 15:36:38	will united airlines say passenger 10 times during earnings call 20260709145423402	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7739a3…
07-16 15:36:23	will united airlines say canada during earnings call 20260709145423415	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa11dfe…
07-16 15:36:11	will united airlines say passenger 10 times during earnings call 20260709145423402	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xa90c83…
07-16 15:36:08	will united airlines say passenger 10 times during earnings call 20260709145423402	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e2b1e…
07-16 15:35:58	will united airlines say world cup during earnings call 20260709145423418	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x7975f7…
07-16 15:35:53	will united airlines say passenger 10 times during earnings call 20260709145423402	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdf7a4a…
07-16 15:22:47	will united airlines say internet during earnings call 20260709145423416	No	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xe6ac6d…
07-16 15:20:37	will united airlines say internet during earnings call 20260709145423416	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x7cfcd6…
07-16 14:34:35	will united airlines say demand during earnings call 20260709145423405	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc519f2…
07-16 14:34:07	will united airlines say inflation during earnings call 20260709145423413	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfef2f2…
07-16 14:34:05	will united airlines say inflation during earnings call 20260709145423413	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x5c6ae1…
07-16 14:33:16	will united airlines say fuel oil during earnings call 20260709145423407	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf43a96…
07-16 14:30:44	will united airlines say morning during earnings call 20260709145423410	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x703500…
07-14 17:41:07	will trump say great leader this week 20260710153927798	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe145d1…
07-14 13:51:47	will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd75879…
07-14 13:40:52	will jpmorgan say monetize during earnings call 20260710145006617	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x879ec2…
07-14 13:40:43	will jpmorgan say monetize during earnings call 20260710145006617	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x25e873…
07-14 13:40:40	will jpmorgan say monetize during earnings call 20260710145006617	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa3a70a…
07-14 13:40:04	will jpmorgan say bitcoin during earnings call 20260710145006614	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xe2c68b…
07-14 13:39:53	will jpmorgan say blockchain during earnings call 20260710145006615	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xb88c42…
07-14 13:39:43	will jpmorgan say synergy during earnings call 20260710145006618	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbad279…
07-14 13:39:40	will jpmorgan say trump during earnings call 20260710145006626	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5a412…
07-14 13:39:19	will jpmorgan say trump during earnings call 20260710145006626	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe23f1f…
07-14 13:39:14	will jpmorgan say synergy during earnings call 20260710145006618	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xcaf614…
07-14 13:39:08	will jpmorgan say bitcoin during earnings call 20260710145006614	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xc04efe…
07-14 13:37:34	will jpmorgan say trump during earnings call 20260710145006626	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x17d825…
07-14 13:35:20	will jpmorgan say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260710145006609	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x0528b3…
07-14 13:06:37	will jpmorgan say mortgage during earnings call 20260710145006624	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x5395a9…
07-14 13:05:34	will jpmorgan say credit card during earnings call 20260710145006623	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x83e9ca…
07-14 13:03:07	will jpmorgan say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260710145006609	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x653425…
07-14 13:02:22	will jpmorgan say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260710145006609	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d9ff5…
07-14 13:02:16	will jpmorgan say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260710145006609	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x955ece…
07-10 14:13:04	will delta air lines say international during earnings call 20260709172401004	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbd2219…
07-10 14:11:32	will delta air lines say premium during earnings call 20260709172400998	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xc9ba6f…
07-10 14:08:43	will delta air lines say delta 15 times during earnings call 20260709172400988	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d157e…
07-10 14:08:31	will delta air lines say delta 15 times during earnings call 20260709172400988	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x83cead…
07-10 14:04:46	will delta air lines say premium during earnings call 20260709172400998	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa3cb45…
07-10 14:04:35	will delta air lines say american express or amex during earnings call 20260709172400995	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa7d518…
06-25 23:20:59	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during rose garden club dinner events 20260625143931364	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0xc3c938…
06-25 23:09:55	will trump say death tax during rose garden club dinner events 20260625143931358	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2a520a…
06-25 23:07:02	will trump say farm or farmer 5 times during rose garden club dinner events 20260625143931349	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5e4701…
06-25 23:05:35	will trump say pool during rose garden club dinner events 20260625143931357	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1703f8…
06-25 14:48:10	will darden restaurants say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260624141322354	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1610b4…
06-25 13:49:52	will darden restaurants say doordash during earnings call 20260624141322359	No	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0xc9bf92…
06-25 13:49:38	will darden restaurants say ozempic during earnings call 20260624141322369	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa57a98…
06-25 13:49:32	will darden restaurants say glp 1 during earnings call 20260624141322372	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xae20ad…
06-25 13:49:14	will darden restaurants say drive thru during earnings call 20260624141322358	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xad9135…
06-25 13:48:58	will darden restaurants say ozempic during earnings call 20260624141322369	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x035b34…
06-25 13:48:53	will darden restaurants say glp 1 during earnings call 20260624141322372	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x533616…
06-25 13:48:44	will darden restaurants say doordash during earnings call 20260624141322359	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa0e880…
06-25 13:48:40	will darden restaurants say drive thru during earnings call 20260624141322358	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x28a2e1…
06-25 13:48:35	will darden restaurants say doordash during earnings call 20260624141322359	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x30a224…
06-25 13:26:26	will darden restaurants say menu 3 times during earnings call 20260624141322356	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x538064…
06-25 13:01:08	will darden restaurants say protein during earnings call 20260624141322370	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4fa14d…
06-25 13:01:04	will darden restaurants say protein during earnings call 20260624141322370	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc75b16…