Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$281

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

515

Trades

2,355

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$519

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-02 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

55% 92% +$493

Other

45% 18% -$773

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		-600	-$504	86¢	$-519	-$15	06-21 06:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	16	$4.5K	2,305	2,305	+0	Yes	+$12	03-10 02:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$4.3K	2,157	2,157	+0	No	+$6	03-05 17:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$2.7K	1,684	1,684	+0	No	+$202	04-02 08:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$2.2K	2,248	0	+2,248	No	+$11	03-05 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 24?	8	$1.4K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$0	06-24 10:44
will uae strike iran by march 31	6	$1.2K	1,000	480	+520	No	+$187	03-30 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	13	$1.0K	600	600	+0	No	-$10	06-20 23:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	5	$966	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	06-20 17:58
will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in february 2026	1	$802	810	0	+810	No	+$8	02-22 15:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?	18	$748	1,473	1,473	+0	No	-$106	06-24 09:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 24?	70	$747	1,404	1,404	+0	No	-$39	06-24 13:10
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$504	0	600	-600	open	—	06-21 06:23
highest temperature in munich on april 13 2026 11corhigher	3	$498	500	0	+500	Yes	+$2	04-12 12:01
highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 58forhigher	3	$497	500	0	+500	Yes	+$3	04-12 10:11
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	1	$495	500	0	+500	Yes	+$5	04-14 00:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$486	279	279	+0	No	-$39	03-23 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	20	$477	319	319	+0	No	-$1	07-01 20:12
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$462	462	0	+462	No	+$0	03-16 10:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$459	462	0	+462	No	+$2	03-14 16:04
highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 22corhigher	9	$391	400	0	+400	Yes	+$9	04-13 03:55
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$388	200	200	+0	No	+$7	03-28 14:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$370	200	200	+0	No	+$18	03-28 14:59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 24?	7	$322	500	88	+412	No	-$238	06-24 14:30
highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 71forbelow	2	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	04-16 05:36
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$279	354	0	+354	No	+$75	03-19 18:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	4	$275	319	319	+0	No	+$1	07-02 02:56
will iran strike turkey in march	3	$222	116	116	+0	No	+$7	03-28 17:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$219	120	120	+0	No	+$6	03-10 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	11	$199	155	155	+0	Yes	+$0	07-02 01:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 14corbelow	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	04-14 01:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	81	33¢	$27	0xb10edc…
07-02 03:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x2768bf…
07-02 03:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x08f8a0…
07-02 03:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x5732e5…
07-02 03:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xf35bef…
07-02 03:03:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x439a2c…
07-02 03:00:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xba961a…
07-02 02:56:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	No	SELL	294	43¢	$127	0x17c353…
07-02 02:56:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xba04b3…
07-02 02:56:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x198f24…
07-02 02:55:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	274	43¢	$118	0x20878b…
07-02 02:48:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	No	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0xe87289…
07-02 02:45:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x51a7c9…
07-02 02:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xeb9ca7…
07-02 02:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x088efc…
07-02 02:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 2?	No	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x4f9e15…
07-02 02:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xdb7f17…
07-02 02:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x68b583…
07-02 02:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2dd022…
07-02 01:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xf266d9…
07-02 01:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x532d93…
07-02 01:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xe5f69e…
07-02 01:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	66	21¢	$14	0xb01122…
07-02 01:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	No	SELL	43	69¢	$29	0x986393…
07-02 01:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x7aeeef…
07-02 01:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	155	64¢	$100	0x7a3698…
07-02 01:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x3484b8…
07-02 01:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xe74e5e…
07-02 01:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xbece74…
07-02 01:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xbebd4b…
07-02 01:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7bc79e…
07-02 01:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x21023d…
07-02 01:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1a9300…
07-02 01:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x1c82c4…
07-02 01:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfae53a…
07-02 01:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xac755c…
07-02 01:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x4c8e16…
07-02 01:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x258975…
07-02 01:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x172935…
07-02 01:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x65c31d…
07-02 01:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xcaaf30…
07-02 01:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x1a167a…
07-02 01:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	31	69¢	$22	0xa215d3…
07-02 01:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbcd357…
07-02 01:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb22e1f…
07-01 20:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x260bb9…
07-01 20:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x506988…
07-01 20:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xaa2e66…
07-01 20:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xb96c68…
07-01 20:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	99	32¢	$32	0xa336fb…
07-01 20:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	99	32¢	$32	0x45d269…
07-01 20:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xd2c2db…
07-01 20:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0x0acc08…
07-01 20:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xdcf19b…
07-01 20:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	SELL	152	74¢	$113	0x3853cb…
07-01 20:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	152	75¢	$114	0xf47e09…
07-01 20:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	SELL	152	75¢	$114	0x457265…
07-01 20:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdaf69a…
07-01 20:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xaf6394…
07-01 20:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2ec21b…
07-01 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf83fc8…
07-01 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6bbbbb…
07-01 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x68ee31…
07-01 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4a613f…
07-01 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x3fb35e…
07-01 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x182868…
07-01 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x0b09ef…
07-01 20:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x10073a…
07-01 20:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xae6c3d…
07-01 20:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc83100…
07-01 20:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xcb6aa2…
07-01 20:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x593bb4…
07-01 20:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf444f0…
07-01 20:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xabd151…
07-01 20:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x451daa…
07-01 20:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x3b690f…
07-01 20:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x2c6e5e…
07-01 20:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x01c32b…
07-01 20:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x108a11…
07-01 20:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x10073a…
07-01 20:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xc310b0…
07-01 20:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xaedd9e…
07-01 20:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9bf563…
07-01 20:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7ea504…
07-01 20:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xe73572…
07-01 20:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xe7a44e…
07-01 20:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x5a0c54…
07-01 19:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x95014e…
07-01 19:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xbca68f…
07-01 19:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xbeeecd…
07-01 19:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 2?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x63a7a2…
07-01 19:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb35f91…
07-01 19:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfee7b1…
07-01 19:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9cf8ad…
07-01 19:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 2?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xf33515…
07-01 19:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0xd7af62…
07-01 19:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xa34ed7…
07-01 19:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4d2056…
07-01 19:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd435de…
07-01 19:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xa7aee9…