Candid-Futon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-12 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% — —

Crypto

19% 83% $-2

Politics

6% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775840100	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	04-10 16:58
will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	6	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	04-02 15:55
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	5	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	03-16 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$35	25	25	+0	Up	$-5	05-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 15:39
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 13c	3	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	03-24 20:38
will trumps approval rating be between 42pt0 and 42pt4 on march 13 2026 138	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 17:40
will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 18:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-13 07:13
will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-13 07:13
atp sakamot medvede 2026 03 21	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-21 19:10
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 16 22	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-19 12:55
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 draw	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-31 19:31
will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-23 19:08
houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-26 07:43
will team falcons win blast open rotterdam 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-24 17:14
2026 valspar championship winner matt fitzpatrick win	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-21 20:19
codmw tor c9ny 2026 03 13	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-13 19:37
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 21	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-21 14:13
tsla above 350 on march 31 2026	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-26 21:25
will ireland win the 2026 six nations championship	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-14 16:05
will laura fine be the democratic nominee for il 09	2	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-13 16:26
will aurora gaming win esl one birmingham 2026	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 15:34
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-12 12:32
nvda above 170 on march 31 2026	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-26 03:41
lal rea elc 2026 03 14 elc	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 07:13
2026 the players championship winner corey conners win	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-13 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56373f…
05-12 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x714f75…
05-12 17:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xaf15bd…
05-12 17:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x500406…
05-12 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa1f2e2…
05-12 17:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xa10e4f…
05-12 17:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd9f7fc…
05-12 17:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x950653…
05-12 17:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x523f7b…
05-12 17:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x99803f…
05-12 17:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x515588…
05-08 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9874cd…
04-29 19:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x70621a…
04-29 19:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe191fd…
04-29 19:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xce3dca…
04-29 18:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7b02b1…
04-29 16:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x579785…
04-29 15:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7dcc00…
04-29 15:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcf074b…
04-29 15:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xadf066…
04-10 16:58:59	btc updown 5m 1775840100	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x7fcdac…
04-10 16:58:21	btc updown 5m 1775840100	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x34a973…
04-02 15:56:29	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 2 2026 29c	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x0fc8a2…
04-02 15:55:19	highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 16corhigher	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf0f434…
04-02 15:55:09	will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xce2f80…
03-31 19:39:41	nba phi was 2026 04 01	76ers	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xb59deb…
03-31 19:31:31	fif egy esp 2026 03 30 draw	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xfd920b…
03-31 18:32:41	nba mil hou 2026 04 01	Rockets	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x531b5e…
03-31 18:32:39	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 28c	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfff1a2…
03-31 18:32:39	highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x13f743…
03-31 18:32:35	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 2 2026 29c	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xae2cff…
03-31 18:32:31	highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc4d02e…
03-29 17:55:28	highest temperature in toronto on march 31 2026 8corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xda4b5f…
03-29 15:20:28	googl above 260 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x59c463…
03-29 15:16:06	aapl above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x3162eb…
03-29 14:59:54	will trump say low energy in march	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe8232e…
03-29 13:16:44	highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xebd6a0…
03-29 13:01:24	will trump say ethanol this week march 29	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xd42b18…
03-29 09:43:26	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in march 928	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x576a39…
03-29 09:11:56	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in march 928	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6ad227…
03-29 07:03:54	highest temperature in dallas on march 29 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xb9ec1b…
03-29 05:43:58	will trump say low energy in march	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa83d42…
03-29 05:09:14	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Lakers	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xe2ce11…
03-29 05:07:24	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 22corhigher	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xb5c64e…
03-29 04:53:56	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x1fbce7…
03-29 02:50:22	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf131b5…
03-29 02:23:10	googl above 290 on march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x2405ce…
03-29 00:03:58	highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4d2236…
03-28 23:49:54	highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 12c	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x7aee91…
03-28 18:57:58	will trump say ethanol this week march 29	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc2bc7d…
03-28 18:53:52	will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb1008c…
03-28 18:53:42	will trump say ethanol this week march 29	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x6dd4ba…
03-28 18:47:49	googl above 290 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xad6f81…
03-28 18:41:39	will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xff0860…
03-28 18:35:27	fif egy esp 2026 03 30 draw	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xdf5a67…
03-28 18:35:25	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x1e9472…
03-28 18:35:21	googl above 260 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x65c967…
03-28 18:29:17	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x99ef73…
03-28 18:29:13	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 28c	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xeaef63…
03-28 18:29:09	highest temperature in dallas on march 29 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8159f0…
03-28 18:29:09	highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 12c	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x79aabc…
03-27 17:44:33	highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 16c	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xfba3e5…
03-27 17:28:09	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 51forbelow	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x243232…
03-27 16:05:25	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5f9a76…
03-27 15:46:01	will trump say kaitlan collins this week march 29	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x37bf88…
03-27 15:34:13	will aurora gaming win esl one birmingham 2026	No	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0x47a4e2…
03-27 08:55:53	highest temperature in munich on march 27 2026 5c	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xb87926…
03-27 05:39:39	will aurora gaming win esl one birmingham 2026	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x94e407…
03-27 05:31:45	highest temperature in beijing on march 27 2026 23c	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xb397fb…
03-27 00:45:13	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 51forbelow	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf1376c…
03-27 00:42:15	will nvda dip to 164 in march	No	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x3cea65…
03-27 00:38:37	will nvda dip to 164 in march	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xae6737…
03-26 23:47:41	highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 18c	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x32f3e9…
03-26 22:02:09	will nvda dip to 164 in march	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x66bdaf…
03-26 21:44:15	highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa46d4f…
03-26 21:39:27	highest temperature in munich on march 27 2026 5c	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x872f10…
03-26 21:36:59	highest temperature in beijing on march 27 2026 23c	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x049728…
03-26 21:36:55	highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x64e704…
03-26 21:25:47	tsla above 350 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xc4eb28…
03-26 21:24:45	will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xca8a11…
03-26 07:56:15	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x464aea…
03-26 07:43:51	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x989854…
03-26 03:53:05	tsla above 400 on march 27 2026	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa8b191…
03-26 03:41:51	nvda above 170 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xd42370…
03-25 19:49:29	nvda above 170 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd1ab8a…
03-25 19:32:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf2e5c7…
03-25 19:24:21	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 18c	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xea33d9…
03-25 19:04:31	will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcae43f…
03-25 18:52:51	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x401cad…
03-25 18:42:51	highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe54398…
03-25 17:57:47	will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x08439a…
03-25 17:49:33	highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 20corhigher	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xd4e4b2…
03-25 17:27:07	will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x0fd751…
03-25 17:27:01	will googl close between 300 and 305 week march 27 2026	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xf2cff1…
03-25 17:26:55	will mrbeasts next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xb2d5ba…
03-25 17:24:55	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x24e988…
03-25 17:20:41	will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x7bccb3…
03-25 17:20:27	highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb5af93…
03-25 17:19:41	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 421	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x974a3e…
03-25 17:15:29	highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf4cb2a…