Peaceful-Simple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

212

Trades

1,964

lifetime

Volume

$165.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 09-25 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

96% 69% -$136

Politics

3% 33% +$3,707

Crypto

0% 40% -$125

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes		+70	$21	26¢	$18	-$3	09-25 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	101	$9.6K	9,148	9,148	+0	Yes	-$2,267	06-30 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	45	$8.0K	6,554	6,554	+0	Yes	+$607	07-01 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	34	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$40	06-30 06:29
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	5	$5.8K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$374	06-24 15:00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	29	$5.3K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$112	06-18 09:51
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	29	$5.1K	4,364	4,442	-78	Yes	+$3,726	05-04 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	29	$4.8K	3,939	3,143	+796	Yes	-$850	06-13 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	46	$4.6K	4,077	4,077	+0	No	+$118	06-09 15:12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	149	$4.5K	7,898	2,064	+5,835	Yes	-$3,446	07-06 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	83	$4.0K	4,605	3,605	+1,000	No	-$177	06-23 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	7	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$130	07-06 10:25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	23	$3.6K	2,434	2,434	+0	No	+$300	05-26 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	36	$3.5K	2,260	2,260	+0	Yes	-$390	06-16 11:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	87	$3.3K	5,135	5,135	+0	No	+$36	06-15 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	15	$3.1K	3,541	0	+3,541	No	+$398	06-26 12:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	10	$3.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$289	06-23 17:35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	15	$3.1K	2,048	2,048	+0	No	-$404	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	3	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	No	+$6	06-30 16:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$2.6K	2,600	0	+2,600	No	+$5	07-02 21:13
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	35	$2.6K	2,316	1,976	+340	Yes	-$208	06-01 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	40	$2.5K	2,769	2,769	+0	Yes	+$60	06-10 12:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$2.5K	1,308	1,308	+0	No	+$120	06-12 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	12	$1.9K	1,234	1,234	+0	Yes	+$171	05-30 08:05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	40	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$40	06-23 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	6	$1.7K	1,069	769	+300	No	+$69	07-27 03:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	22	$1.5K	892	892	+0	No	+$107	06-22 12:55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	23	$1.4K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$398	07-06 04:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	12	$1.4K	1,130	400	+730	Yes	+$31	07-13 15:27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	7	$1.4K	1,396	0	+1,396	No	+$3	07-01 14:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	23	$1.4K	1,506	1,506	+0	Yes	-$446	06-09 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 14:43:35	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xd80a4e…
09-08 18:15:06	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Alex Michelsen	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x9ea8b6…
08-24 07:17:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	49	80¢	$40	0x0acaf7…
08-13 20:10:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x0db61f…
08-09 10:45:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xfe53c7…
08-08 13:38:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x792c62…
08-08 13:37:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xbf7659…
08-05 12:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd8d7b2…
08-05 12:56:50	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x508ac4…
07-30 14:05:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x245ebe…
07-29 20:02:36	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xdee349…
07-29 13:54:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xf0fcae…
07-29 13:39:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$49	0xb86715…
07-29 13:36:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xbc0621…
07-29 13:36:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xf80e9a…
07-29 13:35:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xf41a18…
07-29 09:38:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x786da4…
07-28 20:36:59	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x78bf4c…
07-28 19:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$31	0x833c67…
07-28 19:31:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x09d830…
07-28 19:30:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x706e46…
07-28 19:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x43ef75…
07-28 11:06:53	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	113	79¢	$90	0xfaace2…
07-28 10:33:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xcc47cb…
07-28 10:33:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	85	79¢	$68	0x0404dd…
07-28 10:33:23	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	79¢	$119	0x2272f1…
07-28 10:30:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	75	79¢	$60	0x8f47a1…
07-28 10:04:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x337d96…
07-28 09:59:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x25acaf…
07-28 09:58:17	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	65	56¢	$37	0x2482bc…
07-28 09:55:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x63fc18…
07-28 09:54:56	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xc1034d…
07-28 09:54:22	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x754304…
07-28 09:52:56	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0x2549a9…
07-28 09:50:47	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	146	79¢	$116	0x8cefbe…
07-28 09:50:47	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	54	79¢	$43	0x571f6d…
07-28 07:54:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x41c8f7…
07-28 07:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xeca457…
07-27 19:58:09	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x12f1a7…
07-27 19:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x960458…
07-27 19:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xaea732…
07-27 13:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc5cf7e…
07-27 03:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	190	95¢	$181	0x80e580…
07-27 03:30:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x9339d7…
07-26 14:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	234	85¢	$199	0x0c74ed…
07-26 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x9a0549…
07-26 14:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xa9f92c…
07-26 14:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xd003a5…
07-26 14:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x08ec07…
07-26 14:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	85	85¢	$72	0x7fa61d…
07-26 14:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xa5eed9…
07-26 09:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x32ecbb…
07-26 09:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x8cfccc…
07-26 09:46:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a680f…
07-26 09:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0x9452ab…
07-26 09:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	305	84¢	$257	0x2872fc…
07-26 07:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf1b994…
07-26 07:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	224	97¢	$218	0xb5ccd4…
07-26 07:52:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	545	97¢	$529	0x61c785…
07-25 15:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	669	90¢	$603	0x1f2221…
07-25 12:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x7d8e27…
07-25 11:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8a4bd2…
07-25 09:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x74dca3…
07-24 18:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x0dba28…
07-24 11:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xe3dc62…
07-24 10:53:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x5508c2…
07-24 05:22:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x5f1f4c…
07-23 21:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	460	90¢	$414	0xf23169…
07-23 19:15:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x610259…
07-23 19:03:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x3ff607…
07-23 19:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	72	91¢	$66	0xc34e25…
07-22 20:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	436	98¢	$428	0x4bade3…
07-22 20:32:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x2f6902…
07-22 20:29:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x8f9782…
07-22 20:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a90db…
07-22 20:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x666398…
07-22 07:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3911cd…
07-21 19:23:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x404c47…
07-21 12:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xa60b48…
07-21 12:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xb98d56…
07-21 12:16:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x3c22da…
07-21 06:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x570de3…
07-20 19:12:25	wnba nyl dal 2026 07 20	New York Liberty	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0xc211ff…
07-20 17:46:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	133	90¢	$120	0x6cd0b0…
07-20 17:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xad9981…
07-20 07:12:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb907d4…
07-19 21:46:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xb4d981…
07-19 03:23:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	200	60¢	$119	0xcee0c2…
07-18 20:10:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x2f1369…
07-17 14:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf40de7…
07-17 10:54:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	110	85¢	$94	0xe4945a…
07-17 10:43:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	254	92¢	$233	0x7cfdcf…
07-17 10:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x5c69b1…
07-17 10:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xfebea2…
07-17 10:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	231	92¢	$213	0x11bd82…
07-17 10:42:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	7¢	$12	0xed1292…
07-17 05:15:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x33aa36…
07-17 05:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x23accc…
07-17 05:15:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	40¢	$33	0xa0ad68…
07-15 13:42:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x7a06d1…