Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$918

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 03-01 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

63% 20% -$56

Crypto

24% 46% -$27

Other

12% 40% -$6

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$241	141	141	+0	Yes	+$41	03-01 11:00
will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	2	$138	139	139	+0	Yes	-$2	03-01 15:24
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$75	177	0	+177	No	-$75	03-01 15:24
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$69	98	0	+98	No	-$69	03-01 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:40 UTC	2	$46	80	79	+1	Up	+$7	03-01 15:42
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$42	24	24	+0	Yes	+$2	03-01 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:20 UTC	3	$38	66	38	+28	Down	-$6	03-01 16:23
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	03-01 05:20
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$29	43	43	+0	No	-$1	02-27 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:30 UTC	1	$22	27	0	+27	Down	+$5	02-28 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	2	$20	30	30	+0	Down	-$10	03-01 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	7	$16	75	0	+75	Up	-$16	02-27 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:25 UTC	2	$16	28	0	+28	Down	-$9	03-01 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:25 UTC	1	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	02-28 14:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$15	100	0	+100	Yes	+$85	02-27 18:53
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	02-27 19:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$11	58	0	+58	No	-$11	03-01 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	02-28 17:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC	1	$10	29	0	+29	Down	-$10	03-01 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:50 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	02-27 18:53
will iran be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	1	$9	11	0	+11	No	-$9	02-28 17:19
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	1	$7	19	0	+19	Yes	-$7	03-01 05:39
will hillary say victim during her epstein testimony	1	$5	106	0	+106	No	-$5	02-28 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:05 UTC	1	$5	22	0	+22	Up	+$17	03-01 12:05
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$5	76	0	+76	No	-$5	02-28 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:25 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	02-28 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:50 UTC	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	-$5	03-01 10:55
israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	1	$4	55	0	+55	No	-$4	03-01 14:51
will hillary say island during her epstein testimony	1	$3	60	0	+60	No	-$3	02-28 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-01 16:36:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0xa30453…
03-01 16:30:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3f4d37…
03-01 16:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x7441d7…
03-01 16:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x3a17fb…
03-01 16:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x9cbb9c…
03-01 16:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x54a71a…
03-01 16:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x89aff9…
03-01 15:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	79	33¢	$26	0x7b2614…
03-01 15:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x863105…
03-01 15:36:05	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0xc5ad9f…
03-01 15:24:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0xe8a8f1…
03-01 15:24:41	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	No	SELL	139	49¢	$68	0x111541…
03-01 15:23:03	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	98	70¢	$69	0x45bd64…
03-01 14:51:57	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x373fae…
03-01 14:50:39	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	No	BUY	139	50¢	$70	0x56b6ed…
03-01 12:13:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x8edd87…
03-01 12:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa687e3…
03-01 11:00:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x947904…
03-01 10:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3f5d66…
03-01 05:39:43	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	No	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0xf00097…
03-01 05:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x56a158…
03-01 05:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcb6076…
03-01 05:20:25	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xa673eb…
02-28 17:19:57	will iran be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x882c35…
02-28 17:17:11	will hillary say island during her epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x27207e…
02-28 17:16:53	will hillary say victim during her epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xbbf349…
02-28 17:06:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x670a25…
02-28 14:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x3d0a52…
02-28 14:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x7e276d…
02-28 14:20:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x98f74f…
02-28 09:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xaabb5c…
02-28 09:25:25	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x9202fa…
02-27 19:04:55	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x959f82…
02-27 19:03:25	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0x8b2267…
02-27 19:02:37	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xc769bc…
02-27 19:02:21	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf86a55…
02-27 19:01:49	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x6785bc…
02-27 18:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb8b15b…
02-27 18:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xae2988…
02-27 18:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x326cfb…
02-27 18:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xf2f897…
02-27 18:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xce7ff1…
02-27 18:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x80fe61…
02-27 18:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x239d25…
02-27 18:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe6abed…
02-27 18:53:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x21fd4d…