Admired-Approval-Selfconfidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$39.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$239

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-14 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

30% — —

Sports

22% — —

Crypto

2% 47% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$8.7K	4,640	4,640	+0	open	—	07-07 21:06
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	9	$6.6K	3,380	3,380	+0	open	—	05-27 20:13
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	11	$5.9K	2,974	2,974	+0	open	—	06-07 19:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	12	$2.5K	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	05-11 02:49
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	6	$2.1K	1,048	1,048	+0	open	—	07-07 15:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	05-21 03:28
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	open	—	06-25 03:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	6	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-19 18:01
will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	6	$1.7K	1,928	0	+1,928	open	—	06-29 01:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	11	$788	669	429	+240	open	—	04-23 17:19
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	8	$788	2,672	1,390	+1,282	open	—	04-23 09:47
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	3	$743	1,315	0	+1,315	open	—	07-14 19:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$725	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 16:43
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$678	780	290	+490	open	—	05-11 03:32
will mrbeasts video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 5	2	$597	308	308	+1	open	—	04-23 10:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	3	$263	68	228	-160	open	—	06-03 03:25
btc updown 5m 1783945800	2	$201	191	191	+0	open	—	07-13 12:31
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	2	$152	139	139	+0	open	—	06-08 03:56
btc updown 5m 1783945500	4	$134	87	87	+0	open	—	07-13 12:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$89	0	186	-186	open	—	05-31 00:58
will mrbeasts video get 80 million or more views on day 5	8	$77	518	498	+21	open	—	04-23 14:32
will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858517	1	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$61	44	44	+0	Down	+$21	05-05 02:07
btc updown 5m 1783946100	1	$50	135	0	+135	open	—	07-13 12:35
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	2	$50	615	0	+615	open	—	06-08 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$45	77	77	+0	Down	$-15	05-10 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$40	131	69	+63	Down	$-20	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$34	25	25	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 02:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:06:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	602	56¢	$340	0xdd403d…
07-14 19:06:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x087cc2…
07-14 19:06:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	693	57¢	$392	0xbf9a8e…
07-13 12:35:47	btc updown 5m 1783946100	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xacf2ee…
07-13 12:31:37	btc updown 5m 1783945800	Up	SELL	191	53¢	$101	0xb72b6e…
07-13 12:29:40	btc updown 5m 1783945800	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x14838a…
07-13 12:29:01	btc updown 5m 1783945500	Up	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xe3da49…
07-13 12:29:01	btc updown 5m 1783945500	Up	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x80c40c…
07-13 12:25:04	btc updown 5m 1783945500	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8a8468…
07-13 12:25:01	btc updown 5m 1783945500	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xa565c8…
07-07 21:06:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3,203	100¢	$3,200	0xe4903f…
07-07 19:32:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,203	100¢	$3,200	0x0f9b74…
07-07 18:59:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	284	74¢	$209	0xc2f42a…
07-07 18:59:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	400	74¢	$295	0x820cfc…
07-07 18:48:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x8dfd7d…
07-07 18:47:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x400acb…
07-07 18:43:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x138311…
07-07 18:17:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0x8ac7f2…
07-07 15:24:22	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	98¢	$112	0xa21e0f…
07-07 15:00:41	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0x6f0f4f…
07-07 14:34:01	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	853	98¢	$840	0x3c8740…
07-07 13:12:43	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	760	98¢	$747	0x39eb13…
07-07 13:11:58	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x3df3ff…
07-07 13:11:52	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0xf65104…
07-07 10:34:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	118	86¢	$102	0x56a320…
07-07 10:34:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xcb317d…
07-07 10:34:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x9e538c…
07-07 10:34:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	103	86¢	$89	0xc48f61…
07-07 10:33:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	153	86¢	$131	0x40a3d1…
07-07 10:17:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	353	87¢	$307	0x4ef970…
07-07 10:01:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xe37908…
06-29 01:04:04	will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858517	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xb431d7…
06-29 01:01:58	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x484dcb…
06-27 16:31:08	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0xbd85ad…
06-25 04:02:11	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x3becb2…
06-25 03:56:05	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	1,021	98¢	$999	0x00e674…
06-25 03:07:14	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x6de5ea…
06-24 17:33:50	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xdc898e…
06-24 17:24:25	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	No	BUY	137	85¢	$117	0x62b0ad…
06-24 14:28:59	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	No	BUY	82	80¢	$66	0x230aa3…
06-08 13:06:45	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x452894…
06-08 08:17:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x79c471…
06-08 03:56:03	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	SELL	139	95¢	$132	0x86b5ab…
06-07 19:56:13	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,118	100¢	$1,114	0xd6a0de…
06-07 19:16:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0x8165cc…
06-07 11:30:54	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	670	100¢	$667	0x14c8f9…
06-07 10:48:54	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0xb78cff…
06-07 07:00:09	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xd86dc8…
06-07 05:15:18	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x328850…
06-07 04:48:09	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x373ecd…
06-07 03:53:03	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x4af28e…
06-06 15:32:49	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x29d7bb…
06-06 14:56:16	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	563	99¢	$558	0xb2806f…
06-05 17:03:55	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,878	100¢	$1,869	0x08d040…
06-05 17:03:51	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,096	99¢	$1,089	0x23ce4d…
06-03 03:25:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	134	89¢	$119	0x6e69a5…
06-03 03:24:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	94	89¢	$84	0x00d27f…
06-02 18:06:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$61	0x591c43…
05-31 00:58:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	107	48¢	$51	0x3e9f5e…
05-30 20:00:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x2c0f63…
05-30 19:41:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x0e4360…
05-30 09:05:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0xc369bb…
05-28 16:43:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x57a9f8…
05-28 16:27:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0xecbabb…
05-27 20:13:51	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	2,406	100¢	$2,396	0x257104…
05-27 20:10:28	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	461	100¢	$459	0x7d8dc1…
05-27 18:22:03	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0xa32152…
05-27 18:20:30	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0xec5ed6…
05-27 18:04:15	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x5b1c22…
05-27 18:02:46	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,968	100¢	$1,960	0x660efb…
05-27 16:16:50	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x2adf14…
05-27 05:10:59	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x19ae9e…
05-27 04:58:11	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	272	74¢	$200	0x32d9b1…
05-21 03:28:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,053	96¢	$1,008	0x3778d0…
05-19 18:01:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0x5d42b5…
05-19 11:29:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	793	89¢	$706	0x4cd696…
05-19 11:29:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xde15ba…
05-19 11:26:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8b5a95…
05-19 11:23:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	157	89¢	$139	0xccb325…
05-19 11:18:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdb9000…
05-11 03:32:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x422eff…
05-11 03:22:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	334	88¢	$293	0xf7c941…
05-11 03:22:06	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	160	86¢	$138	0xfcaa19…
05-11 03:06:33	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	256	13¢	$34	0xa3643b…
05-11 03:01:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x0bc853…
05-11 02:49:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	654	93¢	$608	0x97214f…
05-11 02:49:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	501	93¢	$466	0x9bc409…
05-10 22:34:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xab4014…
05-10 22:31:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xbe0618…
05-10 22:17:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x63d44b…
05-10 17:24:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x88b0ed…
05-10 09:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	77	20¢	$15	0xef5607…
05-10 09:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x7cb2d2…
05-10 09:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4959c7…
05-10 09:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0xddc4b1…
05-10 09:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x61c086…
05-10 09:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd2c06c…
05-10 05:03:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xb21cf9…
05-09 14:35:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xc8e0ff…
05-09 14:30:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa148d4…