Admired-Approval-Selfconfidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$189

Open exposure

$55

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-08 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

48% — —

Crypto

2% 47% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-186	$-89	30¢	$-55	+$34	05-31 00:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	9	$6.6K	3,380	3,380	+0	open	—	05-27 20:13
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	11	$5.9K	2,974	2,974	+0	open	—	06-07 19:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	12	$2.5K	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	05-11 02:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	05-21 03:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	6	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-19 18:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	11	$788	669	429	+240	open	—	04-23 17:19
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	8	$788	2,672	1,390	+1,282	open	—	04-23 09:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$725	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 16:43
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$678	780	290	+490	open	—	05-11 03:32
will mrbeasts video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 5	2	$597	308	308	+1	open	—	04-23 10:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	3	$263	68	228	-160	open	—	06-03 03:25
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	2	$152	139	139	+0	open	—	06-08 03:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$89	0	186	-186	open	—	05-31 00:58
will mrbeasts video get 80 million or more views on day 5	8	$77	518	498	+21	open	—	04-23 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$61	44	44	+0	Down	+$21	05-05 02:07
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	2	$50	615	0	+615	open	—	06-08 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$45	77	77	+0	Down	$-15	05-10 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$40	131	69	+63	Down	$-20	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$34	25	25	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	Up	+$21	05-06 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$10	40	0	+40	Up	$-10	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	42	0	+42	Down	+$32	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-06 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Down	$-10	05-10 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	$-10	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-05 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 13:06:45	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x452894…
06-08 08:17:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x79c471…
06-08 03:56:03	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	SELL	139	95¢	$132	0x86b5ab…
06-07 19:56:13	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,118	100¢	$1,114	0xd6a0de…
06-07 19:16:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0x8165cc…
06-07 11:30:54	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	670	100¢	$667	0x14c8f9…
06-07 10:48:54	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0xb78cff…
06-07 07:00:09	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xd86dc8…
06-07 05:15:18	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x328850…
06-07 04:48:09	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x373ecd…
06-07 03:53:03	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x4af28e…
06-06 15:32:49	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x29d7bb…
06-06 14:56:16	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	563	99¢	$558	0xb2806f…
06-05 17:03:55	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,878	100¢	$1,869	0x08d040…
06-05 17:03:51	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,096	99¢	$1,089	0x23ce4d…
06-03 03:25:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	134	89¢	$119	0x6e69a5…
06-03 03:24:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	94	89¢	$84	0x00d27f…
06-02 18:06:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$61	0x591c43…
05-31 00:58:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	107	48¢	$51	0x3e9f5e…
05-30 20:00:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x2c0f63…
05-30 19:41:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x0e4360…
05-30 09:05:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0xc369bb…
05-28 16:43:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x57a9f8…
05-28 16:27:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0xecbabb…
05-27 20:13:51	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	2,406	100¢	$2,396	0x257104…
05-27 20:10:28	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	461	100¢	$459	0x7d8dc1…
05-27 18:22:03	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0xa32152…
05-27 18:20:30	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0xec5ed6…
05-27 18:04:15	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x5b1c22…
05-27 18:02:46	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,968	100¢	$1,960	0x660efb…
05-27 16:16:50	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x2adf14…
05-27 05:10:59	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x19ae9e…
05-27 04:58:11	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	272	74¢	$200	0x32d9b1…
05-21 03:28:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,053	96¢	$1,008	0x3778d0…
05-19 18:01:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0x5d42b5…
05-19 11:29:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	793	89¢	$706	0x4cd696…
05-19 11:29:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xde15ba…
05-19 11:26:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8b5a95…
05-19 11:23:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	157	89¢	$139	0xccb325…
05-19 11:18:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdb9000…
05-11 03:32:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x422eff…
05-11 03:22:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	334	88¢	$293	0xf7c941…
05-11 03:22:06	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	160	86¢	$138	0xfcaa19…
05-11 03:06:33	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	256	13¢	$34	0xa3643b…
05-11 03:01:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x0bc853…
05-11 02:49:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	654	93¢	$608	0x97214f…
05-11 02:49:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	501	93¢	$466	0x9bc409…
05-10 22:34:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xab4014…
05-10 22:31:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xbe0618…
05-10 22:17:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x63d44b…
05-10 17:24:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x88b0ed…
05-10 09:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	77	20¢	$15	0xef5607…
05-10 09:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x7cb2d2…
05-10 09:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4959c7…
05-10 09:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0xddc4b1…
05-10 09:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x61c086…
05-10 09:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd2c06c…
05-10 05:03:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xb21cf9…
05-09 14:35:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xc8e0ff…
05-09 14:30:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa148d4…
05-09 14:20:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xd38815…
05-09 14:20:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x541cc1…
05-09 14:20:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	87	93¢	$81	0xf1946e…
05-09 08:02:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0x9b03bf…
05-09 08:02:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0x7e0243…
05-09 07:41:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x239e9e…
05-09 07:05:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x9e06e4…
05-06 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc56f9b…
05-06 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xc2086d…
05-06 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x659a40…
05-06 16:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xfd432d…
05-06 16:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa9384d…
05-06 12:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xe1866a…
05-06 12:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf9a3f6…
05-06 10:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8b4966…
05-06 04:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x507e95…
05-05 02:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc41fab…
05-05 02:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xac7536…
05-05 02:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x91542f…
05-05 02:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x662048…
05-05 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x8a5f26…
05-05 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x4dc780…
05-05 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x30ffb9…
05-05 02:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x11d416…
05-05 02:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x6bf79b…
05-05 02:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x5c7e92…
05-05 02:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x3f343e…
05-05 02:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x68cbd9…
05-05 02:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xc52698…
05-05 02:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x47a7a7…
05-05 02:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8a62b2…
05-05 02:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb08bf1…
05-03 17:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfa94d7…
05-03 17:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc730eb…
04-23 17:19:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	177	67¢	$119	0x5d7f51…
04-23 16:32:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	149	67¢	$100	0xc1d4d6…
04-23 15:50:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x4904aa…
04-23 14:45:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	386	65¢	$250	0x221f8d…
04-23 14:32:02	will mrbeasts video get 80 million or more views on day 5	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$2	0x472c47…
04-23 13:21:54	will mrbeasts video get 80 million or more views on day 5	Yes	SELL	337	1¢	$4	0xa23e35…