Blissful-Disaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

355

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-19 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 66% +$74

Politics

2% 10% -$25

Other

2% 32% -$11

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 17	15	$116	114	129	-16	Down	+$8	02-17 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 13:50 UTC	1	$70	131	0	+131	Down	+$61	03-02 13:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 18:45 UTC	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	-$50	03-06 18:40
bitcoin up or down on february 18	6	$33	55	55	+0	Down	+$5	02-18 15:51
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 09:15 UTC	3	$30	60	0	+60	Down	-$30	02-26 09:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 05:40 UTC	1	$28	33	0	+33	Down	+$5	02-25 05:42
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 2pm et	2	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-17 19:06
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 08:55 UTC	1	$22	144	0	+144	Down	-$22	02-26 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 13:45 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-14 14:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:50 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	03-17 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 07:15 UTC	1	$20	38	0	+38	Down	+$18	02-24 07:14
bitcoin up or down march 14 9am et	1	$20	40	0	+40	Up	-$20	03-14 13:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 18:30 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	03-17 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 05:15 UTC	4	$20	32	10	+22	Down	+$12	02-23 05:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 20:45 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-06 21:00
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 05:20 UTC	2	$19	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	02-25 05:24
bitcoin up or down on february 19	4	$19	37	0	+37	Down	+$18	02-19 06:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:55 UTC	3	$18	24	10	+14	Up	+$2	03-17 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	2	$17	15	15	+0	Up	-$10	10-15 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:15 UTC	5	$17	25	14	+11	Up	-$7	09-26 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:05 UTC	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	03-08 07:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 05:15 UTC	2	$17	16	16	+0	Down	-$3	02-25 05:19
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7am et	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 12:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 18:15 UTC	2	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	03-17 18:28
bitcoin up or down march 11 12am et	2	$15	11	10	+0	Up	+$6	03-11 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 11:00 UTC	2	$15	63	0	+63	Up	-$15	03-06 11:14
bitcoin up or down march 11 11pm et	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	03-12 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:25 UTC	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	02-28 09:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 05:30 UTC	3	$15	22	11	+12	Up	-$5	02-24 05:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 12:00 UTC	6	$15	12	12	+0	Down	-$1	07-14 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 13:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcc4f29…
10-19 12:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7cbf59…
10-19 12:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf5f2c6…
10-19 11:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x43a68e…
10-19 11:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5bfdd8…
10-19 11:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc08534…
10-19 11:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6c4908…
10-19 09:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa10124…
10-19 08:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x5337a4…
10-19 08:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x127aa9…
10-19 06:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x64878a…
10-19 05:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7379be…
10-19 04:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe862bb…
10-19 04:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4260ef…
10-19 04:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x02828d…
10-19 04:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xabdc9a…
10-19 04:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x13b8b5…
10-19 04:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xa753f8…
10-19 04:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8fac81…
10-19 04:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x50e740…
10-19 04:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x59695d…
10-18 15:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x199caa…
10-18 15:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x81499c…
10-18 14:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x5aa5c9…
10-18 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2b6c32…
10-18 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x018528…
10-18 14:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x247db2…
10-18 14:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x402cdb…
10-18 14:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x045746…
10-18 14:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3bc4b4…
10-18 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x62e3a2…
10-18 14:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd87e7d…
10-18 14:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x8f3b7b…
10-18 14:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe8cdd4…
10-18 14:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb35692…
10-18 12:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdda411…
10-18 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1f09f2…
10-16 02:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xcc703b…
10-16 02:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x571ee3…
10-15 17:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xe4a1b8…
10-15 16:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0ca33b…
10-15 15:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3372e9…
10-15 15:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Down	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x1990f4…
10-15 14:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x9ea998…
10-15 09:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc3c665…
10-15 08:11:20	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3db3af…
10-14 12:00:14	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x534783…
10-14 11:55:28	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x61601c…
10-14 03:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x97a08f…
10-13 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd9fa6f…
10-13 11:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4e24ff…
10-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xc36a33…
10-11 10:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x39965d…
10-11 10:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xd8e9a0…
10-11 08:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xfbf626…
10-10 06:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd2faa4…
10-10 06:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x96c7d6…
10-10 02:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x44c4fb…
10-10 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xe013e2…
10-08 17:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x29a2c2…
09-26 10:57:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x207a3b…
09-26 07:50:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x374f55…
09-26 07:49:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x81fbc8…
09-26 07:25:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x61542b…
09-26 07:24:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xfa287c…
09-26 07:23:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x596f6f…
09-26 07:19:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xb5d08f…
09-26 07:18:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd8dc3e…
09-26 07:03:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa3109b…
09-26 06:47:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x31ba5c…
09-26 05:52:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x95f1f5…
09-24 03:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x29501b…
09-24 03:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x6cce69…
09-24 03:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3a5124…
09-24 03:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2f9fc5…
09-23 11:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x96f2ff…
09-22 16:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x61b9e9…
09-22 13:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd07837…
09-22 13:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x70b173…
09-22 13:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9dc131…
09-22 13:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e37f5…
09-22 13:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7a67d9…
09-22 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf789fb…
09-22 13:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb97909…
09-22 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xede84f…
09-22 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x55c8ff…
09-22 10:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe40b7b…
09-22 10:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd310d0…
09-22 09:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3c797c…
09-22 09:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5f1526…
09-22 09:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbaddc8…
09-22 09:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfdfc41…
09-22 08:35:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x897b4c…
09-22 08:34:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x703b96…
09-22 08:26:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4991af…
09-22 06:23:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6de357…
09-22 02:51:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x574c20…
09-21 19:32:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8d81b9…
09-21 19:32:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x40e2ce…
09-21 19:18:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x31668b…