Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$381

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-18

last 11-04 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

67% 80% +$1

Tech

16% 100% +$0

Sports

8% — —

Politics

5% — —

Pop-Culture

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	10-30 21:17
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	1	$28	40	0	+40	open	—	11-04 12:57
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-21 17:34
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	6	$27	27	27	+0	open	—	10-27 04:36
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.45T by December 31?	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	10-23 19:45
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 21:02
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	3	$23	20	18	+2	open	—	10-21 17:39
Will Ben Johns be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Men's End of Year Rankings?	3	$21	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 21:47
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-19 00:23
Will the Republicans win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?	3	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	11-02 16:22
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	2	$17	17	17	+0	No	+$1	10-26 16:06
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 19:17
ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026?	2	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 09:58
CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?	2	$15	12	11	+1	No	+$0	10-25 03:34
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 13:10
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	3	$11	9	8	+1	open	—	10-25 05:42
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	10-30 13:30
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	10-26 16:00
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	3	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	10-24 12:28
Muse Charm released by November 15, 2026?	1	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 06:20
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	10-21 01:32
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 21:55
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	2	$4	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	10-24 19:51
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	11-02 04:43
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	1	$0	1	0	+1	open	—	11-01 21:32
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	1	$0	0	0	+0	open	—	10-23 00:20
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?	1	$0	0	0	+0	No	+$0	10-21 06:36
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	1	$0	1	0	+1	open	—	10-23 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:57:10	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x82c3a5…
11-02 16:22:45	Will the Republicans win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xa4c4ec…
11-02 16:22:45	Will the Republicans win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x4ea029…
11-02 04:43:03	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc1d73d…
11-01 21:32:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xb04946…
11-01 16:57:57	Will the Republicans win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xd92daf…
10-31 21:47:43	Will Ben Johns be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Men's End of Year Rankings?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xf54c6a…
10-31 21:47:43	Will Ben Johns be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Men's End of Year Rankings?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xf139aa…
10-30 21:17:19	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xf3dbdd…
10-30 13:30:42	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x405018…
10-30 10:27:07	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0de29e…
10-30 08:57:12	Will Ben Johns be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Men's End of Year Rankings?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xfe7cf5…
10-28 21:55:29	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa2140b…
10-28 06:20:16	Muse Charm released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x401c28…
10-27 04:36:59	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x676f15…
10-26 16:06:02	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x537e95…
10-26 16:05:02	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xbdf81c…
10-26 16:00:14	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x4bee05…
10-26 02:35:23	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x853c81…
10-25 05:42:36	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xaa3130…
10-25 03:34:48	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?	No	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x1bebe7…
10-25 01:13:56	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4d506b…
10-24 21:41:36	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x19e674…
10-24 19:51:05	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xcc9832…
10-24 19:50:18	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xc7f65d…
10-24 19:17:21	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x09bf38…
10-24 12:28:17	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x4c4431…
10-24 12:16:41	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xe28a82…
10-24 08:00:02	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd328e9…
10-24 07:10:23	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xb35f30…
10-24 06:12:56	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x1b94fc…
10-24 06:12:39	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x410f79…
10-23 21:02:18	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x9d3e17…
10-23 21:01:09	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x7a40d0…
10-23 20:59:45	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x53a2e2…
10-23 19:50:03	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x29df86…
10-23 19:45:09	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.45T by December 31?	No	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x713d0d…
10-23 19:37:06	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x91f31f…
10-23 19:17:48	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3d4104…
10-23 19:11:59	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.45T by December 31?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0xd7a41d…
10-23 19:11:54	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x892001…
10-23 13:10:47	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xdc9f28…
10-23 02:40:48	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0ef879…
10-23 00:20:32	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x78b8af…
10-21 17:39:12	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xeb1867…
10-21 17:34:56	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x8f47fe…
10-21 12:28:06	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x783209…
10-21 11:04:32	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc6b7cc…
10-21 06:36:35	Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xa4af08…
10-21 01:32:42	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xa6afa3…
10-21 01:21:38	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb00639…
10-20 23:09:23	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x809bc9…
10-20 09:58:53	ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x64af1e…
10-20 09:05:11	ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc44c0c…
10-20 08:25:34	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x435449…
10-19 00:23:26	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x2e28b5…
10-18 15:40:56	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x533049…