Moral-Advent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

-$80

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$95

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 09-23 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

66% 42% -$85

Tech

16% 100% +$267

Politics

16% 0% -$78

Crypto

2% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+185	$50	17¢	$31	-$19	09-21 17:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+156	$50	19¢	$30	-$20	09-21 17:38
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	+173	$50	17¢	$29	-$21	09-21 17:38
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+3,125	$25	0¢	$5	-$20	09-21 17:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	2	$367	333	333	+0	No	+$267	09-21 16:47
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	4	$257	175	175	+0	Yes	+$37	06-11 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$213	145	145	+0	No	+$13	05-04 06:09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$194	211	211	+0	No	+$55	05-30 17:20
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$192	332	332	+0	No	-$46	05-24 07:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$152	106	106	+0	No	+$12	04-23 21:23
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$115	66	65	+0	Yes	+$16	04-19 17:29
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	2	$100	62	62	+0	No	+$20	09-21 18:11
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	5	$89	4,260	4,260	+0	Yes	-$81	09-23 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC	2	$56	66	66	+0	Down	+$6	09-21 17:06
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	1	$50	173	0	+173	open	—	09-21 17:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	1	$50	156	0	+156	open	—	09-21 17:38
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$50	185	0	+185	open	—	09-21 17:39
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	1	$50	132	0	+132	Yes	+$82	06-11 22:57
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	1	$50	192	0	+192	No	-$50	04-18 17:52
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$50	88	0	+88	No	-$50	03-30 20:34
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	1	$50	93	0	+93	No	-$50	06-12 07:34
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$50	85	0	+85	No	-$50	06-13 15:41
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$43	31	31	+0	Yes	+$3	06-14 02:09
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?	2	$38	29	29	+0	Yes	+$18	06-12 19:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$32	30	29	+1	Yes	+$21	04-17 15:56
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$25	3,125	0	+3,125	open	—	09-21 17:24
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	2	$20	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 19:29
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	2	$12	91	91	+0	No	-$8	06-11 20:10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	1	$10	31	0	+31	No	-$10	06-11 22:58
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	1	$10	31	0	+31	No	-$10	06-11 22:57
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	1	$10	48	0	+48	No	-$10	06-12 07:34
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	-$10	06-13 15:40
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	-$10	06-12 07:36
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	1	$9	142	0	+142	No	-$9	09-21 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 18:12:19	will xi jinping visit us by september 23	No	SELL	4,260	0¢	$4	0x025fca…
09-22 18:30:19	Will MrBeast say "GTA" or "Grand Theft Auto" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0x14a767…
09-22 18:28:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	531	1¢	$5	0x38366d…
09-22 14:52:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x99fec2…
09-21 18:11:22	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xf61101…
09-21 18:08:39	Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x810bb6…
09-21 18:04:48	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xf7e68b…
09-21 17:55:28	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x32b20b…
09-21 17:52:57	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x259e77…
09-21 17:48:57	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?	No	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x0186e8…
09-21 17:48:43	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	6¢	$9	0x165f4f…
09-21 17:39:43	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x740a6a…
09-21 17:38:21	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	173	29¢	$50	0x4a32b5…
09-21 17:38:01	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x51ddfe…
09-21 17:24:48	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,125	1¢	$25	0x4b683e…
09-21 17:06:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	66	48¢	$31	0x287eba…
09-21 17:04:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x8dd325…
09-21 16:51:33	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	2,510	1¢	$25	0x0c7295…
09-21 16:47:51	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	333	95¢	$317	0x4dc14c…
09-21 12:58:24	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	No	SELL	117	0¢	$1	0x46c3e8…
09-21 12:55:15	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x26e684…
09-17 20:38:25	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	No	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xa55bbf…
09-17 13:31:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xc385d6…
09-17 13:30:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x74b822…
09-17 13:29:03	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xf8ea75…
06-14 02:09:48	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0x437556…
06-13 15:41:42	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb6517e…
06-13 15:41:19	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x0f9cb5…
06-13 15:40:19	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x02be60…
06-12 19:29:45	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0xd96aa2…
06-12 19:27:15	Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xfad957…
06-12 07:36:25	Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0eea6a…
06-12 07:36:12	Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x82a943…
06-12 07:34:25	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2f56f3…
06-12 07:34:16	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb30332…
06-12 07:34:03	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x2e3be6…
06-11 22:58:15	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x69eb4f…
06-11 22:57:55	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3cffa4…
06-11 22:57:09	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x82577c…
06-11 22:09:55	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x23e815…
06-11 20:10:33	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0x980de9…
06-11 20:10:28	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	32	13¢	$4	0xfdd6b4…
06-11 15:08:03	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd9e240…
06-11 15:07:45	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x543b8e…
06-11 15:07:03	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc83ff6…
05-30 17:20:04	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	211	59¢	$125	0xbf3c7d…
05-30 13:49:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	211	33¢	$70	0x8ac229…
05-24 07:41:57	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	332	22¢	$73	0x9d8ab9…
05-11 20:29:24	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	332	36¢	$119	0xbee643…
05-04 06:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	145	78¢	$113	0xf6f107…
04-29 15:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xfa3f23…
04-23 21:23:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x3c8506…
04-19 17:33:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xf8b7ab…
04-19 17:29:36	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x5a70b6…
04-19 16:59:28	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xf22d76…
04-18 17:52:12	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xa927e3…
04-17 16:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x5ccc4a…
04-17 16:00:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb493c0…
04-17 15:58:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf91551…
04-17 15:56:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0x05d509…
04-02 07:51:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xda55d1…
03-30 20:34:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xdcb7cc…