Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

739

Trades

3,250

lifetime

Volume

$274.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-03 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 68% +$57

Other

9% 23% -$273

Politics

7% 50% -$623

Tech

1% 25% -$3,153

Sports

0% 67% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	44	$10.4K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$1,000	03-26 05:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	10	$7.7K	4,413	4,413	+0	No	+$491	04-08 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:00 UTC	31	$7.4K	4,134	4,123	+10	Up	+$6	03-18 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:15 UTC	2	$5.8K	2,897	2,895	+2	Down	+$26	03-31 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:30 UTC	18	$5.7K	3,358	2,632	+726	Down	-$462	03-19 11:35
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	6	$5.4K	3,736	3,836	-100	No	+$2,171	04-16 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 20:25 UTC	30	$5.3K	2,701	2,701	+0	Up	+$62	03-18 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 20:05 UTC	5	$5.2K	2,785	2,776	+9	Down	+$319	03-18 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:15 UTC	4	$4.2K	2,346	2,329	+17	Down	+$445	03-19 14:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$4.1K	2,601	2,601	+0	No	+$231	04-01 06:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:05 UTC	15	$4.1K	2,209	2,201	+8	Up	+$241	03-19 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 12:05 UTC	9	$3.3K	1,724	1,721	+3	Down	+$107	03-19 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 08:25 UTC	7	$3.3K	1,752	1,747	+5	Down	+$185	03-19 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 07:10 UTC	10	$3.2K	1,723	1,718	+6	Down	+$219	03-19 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 06:25 UTC	28	$3.2K	1,896	1,894	+1	Down	+$4	03-19 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 20:10 UTC	10	$2.9K	2,121	2,107	+14	Up	-$456	03-18 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:20 UTC	25	$2.9K	1,518	1,515	+4	Down	+$119	03-18 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:15 UTC	7	$2.8K	1,485	1,484	+1	Up	+$110	03-18 21:20
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 7am et	2	$2.8K	1,377	1,377	+0	Down	+$1	03-18 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 07:15 UTC	49	$2.7K	1,610	1,605	+4	Down	+$472	03-19 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:55 UTC	5	$2.6K	1,332	1,331	+0	Down	+$18	03-18 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:35 UTC	14	$2.5K	1,446	1,433	+13	Down	+$360	03-18 11:39
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	36	$2.3K	14,002	0	+14,002	Yes	-$2,284	04-23 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:05 UTC	5	$2.2K	1,541	1,526	+15	Up	+$51	03-18 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 20:15 UTC	3	$2.2K	1,151	1,151	+1	Up	+$41	03-18 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:10 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,101	1,101	+0	Up	+$10	03-19 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:35 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,098	1,097	+0	Up	+$33	03-18 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:25 UTC	3	$2.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	Down	+$8	03-18 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 20:35 UTC	19	$2.1K	1,202	1,202	+0	Down	+$280	03-18 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	8	$2.0K	1,025	1,024	+0	Down	+$30	03-18 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc5817a…
11-03 01:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x20a960…
11-03 01:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xada887…
11-03 01:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4ddc61…
11-02 03:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc731fc…
11-02 03:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7b490e…
11-02 03:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xe644d7…
11-02 03:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb6cec5…
11-02 03:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x2556e3…
11-02 03:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x39841b…
11-02 03:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x4c6c4c…
11-02 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x15e9cf…
11-02 02:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xfb9384…
11-02 02:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xe31e72…
11-02 02:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x190a72…
11-02 02:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa11988…
11-02 02:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc99e83…
11-02 02:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xad5af8…
11-02 02:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1878f6…
11-02 02:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x033933…
11-02 02:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x030db4…
11-02 02:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4f6e09…
11-02 02:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x1e83dd…
11-02 02:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc1d8c4…
11-02 02:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc1a5bb…
11-02 02:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x702348…
11-02 02:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xdd8a30…
11-02 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdfa45e…
11-02 02:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6a8676…
11-02 02:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x64d11a…
11-02 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd3bbc3…
11-02 02:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x47b9f0…
05-14 08:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x392e2b…
05-01 06:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb9503b…
04-30 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x503f0b…
04-30 04:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x109cd8…
04-29 18:38:38	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x5c09f9…
04-29 12:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x488c41…
04-27 12:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	543	0¢	$1	0xc98a30…
04-27 12:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x72bdeb…
04-27 10:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0666c7…
04-27 08:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x8eae55…
04-27 08:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xe0d4bf…
04-27 04:53:04	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xf0da75…
04-27 03:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x63ebcf…
04-26 17:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x31341e…
04-26 17:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8f8dca…
04-26 17:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x1e6c1e…
04-26 17:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x1940c2…
04-26 11:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1,932	1¢	$10	0x1a173b…
04-26 11:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x18e448…
04-26 11:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x209f74…
04-26 11:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0xc976dc…
04-26 10:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x910f04…
04-26 08:26:08	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x06a571…
04-26 08:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2836d2…
04-26 07:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xecc08c…
04-26 06:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x384bdc…
04-26 06:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x2ed775…
04-26 06:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0xeb7629…
04-26 06:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0xf2c15c…
04-26 05:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x27cf43…
04-26 05:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xedb854…
04-26 05:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x699131…
04-26 05:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0x4163d5…
04-26 05:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x051c7e…
04-26 05:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	181	0¢	$1	0xe61560…
04-26 05:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x3b1024…
04-26 05:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x76addf…
04-26 05:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x063807…
04-26 05:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0033b6…
04-26 05:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x59bd06…
04-26 04:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x35c49e…
04-26 04:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe4d23c…
04-26 04:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x2edb45…
04-25 11:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x54bf0d…
04-25 11:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0xde94d3…
04-25 11:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	658	1¢	$6	0x3d5b78…
04-25 11:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc11255…
04-25 10:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$100	0x8989fe…
04-25 10:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1,617	0¢	$5	0x81d5ee…
04-25 10:39:28	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xafa260…
04-25 10:39:04	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x0eab4f…
04-25 10:37:10	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x11848b…
04-25 10:35:58	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x486341…
04-25 10:35:52	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xf35564…
04-25 10:35:40	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb7d04c…
04-25 10:31:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	1,437	1¢	$10	0x0caacc…
04-25 10:25:40	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xe38d06…
04-25 09:57:14	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x714ce1…
04-25 09:37:20	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xc117c9…
04-25 09:36:36	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x98f4fa…
04-25 09:34:38	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	527	1¢	$5	0xa6f2dd…
04-25 09:34:22	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	1,161	1¢	$10	0xd84796…
04-25 09:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,287	0¢	$4	0xa4a90a…
04-25 08:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x99cc7d…
04-25 07:40:44	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	853	0¢	$4	0x704ae7…
04-25 07:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xf6c833…
04-25 07:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x8d2c2e…
04-25 07:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	381	0¢	$1	0xe5a28c…