Flimsy-Quicksand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$7.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-22 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-0

Sports

19% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$544	273	273	+0	open	—	04-17 17:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$402	201	201	+0	open	—	04-21 13:43
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	6	$374	187	187	+0	open	—	03-22 05:20
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$366	184	184	+0	open	—	04-14 22:34
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	04-16 03:08
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	4	$334	167	167	+0	open	—	03-18 16:11
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$318	159	159	+0	open	—	04-19 06:35
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$314	157	157	+0	open	—	03-31 04:33
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	4	$278	139	139	+0	open	—	04-20 08:41
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$278	139	139	+0	open	—	03-26 07:56
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$274	137	137	+0	No	$-0	04-05 00:34
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$224	112	112	+0	open	—	02-28 09:24
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	04-13 06:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	04-22 07:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 09:25
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	03-29 08:21
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	04-19 16:36
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$-0	03-29 12:07
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$-0	04-04 12:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$172	86	86	+0	open	—	03-13 18:11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	04-11 20:21
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-14 10:29
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$158	79	79	+0	No	$-0	03-23 23:48
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	04-01 18:55
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-14 21:39
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 07:47
will phil mickelson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-26 22:13
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	03-19 20:21
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	03-02 10:29
will tony finau win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	03-01 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 09:25:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x95384a…
04-22 07:37:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x71ca6c…
04-22 07:37:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xe3450f…
04-22 04:05:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x3bfed3…
04-21 13:43:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x500352…
04-21 09:30:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xb16dc9…
04-20 08:41:44	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x1c70bd…
04-20 06:17:34	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xfa4d89…
04-19 16:36:16	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xae1585…
04-19 12:25:42	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x0d2c41…
04-19 06:35:24	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xcc4e1b…
04-19 04:19:12	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x1643d3…
04-18 14:32:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x2b5161…
04-18 11:29:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xa22b8a…
04-17 17:55:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x99d06f…
04-17 14:17:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xcec35d…
04-16 03:08:44	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x333827…
04-16 00:30:14	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa89656…
04-15 02:46:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x89f6f8…
04-15 01:27:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xaa9afc…
04-14 22:34:14	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x23d376…
04-14 17:18:44	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x3a8d07…
04-14 10:29:09	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x2c766d…
04-14 08:05:51	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x012ccb…
04-13 06:07:03	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x5147fc…
04-13 00:11:51	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x21aecd…
04-11 20:21:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x85affe…
04-10 15:58:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0d22fa…
04-08 12:32:55	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x2dacf6…
04-08 11:09:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x689ddb…
04-05 00:34:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xb2a91b…
04-04 20:40:23	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x2c25c4…
04-04 12:59:03	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x37fb93…
04-04 11:26:19	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x508b58…
04-01 18:55:09	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x9ebd86…
04-01 15:09:11	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x7a9204…
03-31 15:41:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf52d9d…
03-31 04:33:49	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x1f5fa7…
03-31 00:32:27	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x8b9743…
03-30 15:26:55	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc55ed6…
03-30 07:09:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x961d43…
03-30 03:22:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x83eb07…
03-29 12:07:36	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x610ad4…
03-29 08:21:36	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xddf161…
03-29 08:21:18	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x84a11a…
03-29 04:34:50	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x4834df…
03-26 22:13:59	will phil mickelson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc2b086…
03-26 15:08:13	will phil mickelson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x474279…
03-26 07:56:01	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x9188a8…
03-26 00:51:57	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xffa6e2…
03-25 04:21:19	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xbd8869…
03-24 21:06:25	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x9679b7…
03-23 23:48:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xf7355e…
03-23 16:40:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x034f76…
03-23 16:40:05	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x1bc0cb…
03-23 09:34:39	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xc420cd…
03-23 02:26:59	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x7a21e8…
03-22 19:27:39	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x284407…
03-22 05:20:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xd150fb…
03-21 23:07:51	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x1c0952…
03-21 07:47:49	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x941ba0…
03-21 00:41:09	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x0031f1…
03-20 17:26:27	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf69619…
03-20 10:08:47	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x9b6ef1…
03-19 20:21:49	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x00e587…
03-19 13:17:41	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xd1f9cf…
03-18 16:11:33	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x51e1f6…
03-18 09:06:23	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4f2fdf…
03-17 11:58:09	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xa9eb0f…
03-17 05:09:01	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x364087…
03-14 21:39:35	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xfe77e4…
03-14 14:45:09	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x4c0700…
03-13 18:11:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xd67a96…
03-13 09:42:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x7d2851…
03-13 09:42:41	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x6cdaa0…
03-12 15:14:53	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xb85354…
03-11 17:28:45	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xd8f57e…
03-11 10:33:23	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe170d8…
03-07 12:25:09	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf703ac…
03-05 21:54:09	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xac4194…
03-05 17:51:21	nba uta was 2026 03 05	Jazz	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xc76496…
03-05 17:50:51	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	48	59¢	$28	0xfe8ae5…
03-05 17:50:17	nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	Rockets	BUY	47	76¢	$36	0xc5af60…
03-04 18:09:13	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xbb9996…
03-04 10:02:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x6abe9f…
03-03 18:54:05	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0xd3e264…
03-03 18:53:33	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	42	78¢	$33	0x950d57…
03-03 18:53:09	Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x8a6dcc…
03-02 10:29:49	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x4ef189…
03-02 03:08:33	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x62ed3a…
03-01 19:39:33	will tony finau win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x590c90…
03-01 12:00:01	will tony finau win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x32b8b2…
02-28 09:25:25	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01474c…
02-28 09:25:03	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7e946f…
02-28 09:24:37	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc3381…
02-28 09:24:21	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xeb6b63…
02-28 01:40:33	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x7e2ae8…
02-27 18:02:31	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xd11750…
02-27 10:39:07	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xdd7a19…
02-27 10:38:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x40943d…