Regal-Arm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 29% $-3

Sports

22% 40% +$7

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$147	98	98	+0	Up	+$47	05-07 05:45
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$107	120	120	+0	Sean Strickland	$-1	05-10 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$86	67	67	+0	Down	+$46	05-07 11:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$75	594	164	+430	open	—	05-10 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$65	40	40	+0	Down	+$15	05-10 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$65	47	47	+0	Down	+$28	05-07 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$61	37	37	+0	Down	+$11	05-07 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$61	40	40	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 05:38
Fight to Go the Distance?	2	$51	42	42	+0	No	+$31	05-10 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$47	278	278	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 05:34
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$38	35	35	+0	Joshua Van	+$10	05-10 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$35	71	0	+71	Up	$-35	05-07 05:54
76ers vs. Knicks	4	$23	100	0	+100	Knicks	$-23	05-06 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$21	80	0	+80	Up	$-21	05-10 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$20	80	0	+80	Down	$-20	05-07 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$20	49	0	+49	Up	$-20	05-07 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$20	59	0	+59	Down	$-20	05-07 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	Up	$-20	05-07 12:58
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	$-10	05-10 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	+$15	05-07 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-07 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	Up	$-5	05-07 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-07 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-07 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Up	$-5	05-07 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Up	+$21	05-07 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-07 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 12:42:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x520782…
05-10 12:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc1eaee…
05-10 12:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x2980ca…
05-10 12:33:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	189	9¢	$17	0x0bec0a…
05-10 05:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x966583…
05-10 04:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xb2ae1c…
05-10 04:34:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	53	80¢	$43	0x38c659…
05-10 04:20:44	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x7295f2…
05-10 04:17:37	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	67	16¢	$11	0x910649…
05-10 03:51:18	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	67	21¢	$14	0xcf0789…
05-10 03:46:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x392daa…
05-10 03:44:34	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xcd88d2…
05-10 03:35:10	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1ed770…
05-10 03:30:25	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	35	68¢	$24	0x376b97…
05-10 03:16:06	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x88517f…
05-10 03:15:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	164	9¢	$15	0xba8810…
05-07 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf7eb57…
05-07 13:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8518e5…
05-07 13:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbd5146…
05-07 13:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6c7ec7…
05-07 12:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xfc738d…
05-07 12:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf5031b…
05-07 12:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2a25e6…
05-07 12:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0a8b48…
05-07 12:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8772f0…
05-07 11:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xe27cb3…
05-07 11:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x9d6900…
05-07 11:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x229230…
05-07 11:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x169b61…
05-07 11:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc7b5f3…
05-07 10:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x9d58e6…
05-07 10:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x07f8db…
05-07 10:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x47396d…
05-07 10:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x0d4c0a…
05-07 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xa9c70e…
05-07 06:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xe10025…
05-07 06:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x6739f0…
05-07 05:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x929748…
05-07 05:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x2709a3…
05-07 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x064e7f…
05-07 05:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x90ae0d…
05-07 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x595781…
05-07 05:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	278	8¢	$22	0x24c6c5…
05-07 05:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xc3eabd…
05-07 05:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x2dc825…
05-07 05:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xce302a…
05-07 05:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x32d1f3…
05-07 02:57:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	327	11¢	$36	0x620498…
05-07 02:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xda3a49…
05-07 02:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x38b9b5…
05-06 23:46:04	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xd278f1…
05-06 23:46:00	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x3e3236…
05-06 23:45:55	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x5ab275…
05-06 23:45:55	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x2b14c7…