Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

106

Trades

595

lifetime

Volume

$5.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-17

last 10-07 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$50

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+10	$5	8¢	$1	-$4	09-17 23:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:15 UTC	13	$367	434	176	+258	Up	-$17	09-18 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	19	$316	286	161	+124	Down	+$4	09-18 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:40 UTC	14	$251	1,556	74	+1,482	Up	-$103	09-18 04:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:25 UTC	8	$223	423	156	+267	Down	+$21	09-18 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:20 UTC	6	$203	565	103	+462	Down	+$3	09-18 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:10 UTC	10	$172	223	91	+132	Up	+$10	09-18 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	18	$156	448	0	+448	Down	-$17	09-18 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	9	$144	103	88	+15	Down	+$32	10-02 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	13	$130	224	0	+224	Down	-$50	09-18 03:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:10 UTC	9	$120	675	0	+675	Up	-$120	09-17 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:55 UTC	18	$116	179	0	+179	Down	+$34	09-18 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:15 UTC	6	$115	93	65	+28	Up	+$15	09-18 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	10	$115	179	62	+117	Up	+$9	10-07 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:25 UTC	16	$101	86	56	+30	Up	+$11	09-24 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:35 UTC	5	$100	717	0	+717	Up	-$11	09-18 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$95	173	56	+117	Down	+$17	10-07 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:55 UTC	9	$90	116	0	+116	Down	+$26	09-18 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	9	$90	120	0	+120	Down	-$90	09-18 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:25 UTC	8	$80	99	0	+99	Up	-$9	09-18 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	8	$80	92	0	+92	Down	+$12	09-18 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	14	$76	846	0	+846	Down	-$46	10-06 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:45 UTC	6	$75	364	0	+364	Up	-$75	09-17 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	10	$70	117	0	+117	Down	+$47	10-06 21:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:00 UTC	10	$70	113	0	+113	Up	-$21	09-18 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$68	950	58	+892	Up	-$12	10-07 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:05 UTC	5	$65	1,003	0	+1,003	Up	-$65	09-17 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	9	$61	242	0	+242	Down	-$61	10-07 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$61	50	33	+17	Up	+$5	10-02 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:50 UTC	6	$60	235	0	+235	Down	+$146	09-18 03:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:20 UTC	6	$60	917	0	+917	Up	-$42	09-17 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 17:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xe53c06…
10-07 17:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x2d5287…
10-07 17:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x413756…
10-07 17:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xaeb9f3…
10-07 17:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xd1c5bf…
10-07 17:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xc9ecc6…
10-07 17:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x3e65ec…
10-07 17:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xaaefe8…
10-07 17:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x5d901e…
10-07 17:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0xd038ea…
10-07 17:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc41c61…
10-07 17:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	121	6¢	$7	0xd1af57…
10-07 17:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	58	48¢	$28	0x99a05b…
10-07 17:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x51b509…
10-07 17:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x06cb96…
10-07 17:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x61e0df…
10-07 17:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xe71d82…
10-07 16:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x7d1146…
10-07 16:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa98a51…
10-07 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x0aecf1…
10-07 16:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x3e8efe…
10-07 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x682e16…
10-07 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x900b60…
10-07 16:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x66503e…
10-07 16:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x751c19…
10-07 16:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x824685…
10-07 16:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe915ff…
10-07 16:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x6c5c6a…
10-07 16:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xec3660…
10-07 16:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x37e84a…
10-07 16:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x2f2b3b…
10-07 16:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x29a315…
10-07 16:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x1d62cc…
10-07 16:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x0dd4ae…
10-07 16:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb40c79…
10-07 16:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0ae4c5…
10-06 21:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x44afbc…
10-06 21:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb79919…
10-06 21:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcc3a9c…
10-06 21:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5d2b69…
10-06 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfa4487…
10-06 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1a5156…
10-06 21:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa03326…
10-06 21:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3616ff…
10-06 21:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x36a7d9…
10-06 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6cbf2c…
10-06 21:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2a6f31…
10-06 21:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xee46f1…
10-06 21:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x43738e…
10-06 21:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x539f04…
10-06 21:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	350	2¢	$7	0x207510…
10-06 21:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xdd13a6…
10-06 21:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x78c524…
10-06 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xa32be9…
10-06 21:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x5acd9c…
10-06 21:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xa6092f…
10-06 21:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x5c95e4…
10-06 21:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x769e60…
10-06 21:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x3168cb…
10-06 21:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xbb623d…
10-06 21:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x7053e3…
10-06 21:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x3f43c3…
10-06 20:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x74e1c3…
10-06 20:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0xe5e33d…
10-06 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x837097…
10-06 20:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x119a7c…
10-06 20:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3fa084…
10-06 20:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xc35639…
10-06 20:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x197e59…
10-06 20:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2ae0fd…
10-06 20:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x722cb7…
10-06 20:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x04fbe1…
10-06 20:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0xfc7d6d…
10-06 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xc2ac0c…
10-06 20:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x07a027…
10-06 20:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xaf3cfc…
10-06 20:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x30a337…
10-06 20:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe9d6d6…
10-06 20:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0e6008…
10-06 20:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb4eb30…
10-06 20:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x703dae…
10-06 20:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x0950c3…
10-06 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x52f59f…
10-06 20:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xbff559…
10-06 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x6719cb…
10-06 20:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xfef2fa…
10-06 20:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x65ea81…
10-06 20:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0xb2e7dc…
10-06 20:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x934531…
10-06 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x2f2c70…
10-06 20:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x19487b…
10-06 20:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x83344e…
10-06 20:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x5adc1b…
10-06 20:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3e3eb9…
10-06 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdbc0aa…
10-06 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xca499b…
10-06 20:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xe09f33…
10-06 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xfe51ab…
10-06 20:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	350	2¢	$7	0xc50837…
10-06 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x706222…