Capital-Algebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-22 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 27% $-13

Other

14% 100% +$4

Politics

8% 0% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$25	52	+52	open	—	05-15 03:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-06 05:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-06 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$15	23	+23	open	—	05-15 02:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$10	14	+14	Yes	+$4	05-06 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-15 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	11	+11	open	—	05-15 03:29
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-06 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$7	20	+20	Down	$-7	05-06 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$7	8	+8	Up	+$1	05-09 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-07 07:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	16	+16	open	—	05-15 19:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-06 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-14 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	24	+24	open	—	05-15 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-15 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-14 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-15 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-15 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-14 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-15 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$4	95	+95	Up	$-4	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$4	112	+112	open	—	05-14 21:40
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	1	$3	64	+64	open	—	05-06 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$3	16	+16	open	—	05-15 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$3	9	+9	open	—	05-14 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$3	10	+10	Down	$-3	05-09 00:09
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$3	4	+4	No	$-3	05-06 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$3	11	+11	Up	+$8	05-08 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa7911f…
05-15 19:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7c9f6c…
05-15 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4c20f9…
05-15 15:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x90641d…
05-15 15:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x62b84a…
05-15 15:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd9a023…
05-15 15:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x78257b…
05-15 15:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf2cd91…
05-15 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xede1e0…
05-15 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe61f30…
05-15 14:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0d6eed…
05-15 14:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa78e5c…
05-15 03:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x80c462…
05-15 03:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfa5ecc…
05-15 03:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf65f29…
05-15 03:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x853610…
05-15 03:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x50c8f4…
05-15 03:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4a3d6b…
05-15 03:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6545ce…
05-15 03:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc068c4…
05-15 02:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9f8226…
05-15 02:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8d8ab6…
05-15 02:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0731f8…
05-15 02:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33fe37…
05-15 02:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf470ce…
05-15 02:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9beafe…
05-15 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfbe30e…
05-15 01:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xab3add…
05-14 23:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe1990f…
05-14 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcf7906…
05-14 23:00:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x50db4e…
05-14 22:59:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa5a124…
05-14 22:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x76a7ec…
05-14 22:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a52c0…
05-14 22:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x64e574…
05-14 22:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdcc7ef…
05-14 22:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0d28af…
05-14 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf9dfde…
05-14 21:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x472168…
05-14 21:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcb686c…
05-14 21:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4138b8…
05-14 21:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x51e3f8…
05-14 21:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x42282c…
05-14 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf65819…
05-14 21:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d9802…
05-14 21:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1ef76d…
05-14 21:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x666887…
05-14 21:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe346ea…
05-14 21:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23a065…
05-14 21:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x502a67…
05-14 20:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xceabc2…
05-14 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a3617…
05-14 20:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd21a87…
05-14 20:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfa32de…
05-14 20:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdd9970…
05-14 20:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x308c5f…
05-14 20:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9f3c51…
05-14 20:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00bd30…
05-14 20:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3919fc…
05-14 20:09:48	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x320908…
05-14 20:09:32	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b5ec0…
05-14 20:08:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe641e5…
05-14 20:08:25	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x79d8bc…
05-14 20:08:15	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe9129b…
05-14 19:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x05c00e…
05-14 19:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x691da1…
05-11 01:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa564f8…
05-11 01:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdce2d2…
05-09 00:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8d6b3a…
05-09 00:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfaa92a…
05-09 00:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xee2275…
05-09 00:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x846170…
05-09 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8a1a11…
05-09 00:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6eb460…
05-09 00:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd58194…
05-09 00:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8647ba…
05-09 00:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x50d614…
05-09 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7983c7…
05-09 00:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdd5a0d…
05-09 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb3e088…
05-09 00:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87bf6d…
05-09 00:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x664338…
05-09 00:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x99a7e4…
05-09 00:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe98953…
05-09 00:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x32f615…
05-09 00:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xebf622…
05-08 23:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xae6de8…
05-08 23:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd3a5dc…
05-08 23:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d68f5…
05-08 23:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdf451e…
05-08 23:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4b54b0…
05-08 23:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x007af1…
05-08 23:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x392b39…
05-08 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x86ea00…
05-08 21:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe63d79…
05-08 21:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa2257e…
05-08 21:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x58ca70…
05-08 21:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1c2710…
05-08 21:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9d9178…
05-08 21:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x403bf7…