Relieved-Battle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-05 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 72% -$19

Other

32% 81% -$54

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No		+3	$2	100¢	$3	+$1	10-05 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-21 07:21
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 9c	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	03-24 12:42
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-05 08:57
ethereum above 2700 on april 22	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	04-21 13:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 17	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-16 12:26
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-08 10:51
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 13	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-13 12:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	05-19 09:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	05-06 13:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	05-09 11:08
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	05-04 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	06-04 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	05-25 13:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	06-14 11:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$77	77	+77	Yes	+$0	05-22 12:05
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$76	76	+76	No	+$0	04-29 10:55
will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 6	1	$72	72	+72	No	+$0	01-06 12:13
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 11	1	$72	72	+72	No	+$0	01-10 11:29
bitcoin above 80k on january 3	1	$72	72	+72	Yes	+$0	01-03 09:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 4	1	$70	70	+70	No	+$0	02-03 13:33
will xrp dip to 0pt8 in january 2026	1	$70	70	+70	No	+$0	01-20 12:33
bitcoin above 100k on january 14	1	$69	69	+69	No	+$0	01-14 10:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 26?	1	$64	64	+64	No	+$0	04-25 12:50
bitcoin above 70k on april 2	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	04-02 10:23
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	1	$51	51	+51	Yes	-$51	02-09 11:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$48	48	+48	No	+$0	03-18 12:02
xrp above 0pt9 on march 13	1	$44	44	+44	Yes	+$0	03-12 12:20
will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	1	$42	42	+42	No	+$0	03-18 11:50
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	03-12 12:15
cz binance of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 80 99	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-01 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 08:53:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x494a4f…
10-05 08:51:14	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x8a94b0…
09-19 08:16:31	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc352dd…
09-19 08:09:34	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 2 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcebbc5…
08-25 06:05:07	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xce2154…
07-17 09:13:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3e489c…
06-14 11:13:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xba8868…
06-04 10:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x2c8bd6…
05-25 13:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x54dcdb…
05-22 12:05:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x461fdf…
05-22 11:47:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0x1eaefd…
05-19 09:47:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x47e5a5…
05-09 11:08:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x371f48…
05-06 13:19:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x401c13…
05-04 04:47:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x953f05…
04-29 10:55:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xd67137…
04-29 10:48:06	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x1833e1…
04-29 10:47:40	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfd40e2…
04-25 13:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xedc6a4…
04-25 12:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xb4b58b…
04-25 12:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x815145…
04-21 13:23:48	ethereum above 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x3ed1e7…
04-16 12:26:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 17	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x597d0a…
04-13 12:54:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 13	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xfe5ef8…
04-13 12:50:33	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 14	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8c7185…
04-08 10:51:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb92623…
04-08 10:42:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x80067f…
04-05 08:57:03	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xb7d250…
04-02 10:23:37	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xdd5f9e…
04-02 10:16:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xdd7c7b…
04-01 13:55:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 2	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x121443…
04-01 13:54:07	cz binance of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 80 99	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1a157b…
03-24 12:42:47	highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 9c	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xdb678d…
03-24 12:33:13	ethereum above 1700 on march 25	No	BUY	833	0¢	$2	0x69db7d…
03-21 07:21:31	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc3d441…
03-18 12:02:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3b5de5…
03-18 11:51:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0xe8b10b…
03-18 11:50:01	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3950d3…
03-13 10:49:17	ethereum above 1900 on march 13	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc82bcb…
03-13 10:30:13	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	No	BUY	312	1¢	$2	0x004730…
03-13 10:17:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	No	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0x23dcfb…
03-12 12:20:19	xrp above 0pt9 on march 13	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x1c024d…
03-12 12:15:45	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x99a39f…
03-12 11:08:47	ethereum above 1500 on march 13	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbe3caf…
03-11 11:35:21	solana above 120 on march 12	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd6479e…
03-04 12:04:59	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x85512d…
03-02 12:42:07	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbfc7be…
03-02 12:30:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	1,033	0¢	$3	0xe69f46…
02-28 13:52:49	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc0444f…
02-09 11:19:33	bitcoin above 80k on february 10	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5173a0…
02-09 11:18:27	bitcoin above 80k on february 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa94466…
02-09 11:14:49	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x88212e…
02-03 13:33:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 4	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4cd7f1…
01-28 10:19:17	ethereum above 2700 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcfdc1d…
01-20 12:33:14	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in january 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5c97e3…
01-14 10:37:08	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x2ecc16…
01-14 10:19:46	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 165 189	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x51390b…
01-10 11:29:24	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 11	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x5bafce…
01-06 12:13:47	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 6	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xeb68fa…
01-03 09:18:45	bitcoin above 80k on january 3	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x06bf0d…