Shabby-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$353

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

213

Trades

570

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-10 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 50% -$173

Other

48% 65% -$180

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in singapore on march 27 2026 34c	59	$317	711	143	+568	No	-$36	03-27 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$76	101	101	+0	Up	+$16	05-17 16:43
highest temperature in los angeles on march 25 2026 76 77f	25	$74	77	0	+77	No	+$3	03-25 21:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 28c	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$1	03-25 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$63	289	100	+189	Up	-$19	05-17 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$60	219	0	+219	Up	-$60	05-17 17:09
highest temperature in austin on march 28 2026 80forhigher	11	$56	302	151	+151	No	+$3	03-26 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$51	179	0	+179	Down	-$51	05-17 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$50	27	27	+0	Up	+$5	05-23 09:25
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$49	37	37	+0	Down	-$11	05-23 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$45	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	05-23 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$45	586	0	+586	Down	-$45	05-17 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$45	283	0	+283	Down	-$45	05-17 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$45	183	0	+183	Down	+$138	05-17 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-23 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$38	228	0	+228	Up	-$38	05-17 17:44
highest temperature in austin on march 28 2026 78 79f	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$1	03-27 19:08
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-23 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$33	35	35	+0	Up	-$16	05-23 10:29
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 24c	8	$33	675	0	+675	No	-$33	03-27 08:02
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 54 55f	9	$31	33	0	+33	No	+$2	03-25 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$30	99	0	+99	Down	-$30	05-17 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$30	75	0	+75	Up	+$10	05-17 17:46
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Up	-$4	05-23 11:04
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:40 UTC	2	$26	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	07-10 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$25	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Up	+$12	05-23 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$25	143	0	+143	Up	-$25	05-17 15:07
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$25	28	0	+28	No	+$3	05-16 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$25	23	23	+0	Down	-$7	05-23 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 12:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x64f5d9…
07-10 12:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4a990a…
07-10 12:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x441480…
07-10 12:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x01b11e…
07-10 12:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x4424ca…
07-10 12:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0xcfddd4…
07-10 12:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6d403f…
07-10 12:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x47286c…
07-10 12:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xcfefbb…
07-10 12:10:08	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe31eaf…
07-10 12:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x7d79f1…
07-10 12:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x66b8db…
07-10 12:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xb9838c…
07-10 12:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb6c33c…
07-10 11:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x15ca33…
07-10 11:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0xc0bf57…
07-10 11:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xb0a170…
07-10 11:47:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x78a04a…
07-10 11:45:07	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x4ab8e8…
07-10 11:45:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0602bf…
07-10 11:40:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x88696a…
07-10 11:40:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xa19b86…
07-10 11:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbb8553…
07-10 11:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x7e5c59…
07-10 11:35:07	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x2d1a47…
07-10 11:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xad47b8…
07-10 11:34:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeb17c9…
07-10 11:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x315687…
07-10 11:30:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1c590a…
07-10 11:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x3e539f…
07-10 11:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x050d01…
07-10 11:26:29	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x865be9…
07-10 11:25:25	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0176d3…
07-10 11:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa5e728…
07-10 11:23:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x87b7cc…
07-10 11:20:08	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x60c6fe…
07-10 11:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x233b1b…
07-10 11:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x5328f5…
07-10 11:18:37	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3de66f…
07-10 11:15:07	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbc6e1b…
07-10 11:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc5ed3f…
07-10 11:10:17	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5a093f…
07-10 11:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x49f692…
07-10 11:10:01	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x17e7dd…
07-10 11:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x57f6dd…
07-10 11:05:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x96baf8…
07-10 11:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x70b96a…
07-10 11:02:26	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x9827fa…
07-10 11:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe51416…
07-10 11:00:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x30551e…
07-10 11:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc91373…
07-10 10:58:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xcb4fdb…
07-10 10:55:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x082bb7…
07-10 10:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x2389d7…
07-10 10:52:47	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x2174c6…
07-10 10:52:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:50 UTC	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x2a7e44…
07-10 10:50:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x5f4845…
07-10 10:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xddc141…
07-10 10:49:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x288c8f…
07-10 10:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd561dd…
07-10 10:46:40	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$3	0x161081…
07-10 10:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x25055d…
07-10 10:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xed6f69…
07-10 10:38:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x0968ff…
07-10 10:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x251e00…
07-10 10:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x2c66d5…
07-10 10:34:19	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0xbc34fd…
07-10 10:32:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$5	0xba4041…
07-10 10:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xaea0ad…
07-10 10:27:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x18504e…
07-10 10:27:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xc515cb…
07-10 10:26:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xf7cccb…
07-10 10:26:17	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x3f3cf1…
07-10 10:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa21ee9…
07-10 10:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc33dfe…
07-10 10:11:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0x28cb23…
07-10 10:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x6c5e07…
07-10 10:07:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x91893f…
07-10 10:06:50	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x400691…
07-10 10:06:37	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xe12b27…
07-10 10:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9a3263…
07-10 10:01:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xfd08e1…
07-10 10:00:19	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x1de3e3…
07-10 09:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x1caaa3…
07-10 09:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x01802b…
07-10 09:52:47	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x537174…
07-10 09:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x32ebf8…
07-10 09:51:29	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x3769e9…
07-10 09:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x2e8419…
07-10 09:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x016561…
07-10 09:41:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x2be0ec…
07-10 09:37:43	BNB Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x1b273c…
07-10 09:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x4d6bad…
07-10 09:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4809a8…
07-10 09:35:43	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x778668…
07-10 09:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x3a8cc4…
07-10 09:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x65ea89…
07-10 09:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x2397c1…
07-10 09:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x465925…
07-10 09:07:34	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xc45cc9…