Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$857

Unrealized P&L

+$102

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

810 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.21K

$36.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$420

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-02 12:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Politics

47% 44% +$1,142

Other

37% 38% -$3,484

Crypto

10% 30% -$169

Sports

6% 29% -$651

Tech

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+351	$192	65¢	$228	+$36	11-02 12:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+237	$26	32¢	$75	+$49	10-31 22:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	+116	$50	55¢	$63	+$13	11-01 14:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+132	$50	41¢	$54	+$4	11-01 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$3.2K	1,899	1,899	+0	Yes	+$575	10-28 08:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$1.7K	1,084	1,084	+0	Yes	+$423	04-21 18:08
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	11	$1.2K	1,024	1,024	+0	No	+$1	03-22 12:38
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.0K	773	773	+0	No	+$468	04-17 16:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	13	$938	2,498	0	+2,498	Yes	-$938	04-28 07:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$907	2,027	2,027	+0	No	-$774	04-24 06:24
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	3	$879	551	551	+0	No	+$195	04-17 16:03
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$851	1,058	130	+929	Yes	+$175	04-16 06:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	10	$673	903	193	+710	Yes	-$405	04-28 07:40
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$665	498	498	+0	No	+$322	04-01 07:55
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	7	$566	370	370	+0	No	+$106	04-12 07:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$510	2,259	0	+2,259	No	-$510	06-26 21:52
Germany leading at halftime?	1	$500	980	0	+980	No	-$500	06-20 19:25
will qatar strike iran by march 31	3	$479	427	427	+0	No	-$181	03-05 08:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$416	497	241	+256	No	+$85	04-15 17:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$350	633	0	+633	Yes	+$283	04-17 13:02
will israel take military action in gaza on march 20 2026	6	$347	253	253	+0	No	+$109	03-21 15:41
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$304	190	190	+0	Yes	+$58	04-16 16:00
atp hurkacz kovacev 2026 03 04	2	$297	171	171	+0	Aleksandar Kovacevic	+$41	03-05 23:03
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$285	250	250	+0	Yes	+$185	10-28 08:37
will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	1	$282	579	0	+579	Yes	-$282	03-22 12:38
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	3	$276	149	149	+0	Yes	+$22	02-01 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:05 UTC	2	$270	169	167	+2	Up	+$62	02-19 16:10
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$260	344	0	+344	No	-$260	04-21 20:52
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	4	$258	285	285	+0	Yes	-$59	04-16 16:00
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	3	$251	221	221	+0	Djokovic	+$190	01-30 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$249	499	198	+301	No	-$48	04-24 05:31
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	2	$242	183	183	+0	No	+$35	04-02 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	2	$241	154	150	+4	Yes	+$45	04-14 08:42
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	2	$240	132	132	+0	No	+$10	04-10 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:23:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	154	58¢	$89	0xf53116…
11-01 21:43:37	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	Celtics	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0x978727…
11-01 17:00:09	Arsenal FC to score first vs. Liverpool FC?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xdf734c…
11-01 15:57:25	Arsenal FC to score first vs. Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0xb5244e…
11-01 15:56:28	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xc5879b…
11-01 14:45:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x957d7e…
11-01 14:44:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x7a8738…
11-01 14:44:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xf9bb1b…
10-31 22:15:46	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x4cb00d…
10-31 22:15:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	237	42¢	$99	0xe938cf…
10-31 18:08:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	156	52¢	$81	0x3e6aa6…
10-29 08:36:23	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	289	4¢	$10	0x7c33d7…
10-29 08:36:22	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x94d3fa…
10-29 08:36:22	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	181	4¢	$6	0x915693…
10-28 08:37:52	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0x808ea0…
10-28 08:37:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,899	98¢	$1,863	0x503f16…
10-27 20:18:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,220	81¢	$988	0xe19c17…
10-27 20:00:44	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	238	63¢	$150	0xbdd499…
10-27 19:54:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x9555e1…
10-27 19:17:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xeed12d…
10-27 19:17:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xcf5dc6…
10-27 19:05:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xc113e7…
10-27 19:04:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	288	26¢	$75	0x494b6a…
06-26 21:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x590024…
06-26 21:51:50	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0xfc6461…
06-26 21:51:25	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,222	0¢	$4	0x1a5c34…
06-20 19:26:34	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals kai havertz gte1	Yes	BUY	91	42¢	$38	0xca1f6e…
06-20 19:25:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals jamal musiala gte1	Yes	BUY	154	32¢	$49	0x845f96…
06-20 19:25:19	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xf54fa2…
06-19 18:58:49	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	450	44¢	$198	0x2793ae…
06-13 17:40:18	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0x23462f…
06-13 17:39:13	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,571	1¢	$50	0x00648e…
06-13 17:39:03	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	2¢	$50	0xe8ecde…
06-13 17:38:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,083	24¢	$500	0x456d38…
04-28 07:40:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	518	14¢	$73	0x53446a…
04-28 07:40:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	113	65¢	$74	0xae4078…
04-27 11:45:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	121	49¢	$59	0x2c787f…
04-27 10:35:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	80	75¢	$60	0x035c76…
04-26 08:45:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xce2b0e…
04-26 08:44:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	133	41¢	$55	0x2f3546…
04-26 05:31:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	57	41¢	$23	0x7e0324…
04-26 05:30:44	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc2bf06…
04-26 05:30:40	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	556	3¢	$18	0x784fdb…
04-24 06:25:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x38b2a7…
04-24 06:25:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	222	29¢	$65	0x2018ec…
04-24 06:24:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	2,027	3¢	$67	0xa84d55…
04-24 06:24:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	SELL	171	5¢	$9	0xdc8a7a…
04-24 06:24:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	6¢	$20	0x24877c…
04-24 05:32:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	144	53¢	$76	0x5dafcd…
04-24 05:32:10	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	346	22¢	$76	0xfad27f…
04-24 05:31:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	360	27¢	$97	0x42c442…
04-24 05:31:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	198	51¢	$101	0xe2de80…
04-23 21:29:20	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xeb1023…
04-23 21:29:18	nba cle tor 2026 04 23	Cavaliers	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x22ded8…
04-23 21:28:32	nba den min 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Nuggets	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0x441d97…
04-23 21:23:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x63b91a…
04-23 21:23:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x7d94ed…
04-23 16:41:58	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x033876…
04-23 15:53:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0xa58fba…
04-23 15:52:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	327	39¢	$127	0x7ed8ab…
04-23 09:37:30	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xd78012…
04-22 07:54:40	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0xdcc156…
04-22 07:41:26	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xe08063…
04-21 20:52:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0xb72acf…
04-21 18:08:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	830	100¢	$826	0x409335…
04-21 07:10:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	180	18¢	$32	0xcdb424…
04-21 07:10:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	SELL	85	5¢	$5	0xf67aa8…
04-21 07:10:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	SELL	129	23¢	$30	0x5243d4…
04-21 07:08:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	489	18¢	$88	0x3a0e1a…
04-21 07:08:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	92	95¢	$88	0xa91766…
04-21 06:25:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	No	BUY	266	30¢	$80	0xe9a610…
04-21 06:24:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	BUY	102	57¢	$58	0xa0e018…
04-21 06:22:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	213	65¢	$138	0xb20710…
04-20 20:06:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf1171c…
04-20 18:33:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x674149…
04-20 14:08:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	261	69¢	$180	0x2d6941…
04-19 20:46:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xa46231…
04-19 16:36:12	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xd31435…
04-19 15:35:42	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0x473e69…
04-19 14:31:12	epl not bur 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0xdb79e8…
04-19 14:30:56	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x55ddc9…
04-19 13:12:48	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x0d8b1f…
04-19 13:12:00	epl not bur 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	BUY	160	45¢	$72	0xd423f3…
04-19 12:08:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x61699c…
04-18 19:37:36	epl che mun 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x0f177e…
04-18 07:56:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	461	48¢	$221	0x5ca2c7…
04-17 16:07:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0x0f9e77…
04-17 16:03:20	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	773	96¢	$743	0x5bc1b3…
04-17 16:03:10	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	551	98¢	$537	0xae6f19…
04-17 15:17:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	62¢	$203	0x93e571…
04-17 15:16:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	99	94¢	$93	0xb72ea9…
04-17 15:16:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	121	91¢	$110	0x9c1cce…
04-17 14:48:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xdc1087…
04-17 14:48:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0x7155ad…
04-17 13:19:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	174	54¢	$94	0xe21d73…
04-17 13:04:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xf311b9…
04-17 13:02:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xa54323…
04-17 12:53:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xff71d8…
04-17 10:08:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	366	41¢	$150	0x8f18a9…
04-17 10:05:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	207	38¢	$79	0x89cae0…