Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$83

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-23

last 11-01 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

82% 55% +$5

Politics

17% 54% -$2

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	08-30 08:06
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	2	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$0	09-09 19:42
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:17
will xagusd reach 65 by september 7 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-11 04:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 08:10
will googl reach 345 by september 28 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-29 10:55
will meta reach 760 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-24 03:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	11-01 12:11
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-18 09:42
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 04:36
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-01 08:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-15 09:39
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 11:42
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-05 00:41
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:33
will nflx dip to 72 50 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-22 07:09
will hood reach 122 50 by september 7 2026 from september 8	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-08 22:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-05 16:22
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 17:21
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-16 00:40
will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-27 13:13
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-11 05:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-23 18:54
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-11 21:09
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-15 19:00
will trump say baby during remarks at nasa	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-27 21:28
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-16 00:38
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-23 05:25
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-15 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:11:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa689cb…
10-17 16:04:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe1048c…
10-16 12:38:24	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb49f06…
10-16 04:36:06	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x52cf5a…
10-15 19:00:07	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7e4dcc…
10-15 09:39:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x04bb98…
10-14 12:24:39	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x11e2fd…
10-14 03:56:31	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0b2d7f…
10-10 19:19:57	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0bcec1…
10-09 20:15:26	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x37164e…
10-09 12:10:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb2641f…
10-06 04:03:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc30a2e…
10-05 16:22:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb5e749…
10-05 00:41:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x308275…
10-02 08:05:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x49de27…
10-01 16:56:50	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0df03d…
10-01 08:54:12	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x01c353…
10-01 08:52:08	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb25655…
09-29 10:55:33	will googl reach 345 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb76af2…
09-29 02:54:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb8974e…
09-27 13:13:15	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x915ee2…
09-27 02:19:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7d0fc8…
09-26 07:33:53	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x14ae51…
09-24 11:40:51	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x714fe6…
09-24 03:40:14	will meta reach 760 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9ebaad…
09-23 19:39:46	will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e82a8…
09-23 11:36:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7fca3c…
09-23 03:13:25	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf8b7c9…
09-22 19:10:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7a4986…
09-22 07:09:31	will nflx dip to 72 50 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xba294c…
09-21 23:07:52	will ewy reach 191 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x86dfee…
09-21 15:07:33	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1aa5f8…
09-21 07:06:33	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf93cce…
09-20 22:34:56	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7dfe39…
09-20 22:12:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa9269d…
09-19 07:17:07	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcde60b…
09-18 22:44:12	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x20b5f4…
09-18 09:42:31	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8e3f12…
09-17 01:32:36	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x09c9e2…
09-16 17:27:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x027cc6…
09-16 09:27:03	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfb99ea…
09-16 00:40:33	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x628427…
09-16 00:38:31	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x76f47b…
09-15 15:28:07	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xffeee7…
09-15 07:27:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xce6c3a…
09-14 22:15:33	will wti dip to 100 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe29e6f…
09-14 14:12:04	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa225e8…
09-14 06:03:57	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb00885…
09-13 21:59:34	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x426cb5…
09-11 21:09:03	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5b75c9…
09-11 05:08:10	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x23da42…
09-11 04:57:45	will xagusd reach 65 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfb888d…
09-10 18:45:52	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd2d4a0…
09-10 08:10:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7bca49…
09-09 19:42:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce113e…
09-09 11:42:25	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x59e629…
09-08 22:18:06	will hood reach 122 50 by september 7 2026 from september 8	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xca6c28…
09-08 04:38:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x28f62e…
09-07 17:21:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd802a3…
09-03 03:54:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5aab00…
09-02 01:24:55	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf79e4c…
09-01 09:07:09	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa637c1…
09-01 01:06:16	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x740f40…
08-31 03:04:34	will googl reach 360 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xac9131…
08-30 19:02:27	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb70235…
08-30 08:06:01	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x168ca8…
08-30 07:21:48	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9ab2e9…
08-29 22:53:42	will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x69a171…
08-29 14:35:58	will pltr reach 192 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd7adae…
08-29 04:24:48	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6b896a…
08-28 05:29:24	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x84ddc2…
08-27 21:28:31	will trump say baby during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xff4b66…
08-27 13:27:21	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x038b30…
08-27 05:26:34	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x71ea6e…
08-26 08:04:06	wti up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x42b0af…
08-25 23:45:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x54cbce…
08-25 12:28:07	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x20c441…
08-25 03:35:18	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc87426…
08-24 19:34:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb62058…
08-24 10:55:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x30c760…
08-24 02:55:01	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0c33aa…
08-23 18:54:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf89e4b…
08-23 05:25:06	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb81a2e…